Târgu Secuiesc v Viitorul Onesti prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Târgu SecuiescDrawViitorul Onesti

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Târgu Secuiesc 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Târgu Secuiesc are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Târgu Secuiesc 59%, draw 20%, Viitorul Onesti 21%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Târgu Secuiesc v Viitorul OnestiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Târgu Secuiesc win59%

Draw20%

Viitorul Onesti win21%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Târgu Secuiesc

Viitorul Onesti

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 1

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Târgu Secuiesc	10	+9	20
10	Viitorul Onesti	10	−4	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · târgu secuiesc winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

59% The market–

Us59%

We make Târgu Secuiesc a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.2–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Târgu Secuiesc v Viitorul Onesti~~2.16 – 1.18

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 23 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W0 D2 L4

~~Table places · points 20 v 6~~2 v 10

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Târgu Secuiesc win	59%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
Viitorul Onesti win	21%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	64%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	43%	–	–
Târgu Secuiesc or draw	79%	–	–
Târgu Secuiesc clean sheet	31%	–	–
Viitorul Onesti clean sheet	13%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.2%

0123450 4.0 4.5 2.6 1 7.9 9.0 5.3 2.1 2 8.1 9.2 5.4 2.2 3 5.8 6.5 3.9 4 3.2 3.6 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Târgu Secuiesc down, Viitorul Onesti across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 770 Liga III - Serie 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.0% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 8 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 2.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 8 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Târgu Secuiesc at home: 3.00 scored, 1.25 conceded a game (last 4). Viitorul Onesti away: 1.33 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.16 goals for Târgu Secuiesc, 1.18 for Viitorul Onesti. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~2.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 8

~~Both scored~~5 of 8

~~Last meetings~~VII 1–1 TAR · TAR 0–0 VII · TAR 2–0 VII · VII 0–1 TAR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 23 Sept

TÂRGU SECUIESC

LWWWWW1–3 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 2–0

VIITORUL ONESTI

LLLLDD0–2 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–4 · 1–1 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSM FC Vaslui	10	+14	26
2	Târgu Secuiesc	10	+9	20
3	CSM Adjud	10	+9	18
4	USV Iaşi	10	+4	18
5	Bradul Putna	10	+8	17
6	Aerostar Bacau	10	+2	14
7	Odorheiu Secuiesc	10	+2	14
8	FC Bacău II	10	−7	14
9	Gheorgheni	10	−5	9
10	Viitorul Onesti	10	−4	6
11	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	10	−16	4
12	Paşcani	10	−16	3