Inter Sibiu v ACS Mediaş 2022 prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 01:40

Inter Sibiu 2–3 ACS Mediaş 2022 INTER SIBIU WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Inter Sibiu win~~62%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.035

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Inter Sibiu are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Inter Sibiu 62%, draw 17%, ACS Mediaş 2022 21%. Over 2.5 goals 73%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Inter Sibiu v ACS Mediaş 2022Before, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Inter Sibiu win62%

Draw17%

ACS Mediaş 2022 win21%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Inter Sibiu

ACS Mediaş 2022

6Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	8	+9	17
5	Inter Sibiu	8	+11	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · inter sibiu winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:05 · locked at kick-off

62% The market–

Us62%

We make Inter Sibiu a 62% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–1.4, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Inter Sibiu v ACS Mediaş 2022~~2.58 – 1.36

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 11 Sept~~W4 D0 L2 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 15 v 17~~5 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Inter Sibiu win

Published at 64%, 62% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Inter Sibiu win	62%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
ACS Mediaş 2022 win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	73%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
Inter Sibiu or draw	79%	–	–
Inter Sibiu clean sheet	27%	–	–
ACS Mediaş 2022 clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.2%

0123450 2.1 3.7 2.2 1 5.9 6.8 4.8 2.3 2 6.4 8.2 5.5 2.6 3 5.2 6.6 4.4 2.1 4 3.4 4.2 2.8 5 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Inter Sibiu down, ACS Mediaş 2022 across0–5 goals a side shown (92.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 696 Liga III - Serie 2 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.6% of games this season, across 48 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Inter Sibiu at home: 2.00 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 3). ACS Mediaş 2022 away: 3.00 scored, 2.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

2.58 goals for Inter Sibiu, 1.36 for ACS Mediaş 2022. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~INT 0–2 ACS · INT 1–2 ACS · ACS 3–0 INT · INT 2–3 ACS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 11 Sept

INTER SIBIU

WLWWWL2–0 · 0–1 · 4–1 · 7–2 · 2–1 · 0–2

ACS MEDIAŞ 2022

DDWWWW1–1 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 4–3 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	8	+19	20
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	8	+9	17
3	Baicoi	8	+10	16
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	8	0	16
5	Inter Sibiu	8	+11	15
6	Sepsi II	8	+2	15
7	Valenii de Munte	8	+4	13
8	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	8	+3	10
9	Săcele	8	−7	9
10	Tricolorul Breaza	8	−11	4
11	Carpati Covasna	8	−23	1
12	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	8	−17	0