CSM FC Vaslui v Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CSM FC VasluiDrawCeahlăul Piatra Neamţ

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · CSM FC Vaslui 76%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CSM FC Vaslui are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CSM FC Vaslui 76%, draw 15%, Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ 9%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on CSM FC Vaslui v Ceahlăul Piatra NeamţBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

CSM FC Vaslui win76%

Draw15%

Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ win9%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CSM FC Vaslui

Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · csm fc vaslui winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

76% The market–

Us76%

We make CSM FC Vaslui a 76% chance to win. The model expects 2.6–0.8, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CSM FC Vaslui v Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ~~2.64 – 0.76

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 23 Sept~~W5 D1 L0 · W0 D3 L3

~~Table places · points 25 v 4~~1 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CSM FC Vaslui win	76%	–	–
Draw	15%	–	–
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ win	9%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	65%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	84%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	44%	–	–
CSM FC Vaslui or draw	91%	–	–
CSM FC Vaslui clean sheet	48%	–	–
Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ clean sheet	8%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.4%

0123450 3.9 2.9 1 9.2 6.8 2.7 2 11.4 8.3 3.3 3 9.7 7.0 2.7 4 6.5 4.6 5 3.7 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+CSM FC Vaslui down, Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ across0–5 goals a side shown (93.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 770 Liga III - Serie 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.0% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

CSM FC Vaslui at home: 2.33 scored, 0.67 conceded a game (last 6). Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ away: 0.83 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.64 goals for CSM FC Vaslui, 0.76 for Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 23 Sept

CSM FC VASLUI

WWWWWD3–1 · 3–1 · 2–1 · 4–2 · 2–0 · 2–2

CEAHLĂUL PIATRA NEAMŢ

LLDDDL0–1 · 0–3 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSM FC Vaslui	9	+14	25
2	CSM Adjud	9	+9	17
3	Târgu Secuiesc	9	+7	17
4	USV Iaşi	9	+4	17
5	Bradul Putna	9	+8	16
6	Odorheiu Secuiesc	10	+2	14
7	FC Bacău II	10	−7	14
8	Aerostar Bacau	9	+2	13
9	Gheorgheni	9	−5	8
10	Viitorul Onesti	9	−4	5
11	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	9	−14	4
12	Paşcani	9	−16	2