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Model 1.2

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CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni

CS Dinamo București
1–2Full time
Popești-Leordeni

Liga II · SAT 24 OCT · CNF Buftea

Full timeGraded 24 Oct 11:38
CS Dinamo București 1–2 Popești-Leordeni POPEȘTI-LEORDENI WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Popești-Leordeni win61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.234

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 24 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Popești-Leordeni win at 61%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Popești-Leordeni was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 60% now. 0–0 · 21–18–60
  3. 1′KICK-OFF CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni
  4. 13′We said Popești-Leordeni at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 1–0 · 42–22–36
  5. 13′⚽ GOAL · 13' CS Dinamo București 1–0 Popești-Leordeni
  6. 13′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 13' Popești-Leordeni win: 61% at kick-off, 36% now
  7. 13′THE CALL SWINGS · 13' CS Dinamo București win is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Popești-Leordeni win 58%)
  8. 14′CS Dinamo București score on 13′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 42–22–36
  9. 19′We said Popești-Leordeni at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–0 · 43–22–34
  10. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Popești-Leordeni
  11. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 27' Popești-Leordeni win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
  12. 30′Goals are coming at about the 4.0 we expected. 1–0 · 46–24–30
  13. 32′We said Popești-Leordeni at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–0 · 46–24–29
  14. 43′We said Popești-Leordeni at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–0 · 50–26–24
  15. 45′SECOND HALF CS Dinamo București 1–0 Popești-Leordeni
  16. 46′HALF-TIME CS Dinamo București 1–0 Popești-Leordeni
  17. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Popești-Leordeni win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
  18. 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' CS Dinamo București
  19. 52′We said Popești-Leordeni at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 54–27–19
  20. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 54' CS Dinamo București
  21. 58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Popești-Leordeni
  22. 61′We said Popești-Leordeni at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 59–27–14
  23. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Popești-Leordeni
  24. 62′We said Popești-Leordeni at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 40%. 1–1 · 19–41–40
  25. 62′Popești-Leordeni find the net on 62′. 1–1. 1–1 · 19–41–40
  26. 62′⚽ GOAL · 62' CS Dinamo București 1–1 Popești-Leordeni
  27. 62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Popești-Leordeni win: 61% at kick-off, 40% now
  28. 65′THE CALL SWINGS · 65' Draw is now our likeliest result at 44% (was CS Dinamo București win 60%)
  29. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Popești-Leordeni
  30. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Popești-Leordeni win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
  31. 77′We published Popești-Leordeni at 61%. Our model now makes it 87%. 1–2 · 1–12–87
  32. 77′A goal for Popești-Leordeni on 77′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 1–12–87
  33. 77′⚽ GOAL · 77' CS Dinamo București 1–2 Popești-Leordeni
  34. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 77' Popești-Leordeni win: 61% at kick-off, 87% now
  35. 77′THE CALL SWINGS · 77' Popești-Leordeni win is now our likeliest result at 87% (was Draw 59%)
  36. 81′We published Popești-Leordeni at 61%. Our model now makes it 90%. 1–2 · 1–10–90
  37. 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 83' Popești-Leordeni win: 61% at kick-off, 91% now
  38. 88′We published Popești-Leordeni at 61%. Our model now makes it 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
  39. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Popești-Leordeni
  40. 94′Full time, 1–2. We called Popești-Leordeni at 61% — that one lands. 1–2 · 0–0–100
  41. FTFULL TIME CS Dinamo București 1–2 Popești-Leordeni
  42. FTCS Dinamo București 1–2 Popești-Leordeni · Popești-Leordeni win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Popești-Leordeni are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: CS Dinamo București 21%, draw 18%, Popești-Leordeni 61%. Over 2.5 goals 74%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on CS Dinamo București v Popești-LeordeniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off

CS Dinamo București win21%
Draw18%
Popești-Leordeni win61%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 11

VenueCNF Buftea

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

CS Dinamo București

Popești-Leordeni

7Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga II

Last match: 17 Oct · Liga II

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
4Popești-Leordeni10+1021
18CS Dinamo București10−157

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · popești-leordeni winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
61% The market–
Us61%

We make Popești-Leordeni a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.5, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · CS Dinamo București v Popești-Leordeni1.42 – 2.54
Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 29 AugW1 D1 L4 · W4 D1 L1
Table places · points 7 v 2118 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
CS Dinamo București win21%––
Draw18%––
Popești-Leordeni win61%––
Over 2.5 goals74%––
Both teams to score68%––
Over 1.5 goals89%––
Over 3.5 goals54%––
CS Dinamo București or draw39%––
CS Dinamo București clean sheet9%––
Popești-Leordeni clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.3%
0123450 2.3 5.3 6.2 5.0 3.2 1 3.2 7.1 8.3 6.7 4.2 2.32 2.2 5.0 5.8 4.7 3.0 3 2.4 2.8 2.2 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+CS Dinamo București down, Popești-Leordeni across0–5 goals a side shown (93.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2022/23
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.55 of 8
Both scored3 of 8
Last meetingsPOP 5–0 CSD · CSD 0–1 POP · POP 0–1 CSD · CSD 2–1 POP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 29 Aug

CS DINAMO BUCUREȘTI

LLLLDW0–1 · 0–8 · 2–5 · 3–4 · 2–2 · 4–1

POPEȘTI-LEORDENI

DWWLWW1–1 · 3–2 · 3–2 · 3–4 · 3–0 · 2–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Slatina10+1125
2FC Politehnica Timisoara10+1224
3Chindia Targoviste10+1221
4Popești-Leordeni10+1021
5CSM Reşiţa11+321
6FC Bacau10+1318
7Concordia10+818
8Cetatea Suceava10+818
9Bihor Oradea11+818
10Metalul Buzău10+318
11CS Afumati10+217
12Gloria Bistriţa10015
13Metaloglobus10−412
14CSM Ramnicu Valcea10−511
15ASA Targu Mures10−611
16Unirea Slobozia10−17
17CSA Steaua Bucureşti10−87
18CS Dinamo București10−157
19CSM Satu Mare10−76
20Viitorul Şelimbăr10−136
21Ştefăneşti10−166
22Dumbrăviţa10−153

The competition's standings before kick-off.