Bradul Putna v FC Bacău II prediction · Liga III

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 01:51

Bradul Putna 3–1 FC Bacău II BRADUL PUTNA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT3–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Bradul Putna win~~75%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.093

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bradul Putna are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bradul Putna 75%, draw 13%, FC Bacău II 12%. Over 2.5 goals 80%, both teams to score 66%.

The AI’s read on Bradul Putna v FC Bacău IIBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Bradul Putna win75%

Draw13%

FC Bacău II win12%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 13:00

RoundGroup 1 · matchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bradul Putna

FC Bacău II

7Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga III - Serie 1

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga III - Serie 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Bradul Putna	8	+6	13
8	FC Bacău II	8	−6	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bradul putna winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

75% The market–

Us75%

We make Bradul Putna a 75% chance to win. The model expects 3.2–1.2, and 3–1 is the single most likely score at 7%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bradul Putna v FC Bacău II~~3.21 – 1.20

~~Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 11 Sept~~W3 D1 L2 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 13 v 11~~6 v 8

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bradul Putna win	75%	–	–
Draw	13%	–	–
FC Bacău II win	12%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	80%	–	–
Both teams to score	66%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	63%	–	–
Bradul Putna or draw	88%	–	–
Bradul Putna clean sheet	31%	–	–
FC Bacău II clean sheet	5%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 3–1 at 7.5%

0123450 1 4.3 4.9 3.0 2 6.4 7.4 4.4 3 6.5 7.5 4.5 4 5.1 5.9 3.5 5 3.3 3.8 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Bradul Putna down, FC Bacău II across0–5 goals a side shown (87.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 761 Liga III - Serie 1 matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga III - Serie 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 64.7% of games this season, across 51 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2026/27.

Home and away form

Bradul Putna at home: 3.33 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). FC Bacău II away: 1.17 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

3.21 goals for Bradul Putna, 1.20 for FC Bacău II. Most likely score 3–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga III - Serie 1 this season · since 11 Sept

BRADUL PUTNA

DLWLWW1–1 · 1–3 · 7–2 · 1–3 · 2–1 · 1–0

FC BACĂU II

WLWLDL3–2 · 1–2 · 1–0 · 0–6 · 1–1 · 2–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	CSM FC Vaslui	8	+12	22
2	CSM Adjud	8	+11	17
3	Târgu Secuiesc	9	+7	17
4	USV Iaşi	9	+4	17
5	Odorheiu Secuiesc	9	+3	14
6	Bradul Putna	8	+6	13
7	Aerostar Bacau	9	+2	13
8	FC Bacău II	8	−6	11
9	Gheorgheni	8	−5	7
10	Viitorul Onesti	9	−4	5
11	Ceahlăul Piatra Neamţ	8	−14	3
12	Paşcani	9	−16	2