CSM Ramnicu Valcea v FC Politehnica Timisoara prediction · Liga II

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 13:16

CSM Ramnicu Valcea 0–1 FC Politehnica Timisoara FC POLITEHNICA TIMISOARA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said FC Politehnica Timisoara win~~43%

~~The market said~~53%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.495

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.336

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 16 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said FC Politehnica Timisoara win at 43%.
1′Much as we predicted: FC Politehnica Timisoara was 43% before kick-off and our model makes it 43% now. 0–0 · 32–25–43
1′KICK-OFF CSM Ramnicu Valcea v FC Politehnica Timisoara
31′🟨 YELLOW · 31' CSM Ramnicu Valcea
45′HALF-TIME CSM Ramnicu Valcea 0–0 FC Politehnica Timisoara
45′SECOND HALF CSM Ramnicu Valcea 0–0 FC Politehnica Timisoara
46′THE CALL SWINGS · 46' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was FC Politehnica Timisoara win 34%)
48′We published FC Politehnica Timisoara at 43%. Our model now makes it 73%. 0–1 · 7–20–73
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 48' FC Politehnica Timisoara win: 43% at kick-off, 33% now
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' CSM Ramnicu Valcea 0–1 FC Politehnica Timisoara
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' FC Politehnica Timisoara win: 43% at kick-off, 73% now
48′THE CALL SWINGS · 48' FC Politehnica Timisoara win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Draw 20%)
49′FC Politehnica Timisoara score on 48′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 7–20–74
51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' FC Politehnica Timisoara
53′We published FC Politehnica Timisoara at 43%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' CSM Ramnicu Valcea
55′We expected about 2.8 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 27–38–34 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' FC Politehnica Timisoara
66′We published FC Politehnica Timisoara at 43%. Our model now makes it 80%. 0–1 · 3–17–80
72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' FC Politehnica Timisoara win: 43% at kick-off, 83% now
75′We published FC Politehnica Timisoara at 43%. Our model now makes it 85%. 0–1 · 2–14–85
80′🟨 YELLOW · 79' CSM Ramnicu Valcea
81′We published FC Politehnica Timisoara at 43%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
84′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 84' FC Politehnica Timisoara win: 43% at kick-off, 93% now
88′We published FC Politehnica Timisoara at 43%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
FTFULL TIME CSM Ramnicu Valcea 0–1 FC Politehnica Timisoara
FTCSM Ramnicu Valcea 0–1 FC Politehnica Timisoara · FC Politehnica Timisoara win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Politehnica Timisoara are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CSM Ramnicu Valcea 33%, draw 25%, FC Politehnica Timisoara 43%. Over 2.5 goals 52%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on CSM Ramnicu Valcea v FC Politehnica TimisoaraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

CSM Ramnicu Valcea win33%

Draw25%

FC Politehnica Timisoara win43%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 10:30

RoundMatchday 10

VenueStadionul Municipal

Line-ups

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

FC Politehnica Timisoara

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

FC Politehnica Timisoara

7Days since last match9

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga II

Last match: 8 Oct · Liga II

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	FC Politehnica Timisoara	9	+11	21
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	9	−4	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

Formation not confirmed

12 V. Fratila

77 E. Croitoru

4 A. Salcianu

30 A. Dandea

25 V. Georgescu

19 A. Trascu

7 D. Toma

37 M. Danciu

9 B. Lemac

11 D. Huiban

10 V. Constantin

Coach · Constantin Schumacher

Substitutes

33 · L. Craciun

45 · R. Ciubotariu

16 · A. Mituletu

– · A. Purice

5 · D. Dumitra

2 · V. Gisa

97 · S. Ivan

98 · B. Pitulac

6 · V. Achim

80 · D. Butisteanu

FC Politehnica Timisoara

Formation not confirmed

30 T. Cosa

6 A. Huszti

4 P. Paul

19 C. Toma

18 A. Artean

16 I. Vasluian

22 S. Stefanovici

7 S. Draghici

5 R. Burlacu

8 D. Popa

9 A. Chitu

Coach · Dan Alexa

Substitutes

23 · I. C. Rus

20 · R. Benzar

3 · C. Ene

29 · D. Spataru

28 · M. Dolghi

24 · I. Doana

15 · A. Vlaicu

14 · K. Appiah Nyarko

25 · I. Rotariu

Our number · fc politehnica timisoara winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

43% The market53%

Us43%

~~Market~~53%

We make FC Politehnica Timisoara a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 53%. We are 10 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.5.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CSM Ramnicu Valcea v FC Politehnica Timisoara~~1.27 – 1.51

~~Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 22 Aug~~W2 D1 L3 · W4 D2 L0

~~Table places · points 11 v 21~~15 v 2

~~The market · FC Politehnica Timisoara win~~53% · ours 43%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · FC Politehnica Timisoara win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 47% to 53% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CSM Ramnicu Valcea win	33%	23%	+10
Draw	25%	25%	0
FC Politehnica Timisoara win	43%	53%	−10
Over 2.5 goals	52%	58%	−6
Both teams to score	54%	59%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	75%	79%	−4
Over 3.5 goals	30%	37%	−7
CSM Ramnicu Valcea or draw	57%	47%	+10
CSM Ramnicu Valcea clean sheet	24%	–	–
FC Politehnica Timisoara clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%

0123450 6.8 9.7 7.0 3.6 1 8.3 11.4 8.3 4.2 2 5.1 7.2 5.2 2.6 3 2.2 3.1 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CSM Ramnicu Valcea down, FC Politehnica Timisoara across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,495 Liga II matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga II matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.6% of games this season, across 99 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

CSM Ramnicu Valcea at home: 1.40 scored, 1.60 conceded a game (last 5). FC Politehnica Timisoara away: 2.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.27 goals for CSM Ramnicu Valcea, 1.51 for FC Politehnica Timisoara. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 22 Aug

CSM RAMNICU VALCEA

DWLLWL2–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 3–2 · 0–1

FC POLITEHNICA TIMISOARA

WWDWWD5–1 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 2–1 · 4–3 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slatina	9	+10	22
2	FC Politehnica Timisoara	9	+11	21
3	CSM Reşiţa	9	+7	21
4	Chindia Targoviste	9	+10	18
5	Popești-Leordeni	9	+8	18
6	CS Afumati	9	+4	17
7	Metalul Buzău	9	+3	17
8	FC Bacau	9	+10	15
9	Cetatea Suceava	9	+6	15
10	Concordia	9	+3	15
11	Gloria Bistriţa	9	+3	15
12	Bihor Oradea	9	+4	12
13	ASA Targu Mures	9	−4	11
14	Metaloglobus	9	−4	11
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	9	−4	11
16	Unirea Slobozia	9	0	7
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	9	−8	6
18	Viitorul Şelimbăr	9	−8	6
19	Ştefăneşti	9	−13	6
20	CSM Satu Mare	9	−7	5
21	CS Dinamo București	9	−18	4
22	Dumbrăviţa	9	−13	3