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Carpati Covasna v Tricolorul Breaza

Carpati Covasna

0–4Full time

Tricolorul Breaza

Liga III - Serie 2 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

Carpati Covasna 0–4 Tricolorul Breaza CARPATI COVASNA WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Carpati Covasna win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.668

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Carpati Covasna win45%

Draw20%

Tricolorul Breaza win35%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · carpati covasna winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Carpati Covasna a 45% chance to win. The model expects 2.0–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Carpati Covasna win	45%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Tricolorul Breaza win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Carpati Covasna or draw	65%	–	–
Carpati Covasna clean sheet	19%	–	–
Tricolorul Breaza clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 7.8%

0123450 2.4 5.2 3.8 2.2 1 5.8 7.8 6.8 3.9 2 5.0 7.8 6.4 3.7 3 3.3 5.2 4.2 2.4 4 2.7 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Carpati Covasna down, Tricolorul Breaza across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 692 Liga III - Serie 2 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga III - Serie 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.9% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Carpati Covasna at home: 0.50 scored, 3.25 conceded a game (last 4). Tricolorul Breaza away: 1.33 scored, 3.33 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.99 goals for Carpati Covasna, 1.72 for Tricolorul Breaza. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2

CARPATI COVASNA

LLLLDL2–3 · 1–3 · 0–7 · 1–4 · 1–1 · 0–2

TRICOLORUL BREAZA

LLLDLL2–3 · 1–2 · 1–5 · 0–0 · 1–2 · 1–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	7	+17	17
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	8	+9	17
3	Inter Sibiu	7	+13	15
4	Baicoi	7	+10	15
5	Olimpic Zărneşti	7	0	15
6	Valenii de Munte	7	+6	13
7	Sepsi II	7	0	12
8	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	8	+3	10
9	Săcele	8	−7	9
10	Tricolorul Breaza	7	−15	1
11	Carpati Covasna	7	−19	1
12	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	8	−17	0