Olimpic Zărneşti v Valenii de Munte prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Olimpic Zărneşti 4–1 Valenii de Munte OLIMPIC ZĂRNEŞTI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Olimpic Zărneşti win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.411

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Olimpic Zărneşti are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Olimpic Zărneşti 48%, draw 18%, Valenii de Munte 33%. Over 2.5 goals 78%, both teams to score 74%.

The AI’s read on Olimpic Zărneşti v Valenii de MunteBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Olimpic Zărneşti win48%

Draw18%

Valenii de Munte win33%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Olimpic Zărneşti

Valenii de Munte

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	8	0	16
8	Valenii de Munte	8	+4	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · olimpic zărneşti winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Olimpic Zărneşti a 48% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.9, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Olimpic Zărneşti v Valenii de Munte~~2.38 – 1.93

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 12 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 13~~4 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Olimpic Zărneşti win	48%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
Valenii de Munte win	33%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	78%	–	–
Both teams to score	74%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	91%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	61%	–	–
Olimpic Zărneşti or draw	67%	–	–
Olimpic Zărneşti clean sheet	16%	–	–
Valenii de Munte clean sheet	11%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.0%

0123450 3.5 2.8 1 4.0 6.1 5.9 3.8 2 4.0 7.0 6.4 4.1 2.0 3 3.0 5.3 4.9 3.1 4 3.2 2.9 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Olimpic Zărneşti down, Valenii de Munte across0–5 goals a side shown (93.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 699 Liga III - Serie 2 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.7% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Olimpic Zărneşti at home: 2.00 scored, 3.00 conceded a game (last 3). Valenii de Munte away: 2.00 scored, 2.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.38 goals for Olimpic Zărneşti, 1.93 for Valenii de Munte. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~VAL 1–1 OLI · OLI 4–1 VAL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 12 Sept

OLIMPIC ZĂRNEŞTI

WWWLWD2–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 2–7 · 4–1 · 1–1

VALENII DE MUNTE

WWWWLL3–1 · 5–1 · 4–3 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	9	+21	23
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	9	+10	20
3	Baicoi	8	+10	16
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	8	0	16
5	Inter Sibiu	9	+10	15
6	Sepsi II	9	0	15
7	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	9	+4	13
8	Valenii de Munte	8	+4	13
9	Săcele	8	−7	9
10	Tricolorul Breaza	8	−11	4
11	Carpati Covasna	8	−23	1
12	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	9	−18	0