Olimpic Zărneşti v ACS Mediaş 2022 prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Olimpic ZărneştiDrawACS Mediaş 2022

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · ACS Mediaş 2022 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

ACS Mediaş 2022 are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Olimpic Zărneşti 39%, draw 18%, ACS Mediaş 2022 44%. Over 2.5 goals 83%, both teams to score 79%.

The AI’s read on Olimpic Zărneşti v ACS Mediaş 2022Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Olimpic Zărneşti win39%

Draw18%

ACS Mediaş 2022 win44%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Olimpic Zărneşti

ACS Mediaş 2022

7Days since last match8

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	10	+11	23
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	10	−5	19

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · acs mediaş 2022 winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make ACS Mediaş 2022 a 44% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–2.5, and 2–2 is the single most likely score at 6%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Olimpic Zărneşti v ACS Mediaş 2022~~2.32 – 2.45

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 22 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W6 D0 L0

~~Table places · points 19 v 23~~4 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Olimpic Zărneşti win	39%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
ACS Mediaş 2022 win	44%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	83%	–	–
Both teams to score	79%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	94%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	68%	–	–
Olimpic Zărneşti or draw	56%	–	–
Olimpic Zărneşti clean sheet	10%	–	–
ACS Mediaş 2022 clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–2 at 6.3%

0123450 2.9 2.9 2.3 1 2.6 4.9 5.9 4.7 2.9 2 2.5 5.5 6.3 5.0 3.1 3 4.1 4.6 3.7 2.3 4 2.4 2.7 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Olimpic Zărneşti down, ACS Mediaş 2022 across0–5 goals a side shown (90.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 708 Liga III - Serie 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.3% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Olimpic Zărneşti at home: 2.50 scored, 2.50 conceded a game (last 4). ACS Mediaş 2022 away: 3.00 scored, 2.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

2.32 goals for Olimpic Zărneşti, 2.45 for ACS Mediaş 2022. Most likely score 2–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 22 Sept

OLIMPIC ZĂRNEŞTI

WLWDWL1–0 · 2–7 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 0–8

ACS MEDIAŞ 2022

WWWWWW4–1 · 2–1 · 4–3 · 4–1 · 3–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	10	+29	26
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	10	+11	23
3	Baicoi	10	+17	22
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	10	−5	19
5	Inter Sibiu	10	+11	18
6	Sepsi II	10	−1	15
7	Săcele	10	−1	15
8	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	10	+3	13
9	Valenii de Munte	10	−1	13
10	Tricolorul Breaza	10	−18	4
11	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	10	−15	3
12	Carpati Covasna	10	−30	1