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Unirea Slobozia v Concordia

Unirea Slobozia
2–2Full time
Concordia

Liga II · SAT 24 OCT · May 1 Stadium

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 11:38
Unirea Slobozia 2–2 Concordia UNIREA SLOBOZIA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Unirea Slobozia win41%
The market said28%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.826
The market’s Brier score0.790

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 27 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Unirea Slobozia win at 41%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Unirea Slobozia 41% before kick-off, 41% now. 0–0 · 41–26–33
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Unirea Slobozia v Concordia
  4. 3′We said Unirea Slobozia at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–59
  5. 3′Concordia find the net on 3′. 0–1. 0–1 · 19–22–59
  6. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Unirea Slobozia 0–1 Concordia
  7. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Unirea Slobozia win: 41% at kick-off, 19% now
  8. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Concordia win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Unirea Slobozia win 41%)
  9. 24′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Concordia
  10. 26′We said Unirea Slobozia at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–23–63
  11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 14–23–63
  12. 30′⚽ GOAL · 30' Unirea Slobozia 1–1 Concordia
  13. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Unirea Slobozia win: 41% at kick-off, 37% now
  14. 31′A goal for Unirea Slobozia on 31′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 36–34–30
  15. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 37' Unirea Slobozia
  16. 43′THE CALL SWINGS · 43' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Concordia win 63%)
  17. 45′SECOND HALF Unirea Slobozia 1–1 Concordia
  18. 46′B. Ventura scores for Unirea Slobozia on 30′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–40–27
  19. 46′3 goals already, more than the 2.6 we expected for the whole match. 1–2 · 10–23–68
  20. 46′HALF-TIME Unirea Slobozia 1–1 Concordia
  21. 46′⚽ GOAL · 46' Unirea Slobozia 1–2 Concordia
  22. 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 46' Unirea Slobozia win: 41% at kick-off, 10% now
  23. 46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Concordia win is now our likeliest result at 68% (was Draw 41%)
  24. 47′Concordia score on 47′ to make it 1–2. 1–2 · 9–23–68
  25. 48′We said Unirea Slobozia at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–2 · 9–23–68
  26. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Concordia · On: S. Banu · Off: I. Padureanu
  27. 50′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Concordia · On: A. Chamorro · Off: S. Samanes
  28. 65′We said Unirea Slobozia at 41%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–2 · 4–20–76
  29. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' Unirea Slobozia
  30. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 70' Concordia
  31. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Concordia
  32. 77′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.6 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 16–71–13
  33. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Unirea Slobozia 2–2 Concordia
  34. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Unirea Slobozia win: 41% at kick-off, 16% now
  35. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Draw is now our likeliest result at 71% (was Concordia win 84%)
  36. 78′Unirea Slobozia find the net on 77′. 2–2. 2–2 · 15–73–13
  37. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Unirea Slobozia win: 41% at kick-off, 10% now
  38. 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Unirea Slobozia
  39. 93′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Unirea Slobozia
  40. 95′🟨 YELLOW · 90+4' Unirea Slobozia
  41. FTFULL TIME Unirea Slobozia 2–2 Concordia
  42. FTUnirea Slobozia 2–2 Concordia · Unirea Slobozia win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Unirea Slobozia are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Unirea Slobozia 41%, draw 26%, Concordia 33%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Unirea Slobozia v ConcordiaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

Unirea Slobozia win41%
Draw26%
Concordia win33%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueMay 1 Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Unirea Slobozia

Concordia

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga II

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga II

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Concordia10+818
16Unirea Slobozia10−17

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · unirea slobozia winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
41% The market28%
Us41%
Market28%

We make Unirea Slobozia a 41% chance to win. The market has them at 28%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Unirea Slobozia v Concordia1.39 – 1.21
Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 29 AugW2 D0 L4 · W3 D0 L3
Table places · points 7 v 1816 v 7
The market · Unirea Slobozia win28% · ours 41%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
25%30%35%40%45% 18 OCT 01:2324 OCT 08:43
Our probability · Unirea Slobozia win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 28% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Unirea Slobozia win41%28%+13
Draw26%28%−2
Concordia win33%44%−11
Over 2.5 goals48%52%−4
Both teams to score51%56%−5
Over 1.5 goals72%74%−2
Over 3.5 goals27%31%−4
Unirea Slobozia or draw67%56%+11
Unirea Slobozia clean sheet31%––
Concordia clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%
0123450 7.9 9.2 5.5 2.3 1 10.5 12.0 7.2 3.0 2 7.2 8.2 4.9 2.0 3 3.4 3.9 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Unirea Slobozia down, Concordia across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting1.20
Over 2.50 of 5
Both scored2 of 5
Last meetingsCON 0–0 UNI · CON 1–0 UNI · UNI 1–1 CON · CON 1–0 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 29 Aug

UNIREA SLOBOZIA

LWLLWL1–2 · 8–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 0–1

CONCORDIA

WLWLLW3–1 · 1–2 · 5–2 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 5–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Slatina10+1125
2FC Politehnica Timisoara10+1224
3Chindia Targoviste10+1221
4Popești-Leordeni10+1021
5CSM Reşiţa11+321
6FC Bacau10+1318
7Concordia10+818
8Cetatea Suceava10+818
9Bihor Oradea11+818
10Metalul Buzău10+318
11CS Afumati10+217
12Gloria Bistriţa10015
13Metaloglobus10−412
14CSM Ramnicu Valcea10−511
15ASA Targu Mures10−611
16Unirea Slobozia10−17
17CSA Steaua Bucureşti10−87
18CS Dinamo București10−157
19CSM Satu Mare10−76
20Viitorul Şelimbăr10−136
21Ştefăneşti10−166
22Dumbrăviţa10−153

The competition's standings before kick-off.