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Popești-Leordeni v CS Afumati

Popești-Leordeni
2–0Full time
CS Afumati

Liga II · SAT 17 OCT · Stadionul Clinceni

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 11:32
Popești-Leordeni 2–0 CS Afumati POPEȘTI-LEORDENI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Popești-Leordeni win57%
The market said29%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.276
The market’s Brier score0.773

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 13 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Popești-Leordeni win at 57%.
  2. 1′KICK-OFF Popești-Leordeni v CS Afumati
  3. 2′Little has changed for our model: Popești-Leordeni 57% before kick-off, 57% now. 0–0 · 57–20–23
  4. 13′We said Popești-Leordeni at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 77%. 1–0 · 77–14–9
  5. 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' Popești-Leordeni 1–0 CS Afumati
  6. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 13' Popești-Leordeni win: 57% at kick-off, 77% now
  7. 14′A goal for Popești-Leordeni on 14′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–14–9
  8. 27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Popești-Leordeni
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.5 we expected. 1–0 · 77–15–8
  10. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' CS Afumati
  11. 45′SECOND HALF Popești-Leordeni 1–0 CS Afumati
  12. 52′HALF-TIME Popești-Leordeni 1–0 CS Afumati
  13. 56′We said Popești-Leordeni at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 1–0 · 80–16–5
  14. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' CS Afumati
  15. 73′We said Popești-Leordeni at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
  16. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 76' Popești-Leordeni win: 57% at kick-off, 87% now
  17. 77′We said Popești-Leordeni at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  18. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' Popești-Leordeni 2–0 CS Afumati
  19. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Popești-Leordeni win: 57% at kick-off, 99% now
  20. 79′Popești-Leordeni score on 78′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
  21. 80′SUBSTITUTION · 29' CS Afumati · On: C. Sersescu · Off: C. Robicek
  22. 83′We said Popești-Leordeni at 57% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 2–0 · 100–0–0
  23. FTFULL TIME Popești-Leordeni 2–0 CS Afumati
  24. FTPopești-Leordeni 2–0 CS Afumati · Popești-Leordeni win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 2–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Popești-Leordeni are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Popești-Leordeni 57%, draw 20%, CS Afumati 23%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Popești-Leordeni v CS AfumatiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Popești-Leordeni win57%
Draw20%
CS Afumati win23%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueStadionul Clinceni

Line-ups

Popești-Leordeni

CS Afumati

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Popești-Leordeni

CS Afumati

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga II

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga II

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Popești-Leordeni9+818
6CS Afumati9+417

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Popești-Leordeni

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Radulescu

4 N. Leafu

8 C. Balgiu

11 M. Tudorica

15 A. Capraru

16 R. Iacob

19 l. Nadolu

24 Q. Taiwo

28 B. Firtinescu

29 M. Neicutescu

45 S. A. Dutu

Coach · Catalin Gheorghe

Substitutes

3 · A. Bobaru

5 · E. Damascan

6 · A. Raji

7 · R. Mustaca

20 · A. Sin

25 · M. Ion

26 · D. Ciobanu

30 · A. Nicola

90 · A. Achiriloaiei

CS Afumati

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Dumitrescu

2 A. Paun

3 A. Lazar

4 M. Diomande

7 A. Enache

10 I. Zaina

11 G. Mihoreanu

15 L. Lis

16 O. Kaplan

17 C. Robicek

25 A. Raicu

Coach · –

Substitutes

6 · C. Sersescu

8 · M. Sacara

9 · M. Sanogo

12 · A. Cimpoesu

14 · V. Marica

20 · V. Ghinet

21 · V. Gallo

24 · D. Stancu

26 · C. McCarthy

30 · P. Strizu

Our number · popești-leordeni winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:11 · locked at kick-off
57% The market29%
Us57%
Market29%

We make Popești-Leordeni a 57% chance to win. The market has them at 29%. We are 28 points more confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–1.3.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Popești-Leordeni v CS Afumati2.19 – 1.30
Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 22 AugW4 D1 L1 · W4 D2 L0
Table places · points 18 v 175 v 6
The market · Popești-Leordeni win29% · ours 57%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
20%30%40%50%60%70% 11 OCT 04:0517 OCT 08:40
Our probability · Popești-Leordeni win The market, margin stripped

Published at 59%, 57% now. The market has gone from 37% to 29% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Popești-Leordeni win57%29%+28
Draw20%28%−8
CS Afumati win23%44%−21
Over 2.5 goals67%52%+15
Both teams to score63%57%+6
Over 1.5 goals85%75%+10
Over 3.5 goals46%32%+14
Popești-Leordeni or draw77%56%+21
Popești-Leordeni clean sheet28%––
CS Afumati clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.0%
0123450 3.4 4.3 2.7 1 7.1 8.6 5.5 2.4 2 7.3 9.0 5.7 2.5 3 5.2 6.5 4.1 4 2.9 3.6 2.3 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Popești-Leordeni down, CS Afumati across0–5 goals a side shown (96.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2020/21
Goals a meeting2.62
Over 2.53 of 8
Both scored5 of 8
Last meetingsPOP 1–1 CSA · CSA 3–1 POP · POP 0–1 CSA · CSA 1–1 POP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 22 Aug

POPEȘTI-LEORDENI

WDWWLW4–1 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 3–2 · 3–4 · 3–0

CS AFUMATI

DWWDWW1–1 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 4–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Slatina9+1022
2FC Politehnica Timisoara9+1121
3CSM Reşiţa9+721
4Chindia Targoviste9+1018
5Popești-Leordeni9+818
6CS Afumati9+417
7Metalul Buzău9+317
8FC Bacau9+1015
9Cetatea Suceava9+615
10Concordia9+315
11Gloria Bistriţa9+315
12Bihor Oradea9+412
13ASA Targu Mures9−411
14Metaloglobus9−411
15CSM Ramnicu Valcea9−411
16Unirea Slobozia907
17CSA Steaua Bucureşti9−86
18Viitorul Şelimbăr9−86
19Ştefăneşti9−136
20CSM Satu Mare9−75
21CS Dinamo București9−184
22Dumbrăviţa9−133

The competition's standings before kick-off.