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Slatina v Unirea Slobozia

Slatina
1–0Full time
Unirea Slobozia

Liga II · SAT 17 OCT · May 1 Stadium

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 11:32
Slatina 1–0 Unirea Slobozia SLATINA WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Slatina win49%
The market said55%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.395
The market’s Brier score0.311

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Slatina win at 49%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Slatina v Unirea Slobozia
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Slatina 49% before kick-off, 48% now. 0–0 · 48–27–25
  4. 22′We said Slatina at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 76%. 1–0 · 76–17–7
  5. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Slatina 1–0 Unirea Slobozia
  6. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Slatina win: 49% at kick-off, 76% now
  7. 23′Slatina find the net on 22′. 1–0. 1–0 · 76–17–7
  8. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.4 we expected. 1–0 · 77–17–6
  9. 31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Unirea Slobozia
  10. 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 43' Slatina win: 49% at kick-off, 79% now
  11. 45′HALF-TIME Slatina 1–0 Unirea Slobozia
  12. 45′SECOND HALF Slatina 1–0 Unirea Slobozia
  13. 49′We said Slatina at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–4
  14. 67′We said Slatina at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–14–2
  15. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Slatina win: 49% at kick-off, 89% now
  16. 77′We said Slatina at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 1–0 · 90–10–1
  17. 84′We said Slatina at 49% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–0 · 95–5–0
  18. 90′1–0 at the end. Our 49% on Slatina comes in. 1–0 · 100–0–0
  19. FTFULL TIME Slatina 1–0 Unirea Slobozia
  20. FTSlatina 1–0 Unirea Slobozia · Slatina win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Slatina are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Slatina 49%, draw 26%, Unirea Slobozia 25%. Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Slatina v Unirea SloboziaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Slatina win49%
Draw26%
Unirea Slobozia win25%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueMay 1 Stadium

Line-ups

Slatina

Unirea Slobozia

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Slatina

Unirea Slobozia

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga II

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga II

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
1Slatina9+1022
16Unirea Slobozia907

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Slatina

Formation not confirmed

90 M. Racasan

16 P. Munoz

33 M. Baraitaru

20 R. Riza

30 D. Serbanica

7 I. Nastasie

18 S. Gheoroae

8 R. Matis

31 R. Velea

19 S. Magyari

17 R. Granja

Coach · Adrian Dulcea Pavel

Substitutes

1 · C. Predut

3 · A. Ureche

80 · A. Georgescu

28 · I. Andres

6 · R. Lapadatescu

10 · E. Pacionel

26 · C. Stancu

47 · A. S. Solcan

29 · J. Mbanga

Unirea Slobozia

Formation not confirmed

22 A. Utiu

20 D. Todoran

4 A. Stanica

13 A. Serra

3 B. Marian

5 R. Lazar

29 D. Rimpa

8 R. Gradinaru

11 B. Ventura

17 R. Necsulescu

9 G. Bobal

Coach · Ilie Poenaru

Substitutes

1 · H. Albert

21 · F. Ibrian

19 · R. Ristoiu

26 · G. Balan

27 · L. Campan

28 · F. Borges

16 · S. Szilagyi

2 · R. Iancu

14 · G. Lazar

Our number · slatina winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
49% The market55%
Us49%
Market55%

We make Slatina a 49% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Slatina v Unirea Slobozia1.45 – 0.93
Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 22 AugW4 D1 L1 · W2 D0 L4
Table places · points 22 v 71 v 16
The market · Slatina win55% · ours 49%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 11 OCT 04:0517 OCT 08:40
Our probability · Slatina win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 57% to 55% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Slatina win49%55%−6
Draw26%25%+1
Unirea Slobozia win25%21%+4
Over 2.5 goals42%55%−13
Both teams to score45%55%−10
Over 1.5 goals68%77%−9
Over 3.5 goals22%34%−12
Slatina or draw75%79%−4
Slatina clean sheet40%––
Unirea Slobozia clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 13.5%
0123450 9.8 8.9 4.1 1 13.5 12.0 5.6 2 9.5 8.5 4.0 3 4.7 4.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Slatina down, Unirea Slobozia across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

3 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting1.00
Over 2.50 of 3
Both scored1 of 3
Last meetingsSLA 1–0 UNI · SLA 0–0 UNI · SLA 1–1 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 22 Aug

SLATINA

WDWWWL2–0 · 0–0 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 2–1 · 1–3

UNIREA SLOBOZIA

LLWLLW1–2 · 1–2 · 8–0 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Slatina9+1022
2FC Politehnica Timisoara9+1121
3CSM Reşiţa9+721
4Chindia Targoviste9+1018
5Popești-Leordeni9+818
6CS Afumati9+417
7Metalul Buzău9+317
8FC Bacau9+1015
9Cetatea Suceava9+615
10Concordia9+315
11Gloria Bistriţa9+315
12Bihor Oradea9+412
13ASA Targu Mures9−411
14Metaloglobus9−411
15CSM Ramnicu Valcea9−411
16Unirea Slobozia907
17CSA Steaua Bucureşti9−86
18Viitorul Şelimbăr9−86
19Ştefăneşti9−136
20CSM Satu Mare9−75
21CS Dinamo București9−184
22Dumbrăviţa9−133

The competition's standings before kick-off.