Săcele v Baicoi prediction · Liga III - Serie 2

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

SăceleDrawBaicoi

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Baicoi 50%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Baicoi are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Săcele 29%, draw 21%, Baicoi 50%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Săcele v BaicoiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Săcele win29%

Draw21%

Baicoi win50%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Săcele

Baicoi

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Baicoi	9	+15	19
9	Săcele	9	−3	12

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · baicoi winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Baicoi a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Săcele v Baicoi~~1.32 – 1.85

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 22 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 12 v 19~~9 v 3

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Săcele win	29%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Baicoi win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	39%	–	–
Săcele or draw	50%	–	–
Săcele clean sheet	17%	–	–
Baicoi clean sheet	28%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.4%

0123450 4.2 8.7 7.2 4.4 2.2 1 6.4 9.4 8.8 5.4 2.6 2 3.8 6.5 5.7 3.5 3 3.0 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Săcele down, Baicoi across0–5 goals a side shown (97.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 708 Liga III - Serie 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.3% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 4.33 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Săcele at home: 2.40 scored, 2.40 conceded a game (last 5). Baicoi away: 2.20 scored, 0.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.32 goals for Săcele, 1.85 for Baicoi. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~4.33

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~BAI 4–2 SAC · BAI 2–1 SAC · SAC 1–3 BAI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 22 Sept

SĂCELE

LLLWWW3–4 · 0–4 · 3–4 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 2–0

BAICOI

DWWDWW2–2 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 5–0 · 4–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	9	+21	23
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	10	+11	23
3	Baicoi	9	+15	19
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	9	+3	19
5	Inter Sibiu	10	+11	18
6	Sepsi II	10	−1	15
7	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	10	+3	13
8	Valenii de Munte	9	+1	13
9	Săcele	9	−3	12
10	Tricolorul Breaza	9	−16	4
11	Carpati Covasna	9	−27	1
12	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	9	−18	0