CSA Steaua Bucureşti v CS Dinamo București prediction · Liga II

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

CSA Steaua BucureştiDrawCS Dinamo București

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 16:00

Before kick-off · Match result · CSA Steaua Bucureşti 65%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

CSA Steaua Bucureşti are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CSA Steaua Bucureşti 65%, draw 18%, CS Dinamo București 17%. Over 2.5 goals 68%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on CSA Steaua Bucureşti v CS Dinamo BucureștiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

CSA Steaua Bucureşti win65%

Draw18%

CS Dinamo București win17%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueStadionul Steaua

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CSA Steaua Bucureşti

CS Dinamo București

13Days since last match6

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga II

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga II

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	10	−8	7
18	CS Dinamo București	11	−16	7

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · csa steaua bucureşti winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

65% The market–

Us65%

We make CSA Steaua Bucureşti a 65% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.1, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · CSA Steaua Bucureşti v CS Dinamo București~~2.42 – 1.13

~~Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 29 Aug~~W1 D3 L2 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 7 v 7~~17 v 18

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CSA Steaua Bucureşti win	65%	–	–
Draw	18%	–	–
CS Dinamo București win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	68%	–	–
Both teams to score	60%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	86%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	47%	–	–
CSA Steaua Bucureşti or draw	83%	–	–
CSA Steaua Bucureşti clean sheet	33%	–	–
CS Dinamo București clean sheet	10%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.1%

0123450 3.2 3.6 1 7.3 7.8 4.4 2 8.4 9.1 5.1 3 6.6 7.2 4.0 4 4.0 4.4 2.5 5 2.0 2.2

under 2% 5% 12%+CSA Steaua Bucureşti down, CS Dinamo București across0–5 goals a side shown (95.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,513 Liga II matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga II matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.6% of games this season, across 117 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 0.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CSA Steaua Bucureşti at home: 1.33 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). CS Dinamo București away: 1.83 scored, 3.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.42 goals for CSA Steaua Bucureşti, 1.13 for CS Dinamo București. Most likely score 2–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~0.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~CSD 0–0 CSA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 29 Aug

CSA STEAUA BUCUREŞTI

LDLWDD1–2 · 2–2 · 0–3 · 2–1 · 1–1 · 0–0

CS DINAMO BUCUREȘTI

LLLDWL0–8 · 2–5 · 3–4 · 2–2 · 4–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Politehnica Timisoara	11	+13	27
2	Slatina	11	+9	25
3	Popești-Leordeni	11	+11	24
4	Chindia Targoviste	10	+12	21
5	Cetatea Suceava	11	+10	21
6	Metalul Buzău	11	+6	21
7	CSM Reşiţa	11	+3	21
8	Concordia	11	+8	19
9	FC Bacau	11	+12	18
10	Bihor Oradea	11	+8	18
11	Gloria Bistriţa	11	+1	18
12	CS Afumati	10	+2	17
13	Metaloglobus	10	−4	12
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	10	−5	11
15	ASA Targu Mures	10	−6	11
16	Unirea Slobozia	11	−1	8
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	10	−8	7
18	CS Dinamo București	11	−16	7
19	CSM Satu Mare	10	−7	6
20	Viitorul Şelimbăr	10	−13	6
21	Ştefăneşti	11	−19	6
22	Dumbrăviţa	11	−16	3