ARO Muscelul Câmpulung v Inter Sibiu prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 01:30

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 1–2 Inter Sibiu INTER SIBIU WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Inter Sibiu win~~45%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.462

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Inter Sibiu are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: ARO Muscelul Câmpulung 35%, draw 20%, Inter Sibiu 45%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 67%.

The AI’s read on ARO Muscelul Câmpulung v Inter SibiuBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung win35%

Draw20%

Inter Sibiu win45%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung

Inter Sibiu

7Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Inter Sibiu	9	+10	15
7	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	9	+4	13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · inter sibiu winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 17 Oct 01:54 · locked at kick-off

45% The market–

Us45%

We make Inter Sibiu a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · ARO Muscelul Câmpulung v Inter Sibiu~~1.67 – 1.97

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 18 Sept~~W2 D3 L1 · W3 D0 L3

~~Table places · points 13 v 15~~7 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Inter Sibiu win

Published at 49%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung win	35%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Inter Sibiu win	45%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	67%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	48%	–	–
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung or draw	55%	–	–
ARO Muscelul Câmpulung clean sheet	16%	–	–
Inter Sibiu clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.1%

0123450 2.6 6.0 5.1 3.3 1 5.4 8.1 7.8 5.0 2.6 2 4.0 7.0 6.4 4.1 2.1 3 2.3 4.0 3.6 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ARO Muscelul Câmpulung down, Inter Sibiu across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 702 Liga III - Serie 2 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.7% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.00 goals a meeting; 2 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

ARO Muscelul Câmpulung at home: 1.80 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 5). Inter Sibiu away: 2.60 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for ARO Muscelul Câmpulung, 1.97 for Inter Sibiu. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~INT 2–3 ARO · INT 2–1 ARO · ARO 1–0 INT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 18 Sept

ARO MUSCELUL CÂMPULUNG

DDDWLW1–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 5–1 · 0–1 · 2–1

INTER SIBIU

LWWWLL0–1 · 4–1 · 7–2 · 2–1 · 0–2 · 2–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	9	+21	23
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	9	+10	20
3	Baicoi	9	+15	19
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	9	+3	19
5	Inter Sibiu	9	+10	15
6	Sepsi II	9	0	15
7	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	9	+4	13
8	Valenii de Munte	9	+1	13
9	Săcele	9	−3	12
10	Tricolorul Breaza	9	−16	4
11	Carpati Covasna	9	−27	1
12	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	9	−18	0