Gloria Bistriţa v Dumbrăviţa

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Gloria Bistriţa win at 58%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Gloria Bistriţa was 58% before kick-off and our model makes it 57% now. 0–0 · 57–24–19
3. 1′KICK-OFF Gloria Bistriţa v Dumbrăviţa
4. 32′A goal for Dumbrăviţa on 32′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 21–28–51
5. 32′We said Gloria Bistriţa at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–28–51
6. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Gloria Bistriţa 0–1 Dumbrăviţa
7. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Gloria Bistriţa win: 58% at kick-off, 21% now
8. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Dumbrăviţa win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was Gloria Bistriţa win 49%)
9. 33′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 21–28–51
10. 36′We said Gloria Bistriţa at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–28–53
11. 39′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 39' Gloria Bistriţa win: 58% at kick-off, 18% now
12. 40′Gloria Bistriţa score on 39′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 46–36–18
13. 40′⚽ GOAL · 39' Gloria Bistriţa 1–1 Dumbrăviţa
14. 40′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 40' Gloria Bistriţa win: 58% at kick-off, 46% now
15. 40′THE CALL SWINGS · 40' Gloria Bistriţa win is now our likeliest result at 46% (was Dumbrăviţa win 54%)
16. 41′We said Gloria Bistriţa at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 45%. 1–1 · 45–37–18
17. 44′We said Gloria Bistriţa at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 1–1 · 44–39–17
18. 45′HALF-TIME Gloria Bistriţa 1–1 Dumbrăviţa
19. 46′SECOND HALF Gloria Bistriţa 1–1 Dumbrăviţa
20. 53′We said Gloria Bistriţa at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–44–16
21. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Gloria Bistriţa win 42%)
22. 54′🟨 YELLOW · 54' Dumbrăviţa
23. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Gloria Bistriţa win: 58% at kick-off, 38% now
24. 61′We said Gloria Bistriţa at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–51–15
25. 68′We said Gloria Bistriţa at 58%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–59–13
26. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Gloria Bistriţa win: 58% at kick-off, 28% now
27. 73′Gloria Bistriţa find the net on 73′. 2–1. 2–1 · 89–10–1
28. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Gloria Bistriţa 2–1 Dumbrăviţa
29. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 73' Gloria Bistriţa win: 58% at kick-off, 89% now
30. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Gloria Bistriţa win is now our likeliest result at 89% (was Draw 65%)
31. 74′We published Gloria Bistriţa at 58%. Our model now makes it 90%. 2–1 · 90–10–1
32. 75′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 90–9–1
33. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Dumbrăviţa
34. 80′🟨 YELLOW · 80' Dumbrăviţa
35. 81′A red card for Dumbrăviţa on 81′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–1 · 93–6–0
36. 81′🟥 RED CARD · 81' Dumbrăviţa
37. 84′We published Gloria Bistriţa at 58%. Our model now makes it 95%. 2–1 · 95–5–0
38. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Gloria Bistriţa
39. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Gloria Bistriţa win: 58% at kick-off, 98% now
40. FTFULL TIME Gloria Bistriţa 2–1 Dumbrăviţa
41. FTGloria Bistriţa 2–1 Dumbrăviţa · Gloria Bistriţa win: right · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.