CSM Adjud v Bradul Putna prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 25 Oct 01:42

CSM Adjud 1–1 Bradul Putna CSM ADJUD WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said CSM Adjud win~~49%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.888

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CSM Adjud are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CSM Adjud 49%, draw 24%, Bradul Putna 27%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on CSM Adjud v Bradul PutnaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

CSM Adjud win49%

Draw24%

Bradul Putna win27%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CSM Adjud

Bradul Putna

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga III - Serie 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	CSM Adjud	9	+9	17
5	Bradul Putna	9	+8	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · csm adjud winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · updated 18 Oct 02:11 · locked at kick-off

49% The market–

Us49%

We make CSM Adjud a 49% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CSM Adjud v Bradul Putna~~1.65 – 1.14

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 18 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 17 v 16~~2 v 5

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · CSM Adjud win

Published at 51%, 49% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CSM Adjud win	49%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Bradul Putna win	27%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	52%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	76%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
CSM Adjud or draw	73%	–	–
CSM Adjud clean sheet	33%	–	–
Bradul Putna clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 6.6 7.2 4.1 1 10.3 11.2 6.4 2.5 2 8.3 9.0 5.1 2.0 3 4.6 5.0 2.8 4 2.0 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CSM Adjud down, Bradul Putna across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 765 Liga III - Serie 1 matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.5% of games this season, across 55 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

CSM Adjud at home: 1.67 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). Bradul Putna away: 1.80 scored, 1.80 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.65 goals for CSM Adjud, 1.14 for Bradul Putna. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 18 Sept

CSM ADJUD

WLWDWL2–1 · 1–2 · 6–0 · 1–1 · 4–1 · 0–2

BRADUL PUTNA

LWLWWW1–3 · 7–2 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 3–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSM FC Vaslui	9	+14	25
2	CSM Adjud	9	+9	17
3	Târgu Secuiesc	9	+7	17
4	USV Iaşi	9	+4	17
5	Bradul Putna	9	+8	16
6	Odorheiu Secuiesc	10	+2	14
7	FC Bacău II	10	−7	14
8	Aerostar Bacau	9	+2	13
9	Gheorgheni	9	−5	8
10	Viitorul Onesti	9	−4	5
11	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	9	−14	4
12	Paşcani	9	−16	2