Tricolorul Breaza v Săcele prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Tricolorul Breaza 0–2 Săcele SĂCELE WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Săcele win~~44%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.476

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Săcele are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Tricolorul Breaza 35%, draw 20%, Săcele 44%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on Tricolorul Breaza v SăceleBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Tricolorul Breaza win35%

Draw20%

Săcele win44%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Tricolorul Breaza

Săcele

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Săcele	9	−3	12
10	Tricolorul Breaza	9	−16	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · săcele winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:11 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make Săcele a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Tricolorul Breaza v Săcele~~1.70 – 1.94

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 19 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 4 v 12~~10 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Săcele win

Published at 36%, 44% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Tricolorul Breaza win	35%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Săcele win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
Tricolorul Breaza or draw	56%	–	–
Tricolorul Breaza clean sheet	16%	–	–
Săcele clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.1%

0123450 2.5 6.0 5.1 3.3 1 5.3 8.1 7.9 5.0 2.5 2 4.0 7.0 6.5 4.1 2.1 3 2.3 4.0 3.7 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Tricolorul Breaza down, Săcele across0–5 goals a side shown (96.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 704 Liga III - Serie 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.9% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Tricolorul Breaza at home: 0.40 scored, 3.20 conceded a game (last 5). Săcele away: 0.50 scored, 1.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.70 goals for Tricolorul Breaza, 1.94 for Săcele. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~SAC 0–2 TRI · TRI 2–1 SAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 19 Sept

TRICOLORUL BREAZA

LDLLWL1–5 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–5 · 4–0 · 0–5

SĂCELE

LLLLWW0–1 · 3–4 · 0–4 · 3–4 · 1–0 · 4–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	9	+21	23
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	10	+11	23
3	Baicoi	9	+15	19
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	9	+3	19
5	Inter Sibiu	10	+11	18
6	Sepsi II	10	−1	15
7	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	10	+3	13
8	Valenii de Munte	9	+1	13
9	Săcele	9	−3	12
10	Tricolorul Breaza	9	−16	4
11	Carpati Covasna	9	−27	1
12	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	9	−18	0