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Metaloglobus v Popești-Leordeni

Metaloglobus

0–3Full time

Popești-Leordeni

Liga II · SAT 10 OCT · Metaloglobus Stadium

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 11:42

Metaloglobus 0–3 Popești-Leordeni METALOGLOBUS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Metaloglobus win~~42%

~~The market said~~43%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.635

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.779

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 17 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Metaloglobus win at 42%.
1′Much as we predicted: Metaloglobus was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–23–36
1′KICK-OFF Metaloglobus v Popești-Leordeni
6′🟨 YELLOW · 7' Metaloglobus
10′🟨 YELLOW · 11' Metaloglobus
30′🟨 YELLOW · 31' Popești-Leordeni
37′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Popești-Leordeni
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Metaloglobus 0–1 Popești-Leordeni
43′⚽ GOAL · 44' Metaloglobus 0–1 Popești-Leordeni
45′SECOND HALF Metaloglobus 0–1 Popești-Leordeni
46′HALF-TIME Metaloglobus 0–1 Popești-Leordeni
58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Metaloglobus 0–2 Popești-Leordeni · Q. Taiwo
58′⚽ GOAL · 59' Metaloglobus 0–2 Popești-Leordeni
81′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Popești-Leordeni
82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Popești-Leordeni
84′⚽ GOAL · 84' Metaloglobus 0–3 Popești-Leordeni · Q. Taiwo
84′⚽ GOAL · 85' Metaloglobus 0–3 Popești-Leordeni
87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Metaloglobus
FTFULL TIME Metaloglobus 0–3 Popești-Leordeni
FTMetaloglobus 0–3 Popești-Leordeni · Metaloglobus win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Metaloglobus win42%

Draw22%

Popești-Leordeni win36%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:00

Venue · Metaloglobus Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Metaloglobus

Formation not confirmed

1 G. Gavrilas

4 G. Caramalau

5 T. Pojar

6 L. Banu

9 N. Constantinescu

10 F. Purece

11 A. Irimia

14 A. Oancea

17 I. Ndon

21 M. Martac

22 R. Neacsu

Coach · Florin Bratu

Substitutes

7 · J. Gutierrez

8 · A. Pandele

12 · Junior Morais

13 · A. Sava

16 · A. Dumitru

19 · S. Todoran

34 · I. Ailenei

77 · T. Vladut

78 · V. Stancovici

33 · A. Soare

75 · Erico Da SIlva

Popești-Leordeni

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Radulescu

4 N. Leafu

8 C. Balgiu

11 M. Tudorica

15 A. Capraru

16 R. Iacob

19 l. Nadolu

24 Q. Taiwo

28 B. Firtinescu

29 M. Neicutescu

45 S. A. Dutu

Coach · Catalin Gheorghe

Substitutes

3 · A. Bobaru

5 · E. Damascan

7 · R. Mustaca

10 · L. Boiangiu

12 · R. Began

20 · A. Sin

25 · M. Ion

26 · D. Ciobanu

30 · A. Nicola

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Metaloglobus

Formation not confirmed

1 G. Gavrilas

4 G. Caramalau

5 T. Pojar

6 L. Banu

9 N. Constantinescu

10 F. Purece

11 A. Irimia

14 A. Oancea

17 I. Ndon

21 M. Martac

22 R. Neacsu

Coach · Florin Bratu

Substitutes

7 · J. Gutierrez

8 · A. Pandele

12 · Junior Morais

13 · A. Sava

16 · A. Dumitru

19 · S. Todoran

34 · I. Ailenei

77 · T. Vladut

78 · V. Stancovici

33 · A. Soare

75 · Erico Da SIlva

Popești-Leordeni

Formation not confirmed

1 M. Radulescu

4 N. Leafu

8 C. Balgiu

11 M. Tudorica

15 A. Capraru

16 R. Iacob

19 l. Nadolu

24 Q. Taiwo

28 B. Firtinescu

29 M. Neicutescu

45 S. A. Dutu

Coach · Catalin Gheorghe

Substitutes

3 · A. Bobaru

5 · E. Damascan

7 · R. Mustaca

10 · L. Boiangiu

12 · R. Began

20 · A. Sin

25 · M. Ion

26 · D. Ciobanu

30 · A. Nicola

Our number · metaloglobus winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

42% The market43%

Us42%

~~Market~~43%

We make Metaloglobus a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 43%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.8–1.6.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · metaloglobus win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 45% to 43% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Metaloglobus win	42%	43%	−1
Draw	22%	28%	−6
Popești-Leordeni win	36%	28%	+7
Over 2.5 goals	64%	49%	+16
Both teams to score	64%	54%	+11
Over 1.5 goals	84%	72%	+12
Over 3.5 goals	43%	28%	+15
Metaloglobus or draw	64%	72%	−7
Metaloglobus clean sheet	21%	–	–
Popești-Leordeni clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.6%

0123450 4.0 5.8 4.6 2.5 1 6.3 9.6 7.4 4.0 2 5.4 8.1 6.3 3.4 3 3.1 4.7 3.7 2.0 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Metaloglobus down, Popești-Leordeni across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,485 Liga II matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga II matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.3% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Metaloglobus at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Popești-Leordeni away: 1.50 scored, 1.25 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.77 goals for Metaloglobus, 1.62 for Popești-Leordeni. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga II

METALOGLOBUS

WWLLDW3–1 · 2–1 · 1–3 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–0

POPEȘTI-LEORDENI

DWDWWL1–1 · 4–1 · 1–1 · 3–2 · 3–2 · 3–4

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slatina	8	+12	22
2	FC Politehnica Timisoara	9	+11	21
3	CSM Reşiţa	8	+5	18
4	FC Bacau	8	+11	15
5	Chindia Targoviste	8	+9	15
6	Popești-Leordeni	8	+5	15
7	Concordia	8	+4	15
8	Metalul Buzău	8	+2	14
9	CS Afumati	8	0	14
10	Cetatea Suceava	8	+4	12
11	Gloria Bistriţa	8	+2	12
12	Metaloglobus	8	−1	11
13	ASA Targu Mures	8	−3	11
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	8	−3	11
15	Bihor Oradea	8	+3	9
16	Viitorul Şelimbăr	8	−7	6
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	9	−8	6
18	Ştefăneşti	8	−9	6
19	Unirea Slobozia	8	−1	4
20	CSM Satu Mare	8	−7	4
21	Dumbrăviţa	8	−11	3
22	CS Dinamo București	8	−18	3