Viitorul Onesti v Paşcani prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

Viitorul Onesti 2–2 Paşcani VIITORUL ONESTI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Viitorul Onesti win~~73%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~1.277

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Viitorul Onesti are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Viitorul Onesti 73%, draw 15%, Paşcani 12%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 55%.

The AI’s read on Viitorul Onesti v PaşcaniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Viitorul Onesti win73%

Draw15%

Paşcani win12%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Viitorul Onesti

Paşcani

8Days since last match8

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Viitorul Onesti	9	−4	5
12	Paşcani	9	−16	2

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · viitorul onesti winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

73% The market–

Us73%

We make Viitorul Onesti a 73% chance to win. The model expects 2.8–1.0, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Viitorul Onesti v Paşcani~~2.81 – 0.95

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 18 Sept~~W0 D1 L5 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 5 v 2~~10 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Viitorul Onesti win	73%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Paşcani win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	55%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Viitorul Onesti or draw	88%	–	–
Viitorul Onesti clean sheet	40%	–	–
Paşcani clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 9.0%

0123450 2.9 2.8 1 7.2 6.5 3.2 2 9.0 8.2 4.0 3 8.0 7.1 3.4 4 5.6 4.9 2.3 5 3.4 2.9

under 2% 5% 12%+Viitorul Onesti down, Paşcani across0–5 goals a side shown (91.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 765 Liga III - Serie 1 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.5% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Viitorul Onesti at home: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Paşcani away: 0.83 scored, 3.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.81 goals for Viitorul Onesti, 0.95 for Paşcani. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 18 Sept

VIITORUL ONESTI

LLLLLD1–2 · 0–2 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–4 · 1–1

PAŞCANI

LLDLDL1–2 · 2–7 · 1–1 · 0–5 · 1–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSM FC Vaslui	9	+14	25
2	CSM Adjud	9	+9	17
3	Târgu Secuiesc	9	+7	17
4	USV Iaşi	9	+4	17
5	Bradul Putna	9	+8	16
6	Odorheiu Secuiesc	10	+2	14
7	FC Bacău II	10	−7	14
8	Aerostar Bacau	9	+2	13
9	Gheorgheni	9	−5	8
10	Viitorul Onesti	9	−4	5
11	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	9	−14	4
12	Paşcani	9	−16	2