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USV Iaşi v Bradul Putna

USV Iaşi

0–1Full time

Bradul Putna

Liga III - Serie 1 · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 01:30

USV Iaşi 0–1 Bradul Putna USV IAŞI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said USV Iaşi win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.622

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

USV Iaşi win41%

Draw22%

Bradul Putna win37%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · usv iaşi winPublished 10 Oct 23:45

41% The market–

Us41%

We make USV Iaşi a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
USV Iaşi win	41%	–	–
Draw	22%	–	–
Bradul Putna win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	66%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	85%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	45%	–	–
USV Iaşi or draw	63%	–	–
USV Iaşi clean sheet	20%	–	–
Bradul Putna clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.2%

0123450 3.6 5.6 4.5 2.5 1 6.0 9.2 7.5 4.2 2 5.1 8.0 6.5 3.7 3 3.1 4.8 3.9 2.2 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+USV Iaşi down, Bradul Putna across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 753 Liga III - Serie 1 matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga III - Serie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.1% of games this season, across 43 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

USV Iaşi at home: 1.67 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Bradul Putna away: 2.00 scored, 2.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.79 goals for USV Iaşi, 1.66 for Bradul Putna. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2020

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1

USV IAŞI

DWWWWL0–0 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–0 · 1–2

BRADUL PUTNA

WDLWLW4–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 7–2 · 1–3 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSM FC Vaslui	8	+12	22
2	USV Iaşi	7	+5	16
3	CSM Adjud	7	+8	14
4	Aerostar Bacau	7	+5	12
5	Târgu Secuiesc	7	+3	11
6	FC Bacău II	8	−6	11
7	Bradul Putna	7	+5	10
8	Odorheiu Secuiesc	7	+1	10
9	Gheorgheni	7	−2	7
10	Viitorul Onesti	7	−2	4
11	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	7	−14	2
12	Paşcani	7	−15	1