

CSM Satu Mare v Metalul Buzău
CSM Satu Mare
Metalul BuzăuLiga II · SAT 17 OCT · Daniel Prodan Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Metalul Buzău win at 47%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Metalul Buzău was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 27–26–47
- 1′KICK-OFF CSM Satu Mare v Metalul Buzău
- 36′🟨 YELLOW · 36' CSM Satu Mare
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Metalul Buzău win: 47% at kick-off, 37% now
- 45′HALF-TIME CSM Satu Mare 0–0 Metalul Buzău
- 45′SECOND HALF CSM Satu Mare 0–0 Metalul Buzău
- 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Metalul Buzău win 36%)
- 49′We said Metalul Buzău at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 35%. 0–0 · 23–42–35
- 51′We said Metalul Buzău at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 22–43–34
- 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 21–46–33
- 61′We said Metalul Buzău at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 19–51–29
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' Metalul Buzău
- 62′🟨 YELLOW · 62' CSM Satu Mare
- 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Metalul Buzău win: 47% at kick-off, 27% now
- 69′We said Metalul Buzău at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 16–60–24
- 71′🟨 YELLOW · 71' Metalul Buzău
- 75′We said Metalul Buzău at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 13–68–19
- 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Metalul Buzău win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
- 80′We said Metalul Buzău at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 10–77–14
- 84′We said Metalul Buzău at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 6–85–9
- 87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Metalul Buzău
- 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 87' Metalul Buzău win: 47% at kick-off, 7% now
- 90′Full time, 0–0. We called Metalul Buzău at 47% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
- 91′We said Metalul Buzău at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 3–93–4
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' CSM Satu Mare
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Metalul Buzău
- FTFULL TIME CSM Satu Mare 0–0 Metalul Buzău
- FTCSM Satu Mare 0–0 Metalul Buzău · Metalul Buzău win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassMetalul Buzău are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: CSM Satu Mare 27%, draw 25%, Metalul Buzău 47%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 50%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
CSM Satu Mare win27%
Metalul Buzău win47%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:00
RoundMatchday 10
VenueDaniel Prodan Stadium
Match timeline
All events
CSM Satu MareMIN
Metalul BuzăuEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
CSM Satu Mare
Metalul Buzău
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
CSM Satu Mare
Metalul Buzău
Last match: 10 Oct · Liga II
Last match: 10 Oct · Liga II
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
CSM Satu Mare
Formation not confirmed
31 V. Mutiu
29 E. Danila
2 C. Ardei
19 Jose Elo
26 C. Oanea
91 M. Panos
86 A. Botogan
27 K. Vida
10 M. Draghiceanu
99 M. Miclaus
9 S. Jurj
Coach · –
Substitutes
30 · I. Pop
7 · C. Zamfir
6 · M. Marin
17 · A. Vasalie
20 · L. Bara
25 · M. Kereki
21 · G. Carpa
8 · P. Copaci
11 · D. Golda
Metalul Buzău
Formation not confirmed
25 I. Dinu
4 A. N. Olaru
10 R. Milea
11 A. Moldovan
26 N. Baxevanos
27 F. Opait
28 V. Robu
80 R. Caldararu
97 A. Nica
98 A. Saim Tudor
99 C. Bortoneanu
Coach · Valentin Stan
Substitutes
23 · A. Ureche
5 · D. Parfeon
7 · C. Dumitru
8 · D. D. Oprea
9 · G. Cretu
14 · I. El Khabchi
20 · A. Cublesan
70 · L. Nagy
77 · F. Puiu
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
CSM Satu Mare
Formation not confirmed
31 V. Mutiu
29 E. Danila
2 C. Ardei
19 Jose Elo
26 C. Oanea
91 M. Panos
86 A. Botogan
27 K. Vida
10 M. Draghiceanu
99 M. Miclaus
9 S. Jurj
Coach · –
Substitutes
30 · I. Pop
7 · C. Zamfir
6 · M. Marin
17 · A. Vasalie
20 · L. Bara
25 · M. Kereki
21 · G. Carpa
8 · P. Copaci
11 · D. Golda
Metalul Buzău
Formation not confirmed
25 I. Dinu
4 A. N. Olaru
10 R. Milea
11 A. Moldovan
26 N. Baxevanos
27 F. Opait
28 V. Robu
80 R. Caldararu
97 A. Nica
98 A. Saim Tudor
99 C. Bortoneanu
Coach · Valentin Stan
Substitutes
23 · A. Ureche
5 · D. Parfeon
7 · C. Dumitru
8 · D. D. Oprea
9 · G. Cretu
14 · I. El Khabchi
20 · A. Cublesan
70 · L. Nagy
77 · F. Puiu
We make Metalul Buzău a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.5.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 48% to 52% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSM Satu Mare win | 27% | 21% | +6 |
| Draw | 25% | 26% | −1 |
| Metalul Buzău win | 47% | 52% | −5 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | 50% | −3 |
| Both teams to score | 50% | 53% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | 73% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | 30% | −4 |
| CSM Satu Mare or draw | 53% | 48% | +5 |
| CSM Satu Mare clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
| Metalul Buzău clean sheet | 35% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2020/21Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 22 Aug
CSM SATU MARE
METALUL BUZĂU
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slatina | 9 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 9 | +11 | 21 |
| 3 | CSM Reşiţa | 9 | +7 | 21 |
| 4 | Chindia Targoviste | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 5 | Popești-Leordeni | 9 | +8 | 18 |
| 6 | CS Afumati | 9 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 | Metalul Buzău | 9 | +3 | 17 |
| 8 | FC Bacau | 9 | +10 | 15 |
| 9 | Cetatea Suceava | 9 | +6 | 15 |
| 10 | Concordia | 9 | +3 | 15 |
| 11 | Gloria Bistriţa | 9 | +3 | 15 |
| 12 | Bihor Oradea | 9 | +4 | 12 |
| 13 | ASA Targu Mures | 9 | −4 | 11 |
| 14 | Metaloglobus | 9 | −4 | 11 |
| 15 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 9 | −4 | 11 |
| 16 | Unirea Slobozia | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 17 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 9 | −8 | 6 |
| 18 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 9 | −8 | 6 |
| 19 | Ştefăneşti | 9 | −13 | 6 |
| 20 | CSM Satu Mare | 9 | −7 | 5 |
| 21 | CS Dinamo București | 9 | −18 | 4 |
| 22 | Dumbrăviţa | 9 | −13 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Slatina
FC Politehnica Timisoara
CSM Reşiţa
Chindia Targoviste
Popești-Leordeni
CS Afumati
FC Bacau
Cetatea Suceava
Concordia
Gloria Bistriţa
Bihor Oradea
ASA Targu Mures
Metaloglobus
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Unirea Slobozia
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
Viitorul Şelimbăr
Ştefăneşti
CS Dinamo București
Dumbrăviţa