Sepsi II v ARO Muscelul Câmpulung prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Sepsi IIDrawARO Muscelul Câmpulung

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Sepsi II 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Sepsi II are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Sepsi II 60%, draw 18%, ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 22%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Sepsi II v ARO Muscelul CâmpulungBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Sepsi II win60%

Draw18%

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung win22%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Sepsi II

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Sepsi II	10	−1	15
7	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	10	+3	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · sepsi ii winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Sepsi II a 60% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Sepsi II v ARO Muscelul Câmpulung~~2.45 – 1.37

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 22 Sept~~W1 D0 L5 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 15 v 13~~6 v 7

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Sepsi II win	60%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung win	22%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	52%	–	–
Sepsi II or draw	78%	–	–
Sepsi II clean sheet	26%	–	–
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.5%

0123450 2.2 3.9 2.3 1 6.2 7.1 5.1 2.4 2 6.6 8.5 5.7 2.7 3 5.2 6.7 4.5 2.1 4 3.2 4.1 2.8 5 2.1

under 2% 5% 12%+Sepsi II down, ARO Muscelul Câmpulung across0–5 goals a side shown (94.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 704 Liga III - Serie 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.9% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Sepsi II at home: 2.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). ARO Muscelul Câmpulung away: 2.25 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.45 goals for Sepsi II, 1.37 for ARO Muscelul Câmpulung. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 22 Sept

SEPSI II

LLLWLL1–4 · 0–4 · 1–4 · 3–1 · 0–2 · 2–3

ARO MUSCELUL CÂMPULUNG

DDWLWL2–2 · 1–1 · 5–1 · 0–1 · 2–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	9	+21	23
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	10	+11	23
3	Baicoi	9	+15	19
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	9	+3	19
5	Inter Sibiu	10	+11	18
6	Sepsi II	10	−1	15
7	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	10	+3	13
8	Valenii de Munte	9	+1	13
9	Săcele	9	−3	12
10	Tricolorul Breaza	9	−16	4
11	Carpati Covasna	9	−27	1
12	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	9	−18	0