Corona Braşov v Olimpic Zărneşti prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Corona Braşov 8–0 Olimpic Zărneşti CORONA BRAŞOV WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Corona Braşov win~~70%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.139

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Corona Braşov are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Corona Braşov 70%, draw 15%, Olimpic Zărneşti 15%. Over 2.5 goals 72%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Corona Braşov v Olimpic ZărneştiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Corona Braşov win70%

Draw15%

Olimpic Zărneşti win15%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 16:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Corona Braşov

Olimpic Zărneşti

8Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · corona braşov winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:11 · locked at kick-off

70% The market–

Us70%

We make Corona Braşov a 70% chance to win. The model expects 2.7–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Corona Braşov v Olimpic Zărneşti~~2.72 – 1.13

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 19 Sept~~W5 D1 L0 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 23 v 19~~1 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Corona Braşov win

Published at 72%, 70% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Corona Braşov win	70%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Olimpic Zărneşti win	15%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	72%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	88%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	53%	–	–
Corona Braşov or draw	85%	–	–
Corona Braşov clean sheet	33%	–	–
Olimpic Zărneşti clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.4%

0123450 2.2 3.2 1 6.6 6.4 3.8 2 7.9 8.4 4.8 3 6.8 7.3 4.1 4 4.7 4.9 2.8 5 2.7 2.8

under 2% 5% 12%+Corona Braşov down, Olimpic Zărneşti across0–5 goals a side shown (92.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 704 Liga III - Serie 2 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.9% of games this season, across 56 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 4.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Corona Braşov at home: 3.40 scored, 0.40 conceded a game (last 5). Olimpic Zărneşti away: 2.20 scored, 1.60 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

2.72 goals for Corona Braşov, 1.13 for Olimpic Zărneşti. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~4.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~COR 3–1 OLI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 19 Sept

CORONA BRAŞOV

WDWWWW7–0 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 2–0 · 2–0

OLIMPIC ZĂRNEŞTI

WWLWDW1–0 · 1–0 · 2–7 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	9	+21	23
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	10	+11	23
3	Baicoi	9	+15	19
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	9	+3	19
5	Inter Sibiu	10	+11	18
6	Sepsi II	10	−1	15
7	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	10	+3	13
8	Valenii de Munte	9	+1	13
9	Săcele	9	−3	12
10	Tricolorul Breaza	9	−16	4
11	Carpati Covasna	9	−27	1
12	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	9	−18	0