ACS Mediaş 2022 v Sepsi II prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 01:30

ACS Mediaş 2022 3–2 Sepsi II ACS MEDIAŞ 2022 WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said ACS Mediaş 2022 win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.400

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

ACS Mediaş 2022 are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: ACS Mediaş 2022 49%, draw 19%, Sepsi II 32%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on ACS Mediaş 2022 v Sepsi IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

ACS Mediaş 2022 win49%

Draw19%

Sepsi II win32%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 2 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

ACS Mediaş 2022

Sepsi II

7Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	9	+10	20
6	Sepsi II	9	0	15

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · acs mediaş 2022 winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · updated 17 Oct 01:54 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make ACS Mediaş 2022 a 49% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.7, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · ACS Mediaş 2022 v Sepsi II~~2.22 – 1.74

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 18 Sept~~W5 D1 L0 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 20 v 15~~2 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · ACS Mediaş 2022 win

Published at 44%, 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
ACS Mediaş 2022 win	49%	–	–
Draw	19%	–	–
Sepsi II win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	74%	–	–
Both teams to score	71%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	89%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	54%	–	–
ACS Mediaş 2022 or draw	68%	–	–
ACS Mediaş 2022 clean sheet	19%	–	–
Sepsi II clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 7.7%

0123450 4.2 3.2 1 5.1 7.1 6.3 3.6 2 4.8 7.7 6.5 3.8 3 3.5 5.5 4.6 2.7 4 3.1 2.6 5

under 2% 5% 12%+ACS Mediaş 2022 down, Sepsi II across0–5 goals a side shown (95.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 702 Liga III - Serie 2 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 66.7% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

ACS Mediaş 2022 at home: 2.20 scored, 0.80 conceded a game (last 5). Sepsi II away: 2.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.22 goals for ACS Mediaş 2022, 1.74 for Sepsi II. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 2 this season · since 18 Sept

ACS MEDIAŞ 2022

DWWWWW1–1 · 4–1 · 2–1 · 4–3 · 4–1 · 3–2

SEPSI II

WLLLWL2–0 · 1–4 · 0–4 · 1–4 · 3–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Corona Braşov	9	+21	23
2	ACS Mediaş 2022	9	+10	20
3	Baicoi	9	+15	19
4	Olimpic Zărneşti	9	+3	19
5	Inter Sibiu	9	+10	15
6	Sepsi II	9	0	15
7	ARO Muscelul Câmpulung	9	+4	13
8	Valenii de Munte	9	+1	13
9	Săcele	9	−3	12
10	Tricolorul Breaza	9	−16	4
11	Carpati Covasna	9	−27	1
12	Kids Tâmpa Braşov	9	−18	0