CSM Ramnicu Valcea v CS Afumati prediction · Liga II

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CSM Ramnicu ValceaDrawCS Afumati

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 09:00

Before kick-off · Match result · CSM Ramnicu Valcea 40%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CSM Ramnicu Valcea are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CSM Ramnicu Valcea 40%, draw 26%, CS Afumati 34%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on CSM Ramnicu Valcea v CS AfumatiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

CSM Ramnicu Valcea win40%

Draw26%

CS Afumati win34%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueStadionul Municipal

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CSM Ramnicu Valcea

CS Afumati

14Days since last match14

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga II

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	CS Afumati	10	+2	17
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	10	−5	11

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · csm ramnicu valcea winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

40% The market–

Us40%

We make CSM Ramnicu Valcea a 40% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CSM Ramnicu Valcea v CS Afumati~~1.35 – 1.23

~~Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 29 Aug~~W2 D0 L4 · W4 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 11 v 17~~14 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CSM Ramnicu Valcea win	40%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
CS Afumati win	34%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	47%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	72%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
CSM Ramnicu Valcea or draw	66%	–	–
CSM Ramnicu Valcea clean sheet	30%	–	–
CS Afumati clean sheet	27%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 8.1 9.6 5.8 2.4 1 10.5 12.1 7.4 3.1 2 6.9 8.1 4.9 2.1 3 3.2 3.7 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CSM Ramnicu Valcea down, CS Afumati across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,513 Liga II matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga II matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.6% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2023/24.

Home and away form

CSM Ramnicu Valcea at home: 1.17 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). CS Afumati away: 1.00 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.35 goals for CSM Ramnicu Valcea, 1.23 for CS Afumati. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 29 Aug

CSM RAMNICU VALCEA

WLLWLL1–0 · 1–2 · 0–4 · 3–2 · 0–1 · 0–1

CS AFUMATI

WWDWWL2–1 · 2–1 · 2–2 · 2–0 · 4–0 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Politehnica Timisoara	11	+13	27
2	Slatina	11	+9	25
3	Popești-Leordeni	11	+11	24
4	Chindia Targoviste	10	+12	21
5	Cetatea Suceava	11	+10	21
6	Metalul Buzău	11	+6	21
7	CSM Reşiţa	11	+3	21
8	Concordia	11	+8	19
9	FC Bacau	11	+12	18
10	Bihor Oradea	11	+8	18
11	Gloria Bistriţa	11	+1	18
12	CS Afumati	10	+2	17
13	Metaloglobus	10	−4	12
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	10	−5	11
15	ASA Targu Mures	10	−6	11
16	Unirea Slobozia	11	−1	8
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	10	−8	7
18	CS Dinamo București	11	−16	7
19	CSM Satu Mare	10	−7	6
20	Viitorul Şelimbăr	10	−13	6
21	Ştefăneşti	11	−19	6
22	Dumbrăviţa	11	−16	3