Bradul Putna v Gheorgheni prediction · Liga III

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bradul PutnaDrawGheorgheni

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Bradul Putna 67%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bradul Putna are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bradul Putna 67%, draw 17%, Gheorgheni 16%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Bradul Putna v GheorgheniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Bradul Putna win67%

Draw17%

Gheorgheni win16%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 11

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bradul Putna

Gheorgheni

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga III - Serie 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Bradul Putna	9	+8	16
9	Gheorgheni	9	−5	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bradul putna winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

67% The market–

Us67%

We make Bradul Putna a 67% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bradul Putna v Gheorgheni~~2.55 – 1.14

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 23 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W1 D3 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 8~~5 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bradul Putna win	67%	–	–
Draw	17%	–	–
Gheorgheni win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	70%	–	–
Both teams to score	61%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	87%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	50%	–	–
Bradul Putna or draw	84%	–	–
Bradul Putna clean sheet	33%	–	–
Gheorgheni clean sheet	9%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.9%

0123450 2.9 3.1 1 6.7 7.3 4.1 2 8.1 8.9 5.0 3 6.7 7.4 4.2 4 4.3 4.7 2.7 5 2.3 2.5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bradul Putna down, Gheorgheni across0–5 goals a side shown (94.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 770 Liga III - Serie 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 65.0% of games this season, across 60 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Bradul Putna at home: 3.25 scored, 1.25 conceded a game (last 4). Gheorgheni away: 0.83 scored, 2.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.55 goals for Bradul Putna, 1.14 for Gheorgheni. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 23 Sept

BRADUL PUTNA

WLWWWD7–2 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 1–0 · 3–1 · 1–1

GHEORGHENI

WLDLDD2–0 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 2–2 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSM FC Vaslui	9	+14	25
2	CSM Adjud	9	+9	17
3	Târgu Secuiesc	9	+7	17
4	USV Iaşi	9	+4	17
5	Bradul Putna	9	+8	16
6	Odorheiu Secuiesc	10	+2	14
7	FC Bacău II	10	−7	14
8	Aerostar Bacau	9	+2	13
9	Gheorgheni	9	−5	8
10	Viitorul Onesti	9	−4	5
11	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	9	−14	4
12	Paşcani	9	−16	2