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Gloria Bistriţa v CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Gloria Bistriţa

1–0Full time

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Liga II · SAT 10 OCT · Stadionul Jean Padureanu

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 11:42

Gloria Bistriţa 1–0 CSM Ramnicu Valcea GLORIA BISTRIŢA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Gloria Bistriţa win~~51%

~~The market said~~55%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.364

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.304

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 9 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Gloria Bistriţa win at 51%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Gloria Bistriţa 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 51–24–25
1′KICK-OFF Gloria Bistriţa v CSM Ramnicu Valcea
45′🟨 YELLOW · 47' Gloria Bistriţa
45′HALF-TIME Gloria Bistriţa 0–0 CSM Ramnicu Valcea
46′SECOND HALF Gloria Bistriţa 0–0 CSM Ramnicu Valcea
57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Gloria Bistriţa 1–0 CSM Ramnicu Valcea
85′🟨 YELLOW · 85' Gloria Bistriţa
90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Gloria Bistriţa
90′🟨 YELLOW · 94' CSM Ramnicu Valcea
FTFULL TIME Gloria Bistriţa 1–0 CSM Ramnicu Valcea
FTGloria Bistriţa 1–0 CSM Ramnicu Valcea · Gloria Bistriţa win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Gloria Bistriţa win51%

Draw24%

CSM Ramnicu Valcea win25%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:00

Venue · Stadionul Jean Padureanu

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Gloria Bistriţa

Formation not confirmed

3 D. Ripeanu

5 D. Iurasciuc

7 M. Lupu

8 A. Bradu

9 J. King

11 M. Bara

20 A. Suciu

22 A. Greab

24 S. Pirvulescu

27 E. Asibey

59 M. Lehaire

Coach · –

Substitutes

2 · C. Gheorghe

10 · C. Sofroni

13 · B. Cavar

16 · F. Sorin Blaga

30 · A. Mogos

77 · P. Barabas

78 · O. Covaci

80 · P. Nasaudean

97 · D. Zanc

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Formation not confirmed

2 V. Gisa

7 D. Toma

10 V. Constantin

11 D. Huiban

12 V. Fratila

14 C. Gogor

25 V. Georgescu

8 A. Purice

30 A. Dandea

37 M. Danciu

98 B. Pitulac

Coach · Constantin Schumacher

Substitutes

4 · A. Salcianu

6 · V. Achim

9 · B. Lemac

16 · C. Mituletu

19 · A. Trascu

20 · E. Nistor

33 · L. Craciun

45 · R. Ciubotariu

77 · E. Croitoru

97 · S. Ivan

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Gloria Bistriţa

Formation not confirmed

3 D. Ripeanu

5 D. Iurasciuc

7 M. Lupu

8 A. Bradu

9 J. King

11 M. Bara

20 A. Suciu

22 A. Greab

24 S. Pirvulescu

27 E. Asibey

59 M. Lehaire

Coach · –

Substitutes

2 · C. Gheorghe

10 · C. Sofroni

13 · B. Cavar

16 · F. Sorin Blaga

30 · A. Mogos

77 · P. Barabas

78 · O. Covaci

80 · P. Nasaudean

97 · D. Zanc

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Formation not confirmed

2 V. Gisa

7 D. Toma

10 V. Constantin

11 D. Huiban

12 V. Fratila

14 C. Gogor

25 V. Georgescu

8 A. Purice

30 A. Dandea

37 M. Danciu

98 B. Pitulac

Coach · Constantin Schumacher

Substitutes

4 · A. Salcianu

6 · V. Achim

9 · B. Lemac

16 · C. Mituletu

19 · A. Trascu

20 · E. Nistor

33 · L. Craciun

45 · R. Ciubotariu

77 · E. Croitoru

97 · S. Ivan

Our number · gloria bistriţa winPublished 10 Oct 09:05

51% The market55%

Us51%

~~Market~~55%

We make Gloria Bistriţa a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 55%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.1.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · gloria bistriţa win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 51% to 56% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Gloria Bistriţa win	51%	55%	−4
Draw	24%	25%	−1
CSM Ramnicu Valcea win	25%	20%	+5
Over 2.5 goals	52%	53%	0
Both teams to score	53%	53%	0
Over 1.5 goals	76%	76%	0
Over 3.5 goals	31%	32%	−1
Gloria Bistriţa or draw	75%	80%	−5
Gloria Bistriţa clean sheet	34%	–	–
CSM Ramnicu Valcea clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 6.7 6.9 3.8 1 10.4 11.2 6.1 2.3 2 8.6 9.1 5.0 3 4.9 5.2 2.8 4 2.2 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Gloria Bistriţa down, CSM Ramnicu Valcea across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,485 Liga II matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga II matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.3% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

No previous meeting in our records, so this step adds nothing.

Home and away form

Gloria Bistriţa at home: 1.50 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). CSM Ramnicu Valcea away: 1.00 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.69 goals for Gloria Bistriţa, 1.10 for CSM Ramnicu Valcea. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

0 meetings since 2021

No previous meeting of these two in our records. We say so rather than invent one.

Form · last six in Liga II

GLORIA BISTRIŢA

LLWWLL1–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 2–3 · 1–2

CSM RAMNICU VALCEA

LDWLLW0–1 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slatina	8	+12	22
2	FC Politehnica Timisoara	9	+11	21
3	CSM Reşiţa	8	+5	18
4	FC Bacau	8	+11	15
5	Chindia Targoviste	8	+9	15
6	Popești-Leordeni	8	+5	15
7	Concordia	8	+4	15
8	Metalul Buzău	8	+2	14
9	CS Afumati	8	0	14
10	Cetatea Suceava	8	+4	12
11	Gloria Bistriţa	8	+2	12
12	Metaloglobus	8	−1	11
13	ASA Targu Mures	8	−3	11
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	8	−3	11
15	Bihor Oradea	8	+3	9
16	Viitorul Şelimbăr	8	−7	6
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	9	−8	6
18	Ştefăneşti	8	−9	6
19	Unirea Slobozia	8	−1	4
20	CSM Satu Mare	8	−7	4
21	Dumbrăviţa	8	−11	3
22	CS Dinamo București	8	−18	3