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Model 1.1

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Dumbrăviţa v Bihor Oradea

Dumbrăviţa
0–2Full time
Bihor Oradea

Liga II · SAT 17 OCT · Stefan Dobay Stadium

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 11:32
Dumbrăviţa 0–2 Bihor Oradea BIHOR ORADEA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Bihor Oradea win51%
The market said65%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.362
The market’s Brier score0.181

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 19 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Bihor Oradea win at 51%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Bihor Oradea 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 26–24–51
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Dumbrăviţa v Bihor Oradea
  4. 17′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Bihor Oradea
  5. 22′We said Bihor Oradea at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 8–17–75
  6. 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Dumbrăviţa 0–1 Bihor Oradea
  7. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 22' Bihor Oradea win: 51% at kick-off, 75% now
  8. 23′A goal for Bihor Oradea on 23′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 8–17–75
  9. 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.8 we expected. 0–1 · 7–17–76
  10. 45′SECOND HALF Dumbrăviţa 0–1 Bihor Oradea
  11. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 46' Dumbrăviţa
  12. 47′HALF-TIME Dumbrăviţa 0–1 Bihor Oradea
  13. 55′We said Bihor Oradea at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 1–1 · 21–44–36
  14. 55′⚽ GOAL · 55' Dumbrăviţa 1–1 Bihor Oradea
  15. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Bihor Oradea win: 51% at kick-off, 36% now
  16. 55′THE CALL SWINGS · 55' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was Bihor Oradea win 36%)
  17. 56′GOAL DISALLOWED · 56' Dumbrăviţa
  18. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' Bihor Oradea win: 51% at kick-off, 79% now
  19. 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Bihor Oradea win is now our likeliest result at 79% (was Draw 17%)
  20. 57′Dumbrăviţa find the net on 56′. 0–1 · 4–16–80
  21. 57′We said Bihor Oradea at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 80%. 0–1 · 4–16–80
  22. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Bihor Oradea win: 51% at kick-off, 81% now
  23. 67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Dumbrăviţa
  24. 71′We said Bihor Oradea at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 2–13–85
  25. 74′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Dumbrăviţa
  26. 79′We said Bihor Oradea at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
  27. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Bihor Oradea win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
  28. 86′We said Bihor Oradea at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
  29. 90′We said Bihor Oradea at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  30. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Dumbrăviţa 0–2 Bihor Oradea
  31. 91′Bihor Oradea score on 90′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  32. 93′0–2 at the end. Our 51% on Bihor Oradea comes in. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  33. FTFULL TIME Dumbrăviţa 0–2 Bihor Oradea
  34. FTDumbrăviţa 0–2 Bihor Oradea · Bihor Oradea win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bihor Oradea are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dumbrăviţa 26%, draw 24%, Bihor Oradea 51%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Dumbrăviţa v Bihor OradeaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Dumbrăviţa win26%
Draw24%
Bihor Oradea win51%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueStefan Dobay Stadium

Line-ups

Dumbrăviţa

Bihor Oradea

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dumbrăviţa

Bihor Oradea

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga II

Last match: 11 Oct · Liga II

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
12Bihor Oradea9+412
22Dumbrăviţa9−133

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Dumbrăviţa

Formation not confirmed

5 N. Pop

7 B. Vasile

10 R. Gunie

11 R. Curescu

14 D. Mucuta

15 R. Butnarasu

17 A. Butu

21 D. Dussaut

24 C. S. Gladun

25 B. Panaite

99 R. Miklos

Coach · Florin Fabian

Substitutes

3 · F. Cibi

4 · A. Negrea

6 · D. Krista

9 · A. Burlacu

13 · C. Padurariu

19 · D. Datcu

22 · P. Toroc

27 · S. Popovici

30 · A. Seroni

Bihor Oradea

Formation not confirmed

1 I. Chirila

4 A. Popa

5 N. Jermol

10 A. Bota

16 I. Filip

20 P. Albino

21 M. Antoche

28 D. Tescan

67 M. Velisar

88 E. Dutu

99 J. Dolny

Coach · Erik Lincar

Substitutes

2 · S. Kilyen

3 · A. Gal

7 · I. Hora

8 · A. Orban

9 · N. Modan

23 · A. Cruceru

25 · A. Cocian

79 · M. Onet

80 · F. Haita

Our number · bihor oradea winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
51% The market65%
Us51%
Market65%

We make Bihor Oradea a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 14 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dumbrăviţa v Bihor Oradea1.11 – 1.71
Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 22 AugW0 D1 L5 · W3 D1 L2
Table places · points 3 v 1222 v 12
The market · Bihor Oradea win65% · ours 51%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60%65%70% 11 OCT 04:0517 OCT 08:40
Our probability · Bihor Oradea win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 48% to 65% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dumbrăviţa win26%14%+12
Draw24%20%+4
Bihor Oradea win51%65%−14
Over 2.5 goals53%58%−5
Both teams to score53%52%+1
Over 1.5 goals76%79%−3
Over 3.5 goals31%37%−6
Dumbrăviţa or draw49%35%+14
Dumbrăviţa clean sheet19%––
Bihor Oradea clean sheet34%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%
0123450 6.3 10.3 8.5 4.9 2.2 1 7.0 11.0 9.1 5.2 2.3 2 3.9 6.2 5.0 2.9 3 2.4 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dumbrăviţa down, Bihor Oradea across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting3.25
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored3 of 4
Last meetingsDUM 2–1 BIH · BIH 3–2 DUM · BIH 3–1 DUM · DUM 1–0 BIH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 22 Aug

DUMBRĂVIŢA

DLLLLL2–2 · 0–1 · 1–6 · 0–2 · 0–2 · 1–3

BIHOR ORADEA

DWLWLW0–0 · 4–0 · 2–3 · 3–0 · 2–3 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Slatina9+1022
2FC Politehnica Timisoara9+1121
3CSM Reşiţa9+721
4Chindia Targoviste9+1018
5Popești-Leordeni9+818
6CS Afumati9+417
7Metalul Buzău9+317
8FC Bacau9+1015
9Cetatea Suceava9+615
10Concordia9+315
11Gloria Bistriţa9+315
12Bihor Oradea9+412
13ASA Targu Mures9−411
14Metaloglobus9−411
15CSM Ramnicu Valcea9−411
16Unirea Slobozia907
17CSA Steaua Bucureşti9−86
18Viitorul Şelimbăr9−86
19Ştefăneşti9−136
20CSM Satu Mare9−75
21CS Dinamo București9−184
22Dumbrăviţa9−133

The competition's standings before kick-off.