Metaloglobus v CSM Ramnicu Valcea prediction · Liga II

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

MetaloglobusDrawCSM Ramnicu Valcea

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 15:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Metaloglobus 47%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Metaloglobus are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Metaloglobus 47%, draw 26%, CSM Ramnicu Valcea 27%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Metaloglobus v CSM Ramnicu ValceaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Metaloglobus win47%

Draw26%

CSM Ramnicu Valcea win27%

Kick-offMON 26 OCT · 15:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueMetaloglobus Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Metaloglobus

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

9Days since last match9

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga II

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Metaloglobus	10	−4	12
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	10	−5	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · metaloglobus winFirst published 20 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

47% The market45%

Us47%

~~Market~~45%

We make Metaloglobus a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Metaloglobus v CSM Ramnicu Valcea~~1.48 – 1.03

~~Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 12 v 11~~13 v 14

~~The market · Metaloglobus win~~45% · ours 47%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Metaloglobus win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Metaloglobus win	47%	45%	+2
Draw	26%	27%	−1
CSM Ramnicu Valcea win	27%	28%	−1
Over 2.5 goals	45%	52%	−7
Both teams to score	48%	55%	−7
Over 1.5 goals	70%	74%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	25%	32%	−7
Metaloglobus or draw	73%	72%	+1
Metaloglobus clean sheet	37%	–	–
CSM Ramnicu Valcea clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 5 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.2%

0123450 8.7 8.7 4.4 1 12.2 11.9 6.1 2.2 2 8.8 8.6 4.4 3 4.4 4.3 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Metaloglobus down, CSM Ramnicu Valcea across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,513 Liga II matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga II matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.6% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

Metaloglobus at home: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). CSM Ramnicu Valcea away: 0.75 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 4).

What the model expects

1.48 goals for Metaloglobus, 1.03 for CSM Ramnicu Valcea. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 29 Aug

METALOGLOBUS

LLDWLD1–3 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–3 · 0–0

CSM RAMNICU VALCEA

WLLWLL1–0 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Politehnica Timisoara	11	+13	27
2	Slatina	11	+9	25
3	Popești-Leordeni	11	+11	24
4	Chindia Targoviste	10	+12	21
5	Cetatea Suceava	11	+10	21
6	Metalul Buzău	11	+6	21
7	CSM Reşiţa	11	+3	21
8	Concordia	11	+8	19
9	FC Bacau	11	+12	18
10	Bihor Oradea	11	+8	18
11	Gloria Bistriţa	11	+1	18
12	CS Afumati	10	+2	17
13	Metaloglobus	10	−4	12
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	10	−5	11
15	ASA Targu Mures	10	−6	11
16	Unirea Slobozia	11	−1	8
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	10	−8	7
18	CS Dinamo București	11	−16	7
19	CSM Satu Mare	10	−7	6
20	Viitorul Şelimbăr	10	−13	6
21	Ştefăneşti	11	−19	6
22	Dumbrăviţa	11	−16	3