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Ştefăneşti v CS Dinamo București

Ştefăneşti
1–4Full time
CS Dinamo București

Liga II · SAT 17 OCT · Stadionul Dumitru Matarau

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 11:32
Ştefăneşti 1–4 CS Dinamo București ŞTEFĂNEŞTI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Ştefăneşti win48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.791

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 19 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Ştefăneşti win at 48%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Ştefăneşti was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–23–29
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Ştefăneşti v CS Dinamo București
  4. 13′A goal for CS Dinamo București on 12′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 23–23–54
  5. 13′We said Ştefăneşti at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 23%. 0–1 · 23–23–54
  6. 13′⚽ GOAL · 12' Ştefăneşti 0–1 CS Dinamo București
  7. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Ştefăneşti win: 48% at kick-off, 23% now
  8. 13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' CS Dinamo București win is now our likeliest result at 54% (was Ştefăneşti win 23%)
  9. 28′We said Ştefăneşti at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–24–57
  10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.1 we expected. 0–1 · 19–24–57
  11. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Ştefăneşti win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
  12. 35′CS Dinamo București score on 35′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 6–12–83
  13. 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Ştefăneşti 0–2 CS Dinamo București
  14. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Ştefăneşti win: 48% at kick-off, 6% now
  15. 36′We said Ştefăneşti at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 0–2 · 5–12–83
  16. 42′We said Ştefăneşti at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–11–85
  17. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 42' CS Dinamo București
  18. 44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Ştefăneşti
  19. 45′CS Dinamo București find the net on 45′. 0–3. 0–3 · 1–3–96
  20. 45′⚽ GOAL · 45' Ştefăneşti 0–3 CS Dinamo București
  21. 45′HALF-TIME Ştefăneşti 0–3 CS Dinamo București
  22. 46′SECOND HALF Ştefăneşti 0–3 CS Dinamo București
  23. 50′A goal for CS Dinamo București on 50′ — 0–4. 0–4 · 0–1–99
  24. 50′4 goals already, more than the 3.1 we expected for the whole match. 0–4 · 0–1–99
  25. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Ştefăneşti 0–4 CS Dinamo București
  26. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' CS Dinamo București
  27. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' CS Dinamo București
  28. 74′Ştefăneşti score on 74′ to make it 1–4. 1–4 · 0–0–100
  29. 74′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.1 across ninety minutes. 1–4 · 0–0–100
  30. 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' Ştefăneşti 1–4 CS Dinamo București
  31. 81′🟨 YELLOW · 81' Ştefăneşti
  32. 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Ştefăneşti
  33. FTFULL TIME Ştefăneşti 1–4 CS Dinamo București
  34. FTŞtefăneşti 1–4 CS Dinamo București · Ştefăneşti win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Ştefăneşti are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Ştefăneşti 48%, draw 23%, CS Dinamo București 29%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Ştefăneşti v CS Dinamo BucureștiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Ştefăneşti win48%
Draw23%
CS Dinamo București win29%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueStadionul Dumitru Matarau

Line-ups

Ştefăneşti

CS Dinamo București

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Ştefăneşti

CS Dinamo București

6Days since last match7

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga II

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga II

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
19Ştefăneşti9−136
21CS Dinamo București9−184

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Ştefăneşti

Formation not confirmed

3 J. Patrascu

5 M. Bakayoko

11 R. Malaele

14 A. Gheorghe

16 A. Bivolaru

20 G. Plumbuitu

30 A. Niculcea

31 A. Florescu

77 I. Man

97 D. Patru

99 A. Lapadat

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · H. Mociu

2 · D. Grosu

4 · K. Dobozi

7 · M. Dumitru

9 · S. Serban

10 · S. Gheorghe

26 · S. Stavrositu

90 · D. Matarau

98 · R. Bobocea

CS Dinamo București

Formation not confirmed

3 A. Anghel

6 G. Gogescu

9 G. Leata

10 P. Maapia

12 D. Oncescu

13 D. Renta

15 L. Baban

20 I. Mitran

22 R. Cernamorit

25 A. Rus

31 A. Yohannes

Coach · Ionut Chirila

Substitutes

2 · R. Balca

8 · R. Lecca

16 · E. Paun

17 · L. Tincau

18 · A. Ciocan

19 · V. Anghel

21 · M. Ifrim

23 · M. Roventa

24 · E. Amza

26 · F. Dumbravean

28 · R. Nicolae

29 · S. Pepi

Our number · ştefăneşti winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:11 · locked at kick-off
48% The market–
Us48%

We make Ştefăneşti a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Ştefăneşti v CS Dinamo București1.77 – 1.30
Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 21 AugW1 D0 L5 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 6 v 419 v 21

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55% 11 OCT 04:0517 OCT 08:40
Our probability · Ştefăneşti win

Published at 52%, 48% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Ştefăneşti win48%––
Draw23%––
CS Dinamo București win29%––
Over 2.5 goals58%––
Both teams to score59%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals37%––
Ştefăneşti or draw71%––
Ştefăneşti clean sheet28%––
CS Dinamo București clean sheet18%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.4%
0123450 5.1 6.4 4.1 1 8.5 10.4 6.7 3.0 2 7.2 8.9 5.7 2.5 3 4.3 5.3 3.4 4 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Ştefăneşti down, CS Dinamo București across0–5 goals a side shown (98.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2024/25

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 21 Aug

ŞTEFĂNEŞTI

WLLLLL3–1 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 0–1 · 0–4

CS DINAMO BUCUREȘTI

WLLLLD2–1 · 0–1 · 0–8 · 2–5 · 3–4 · 2–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Slatina9+1022
2FC Politehnica Timisoara9+1121
3CSM Reşiţa9+721
4Chindia Targoviste9+1018
5Popești-Leordeni9+818
6CS Afumati9+417
7Metalul Buzău9+317
8FC Bacau9+1015
9Cetatea Suceava9+615
10Concordia9+315
11Gloria Bistriţa9+315
12Bihor Oradea9+412
13ASA Targu Mures9−411
14Metaloglobus9−411
15CSM Ramnicu Valcea9−411
16Unirea Slobozia907
17CSA Steaua Bucureşti9−86
18Viitorul Şelimbăr9−86
19Ştefăneşti9−136
20CSM Satu Mare9−75
21CS Dinamo București9−184
22Dumbrăviţa9−133

The competition's standings before kick-off.