CSM FC Vaslui v CSM Adjud prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

CSM FC Vaslui 2–0 CSM Adjud CSM FC VASLUI WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CSM FC Vaslui win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.382

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CSM FC Vaslui are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CSM FC Vaslui 50%, draw 25%, CSM Adjud 26%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on CSM FC Vaslui v CSM AdjudBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

CSM FC Vaslui win50%

Draw25%

CSM Adjud win26%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CSM FC Vaslui

CSM Adjud

8Days since last match7

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga III - Serie 1

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · csm fc vaslui winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

50% The market–

Us50%

We make CSM FC Vaslui a 50% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CSM FC Vaslui v CSM Adjud~~1.59 – 1.05

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 12 Sept~~W6 D0 L0 · W3 D2 L1

~~Table places · points 22 v 17~~1 v 2

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CSM FC Vaslui win	50%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
CSM Adjud win	26%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
CSM FC Vaslui or draw	74%	–	–
CSM FC Vaslui clean sheet	36%	–	–
CSM Adjud clean sheet	21%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.5%

0123450 7.7 7.7 4.0 1 11.5 11.5 6.0 2.2 2 8.9 9.0 4.7 3 4.8 4.8 2.5 4 2.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CSM FC Vaslui down, CSM Adjud across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 761 Liga III - Serie 1 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.7% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 3 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 1.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 3 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CSM FC Vaslui at home: 2.33 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). CSM Adjud away: 2.83 scored, 0.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.59 goals for CSM FC Vaslui, 1.05 for CSM Adjud. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~1.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 3

~~Both scored~~1 of 3

~~Last meetings~~ADJ 1–0 VAS · ADJ 1–1 VAS · VAS 0–0 ADJ

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 12 Sept

CSM FC VASLUI

WWWWWW3–0 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 4–2

CSM ADJUD

DWLWDW2–2 · 2–1 · 1–2 · 6–0 · 1–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSM FC Vaslui	8	+12	22
2	CSM Adjud	8	+11	17
3	Târgu Secuiesc	9	+7	17
4	USV Iaşi	9	+4	17
5	Odorheiu Secuiesc	9	+3	14
6	Bradul Putna	8	+6	13
7	Aerostar Bacau	9	+2	13
8	FC Bacău II	8	−6	11
9	Gheorgheni	8	−5	7
10	Viitorul Onesti	9	−4	5
11	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	8	−14	3
12	Paşcani	9	−16	2