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FC Bacău II v CSM FC Vaslui

FC Bacău II

2–4Full time

CSM FC Vaslui

Liga III - Serie 1 · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 01:30

FC Bacău II 2–4 CSM FC Vaslui CSM FC VASLUI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CSM FC Vaslui win~~54%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.319

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

FC Bacău II win26%

Draw20%

CSM FC Vaslui win54%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · csm fc vaslui winPublished 9 Oct 23:31

54% The market–

Us54%

We make CSM FC Vaslui a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.1, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC Bacău II win	26%	–	–
Draw	20%	–	–
CSM FC Vaslui win	54%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	67%	–	–
Both teams to score	65%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	46%	–	–
FC Bacău II or draw	46%	–	–
FC Bacău II clean sheet	13%	–	–
CSM FC Vaslui clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.8%

0123450 3.3 6.6 6.7 4.7 2.6 1 4.4 8.6 8.8 6.2 3.4 2 3.0 6.0 6.1 4.3 2.3 3 2.8 2.9 2.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC Bacău II down, CSM FC Vaslui across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 752 Liga III - Serie 1 matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga III - Serie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.3% of games this season, across 42 played.

Head to head

3 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC Bacău II at home: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). CSM FC Vaslui away: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.39 goals for FC Bacău II, 2.13 for CSM FC Vaslui. Most likely score 1–2.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 3

~~Both scored~~3 of 3

~~Last meetings~~CSM 2–1 FCB · CSM 2–1 FCB · FCB 1–2 CSM

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1

FC BACĂU II

DWLWLD2–2 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–6 · 1–1

CSM FC VASLUI

DWWWWW1–1 · 3–0 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSM FC Vaslui	7	+10	19
2	USV Iaşi	7	+5	16
3	CSM Adjud	7	+8	14
4	Aerostar Bacau	7	+5	12
5	Târgu Secuiesc	7	+3	11
6	FC Bacău II	7	−4	11
7	Bradul Putna	7	+5	10
8	Odorheiu Secuiesc	7	+1	10
9	Gheorgheni	7	−2	7
10	Viitorul Onesti	7	−2	4
11	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	7	−14	2
12	Paşcani	7	−15	1