FC Bacău II v Odorheiu Secuiesc prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 01:30

FC Bacău II 2–1 Odorheiu Secuiesc ODORHEIU SECUIESC WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Odorheiu Secuiesc win~~48%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.741

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Odorheiu Secuiesc are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Bacău II 31%, draw 21%, Odorheiu Secuiesc 48%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on FC Bacău II v Odorheiu SecuiescBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

FC Bacău II win31%

Draw21%

Odorheiu Secuiesc win48%

Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Bacău II

Odorheiu Secuiesc

6Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 1

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga III - Serie 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Odorheiu Secuiesc	9	+3	14
8	FC Bacău II	9	−8	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · odorheiu secuiesc winFirst published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Odorheiu Secuiesc a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC Bacău II v Odorheiu Secuiesc~~1.61 – 2.03

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 19 Sept~~W1 D1 L4 · W2 D3 L1

~~Table places · points 11 v 14~~8 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Odorheiu Secuiesc win

Our number has not moved since we published.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Bacău II win	31%	–	–
Draw	21%	–	–
Odorheiu Secuiesc win	48%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	69%	–	–
Both teams to score	68%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	49%	–	–
FC Bacău II or draw	52%	–	–
FC Bacău II clean sheet	14%	–	–
Odorheiu Secuiesc clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 8.5%

0123450 2.9 5.6 5.5 3.7 1 4.5 8.5 8.3 5.6 2.9 2 3.5 6.7 6.5 4.4 2.3 3 3.6 3.6 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Bacău II down, Odorheiu Secuiesc across0–5 goals a side shown (96.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 764 Liga III - Serie 1 matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.8% of games this season, across 54 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 5.33 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC Bacău II at home: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). Odorheiu Secuiesc away: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.61 goals for FC Bacău II, 2.03 for Odorheiu Secuiesc. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~5.33

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~2 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ODO 4–2 FCB · FCB 2–4 ODO · ODO 4–0 FCB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 19 Sept

FC BACĂU II

LWLDLL1–2 · 1–0 · 0–6 · 1–1 · 2–4 · 1–3

ODORHEIU SECUIESC

DWDLWD1–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 4–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSM FC Vaslui	9	+14	25
2	CSM Adjud	9	+9	17
3	Târgu Secuiesc	9	+7	17
4	USV Iaşi	9	+4	17
5	Bradul Putna	9	+8	16
6	Odorheiu Secuiesc	9	+3	14
7	Aerostar Bacau	9	+2	13
8	FC Bacău II	9	−8	11
9	Gheorgheni	9	−5	8
10	Viitorul Onesti	9	−4	5
11	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	9	−14	4
12	Paşcani	9	−16	2