Inter Sibiu v Carpati Covasna prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Inter SibiuDrawCarpati Covasna

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Inter Sibiu 90%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Inter Sibiu are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Inter Sibiu 90%, draw 6%, Carpati Covasna 4%. Over 2.5 goals 85%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Inter Sibiu v Carpati CovasnaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Inter Sibiu win90%

Draw6%

Carpati Covasna win4%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Inter Sibiu

Carpati Covasna

7Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Inter Sibiu	10	+11	18
12	Carpati Covasna	10	−30	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · inter sibiu winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 01:00 · locked at kick-off

90% The market–

Us90%

We make Inter Sibiu a 90% chance to win. The model expects 4.4–0.7, and 3–0 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Inter Sibiu v Carpati Covasna~~4.42 – 0.75

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 22 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W0 D1 L5

~~Table places · points 18 v 1~~5 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Inter Sibiu win

Published at 88%, 90% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Inter Sibiu win	90%	–	–
Draw	6%	–	–
Carpati Covasna win	4%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	85%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	95%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	71%	–	–
Inter Sibiu or draw	96%	–	–
Inter Sibiu clean sheet	48%	–	–
Carpati Covasna clean sheet	2%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–0 at 8.0%

0123450 1 3.7 2.6 2 6.4 4.9 2.0 3 8.0 6.0 2.4 4 7.9 5.7 2.2 5 6.6 4.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Inter Sibiu down, Carpati Covasna across0–5 goals a side shown (71.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 708 Liga III - Serie 2 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 68.3% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Inter Sibiu at home: 2.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 4). Carpati Covasna away: 0.75 scored, 3.75 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

4.42 goals for Inter Sibiu, 0.75 for Carpati Covasna. Most likely score 3–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 22 Sept

INTER SIBIU

WWWLLW4–1 · 7–2 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–3 · 2–1

CARPATI COVASNA

LDLLLL1–4 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–4 · 0–4 · 0–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	10	+29	26
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	10	+11	23
3	Baicoi	10	+17	22
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	10	−5	19
5	Inter Sibiu	10	+11	18
6	Sepsi II	10	−1	15
7	Săcele	10	−1	15
8	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	10	+3	13
9	Valenii de Munte	10	−1	13
10	Tricolorul Breaza	10	−18	4
11	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	10	−15	3
12	Carpati Covasna	10	−30	1