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CS Dinamo București v CSM Satu Mare

CS Dinamo București

2–2Full time

CSM Satu Mare

Liga II · SAT 10 OCT · CNF Buftea

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 11:42

CS Dinamo București 2–2 CSM Satu Mare CS DINAMO BUCUREȘTI WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said CS Dinamo București win~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.861

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said CS Dinamo București win at 38%.
1′Little has changed for our model: CS Dinamo București 38% before kick-off, 38% now. 0–0 · 38–25–38
1′KICK-OFF CS Dinamo București v CSM Satu Mare
11′🟨 YELLOW · 12' CS Dinamo București
13′⚽ GOAL · 13' CS Dinamo București 0–1 CSM Satu Mare
13′⚽ GOAL · 14' CS Dinamo București 0–1 CSM Satu Mare
14′🟨 YELLOW · 15' CS Dinamo București
16′CSM Satu Mare find the net on 14′. 0–1. 0–1 · 16–21–64
16′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 16' CS Dinamo București win: 38% at kick-off, 16% now
16′THE CALL SWINGS · 16' CSM Satu Mare win is now our likeliest result at 64% (was CS Dinamo București win 16%)
18′🟨 YELLOW · 19' CS Dinamo București
20′⚽ GOAL · 20' CS Dinamo București 1–1 CSM Satu Mare · K. Vida
20′⚽ GOAL · 21' CS Dinamo București 1–1 CSM Satu Mare
43′⚽ GOAL · 43' CS Dinamo București 1–2 CSM Satu Mare · F. Dumbravean
43′⚽ GOAL · 44' CS Dinamo București 1–2 CSM Satu Mare
45′SECOND HALF CS Dinamo București 1–2 CSM Satu Mare
46′HALF-TIME CS Dinamo București 1–2 CSM Satu Mare
53′🟨 YELLOW · 54' CS Dinamo București
58′🟨 YELLOW · 58' CSM Satu Mare
58′🟨 YELLOW · 59' CS Dinamo București
60′⚽ GOAL · 60' CS Dinamo București 2–2 CSM Satu Mare · S. Jurj
60′⚽ GOAL · 61' CS Dinamo București 2–2 CSM Satu Mare
64′🟨 YELLOW · 65' CSM Satu Mare
78′🟨 YELLOW · 78' CSM Satu Mare
92′🟨 YELLOW · 93' CSM Satu Mare
FTFULL TIME CS Dinamo București 2–2 CSM Satu Mare
FTCS Dinamo București 2–2 CSM Satu Mare · CS Dinamo București win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

CS Dinamo București win38%

Draw24%

CSM Satu Mare win38%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 09:00

Venue · CNF Buftea

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

CS Dinamo București

Formation not confirmed

3 A. Anghel

6 G. Gogescu

10 P. Maapia

12 D. Oncescu

13 D. Renta

15 L. Baban

18 A. Ciocan

20 I. Mitran

22 R. Cernamorit

26 F. Dumbravean

31 A. Yohannes

Coach · Ionut Chirila

Substitutes

2 · R. Balca

8 · R. Lecca

9 · G. Leata

16 · E. Paun

17 · L. Tincau

19 · V. Anghel

21 · M. Ifrim

25 · A. Rus

28 · R. Nicolae

29 · S. Pepi

30 · S. Dumitrache

90 · M. Roventa

CSM Satu Mare

Formation not confirmed

9 S. Jurj

10 M. Draghiceanu

19 Jose Elo

21 G. Carpa

25 M. Kereki

26 C. Oanea

27 K. Vida

29 E. Danila

31 V. Mutiu

86 A. Botogan

91 M. Panos

Coach · –

Substitutes

2 · C. Ardei

7 · C. Zamfir

8 · P. Copaci

11 · D. Golda

17 · A. Vasalie

20 · L. Bara

30 · I. Pop

98 · N. Andone

99 · M. Miclaus

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

CS Dinamo București

Formation not confirmed

3 A. Anghel

6 G. Gogescu

10 P. Maapia

12 D. Oncescu

13 D. Renta

15 L. Baban

18 A. Ciocan

20 I. Mitran

22 R. Cernamorit

26 F. Dumbravean

31 A. Yohannes

Coach · Ionut Chirila

Substitutes

2 · R. Balca

8 · R. Lecca

9 · G. Leata

16 · E. Paun

17 · L. Tincau

19 · V. Anghel

21 · M. Ifrim

25 · A. Rus

28 · R. Nicolae

29 · S. Pepi

30 · S. Dumitrache

90 · M. Roventa

CSM Satu Mare

Formation not confirmed

9 S. Jurj

10 M. Draghiceanu

19 Jose Elo

21 G. Carpa

25 M. Kereki

26 C. Oanea

27 K. Vida

29 E. Danila

31 V. Mutiu

86 A. Botogan

91 M. Panos

Coach · –

Substitutes

2 · C. Ardei

7 · C. Zamfir

8 · P. Copaci

11 · D. Golda

17 · A. Vasalie

20 · L. Bara

30 · I. Pop

98 · N. Andone

99 · M. Miclaus

Our number · cs dinamo bucurești winPublished 10 Oct 08:34

38% The market–

Us38%

We make CS Dinamo București a 38% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
CS Dinamo București win	38%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
CSM Satu Mare win	38%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	57%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	35%	–	–
CS Dinamo București or draw	62%	–	–
CS Dinamo București clean sheet	23%	–	–
CSM Satu Mare clean sheet	23%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 5.5 7.6 5.6 2.8 1 7.7 11.1 8.0 4.0 2 5.7 8.1 5.9 3.0 3 2.9 4.1 3.0 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+CS Dinamo București down, CSM Satu Mare across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,485 Liga II matches up to 10 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga II matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.3% of games this season, across 89 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

CS Dinamo București at home: 0.83 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). CSM Satu Mare away: 1.17 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.50 goals for CS Dinamo București, 1.49 for CSM Satu Mare. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~CSM 2–0 CSD

Form · last six in Liga II

CS DINAMO BUCUREȘTI

LWLLLL0–1 · 2–1 · 0–1 · 0–8 · 2–5 · 3–4

CSM SATU MARE

LDLDDL0–2 · 0–0 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slatina	8	+12	22
2	FC Politehnica Timisoara	9	+11	21
3	CSM Reşiţa	8	+5	18
4	FC Bacau	8	+11	15
5	Chindia Targoviste	8	+9	15
6	Popești-Leordeni	8	+5	15
7	Concordia	8	+4	15
8	Metalul Buzău	8	+2	14
9	CS Afumati	8	0	14
10	Cetatea Suceava	8	+4	12
11	Gloria Bistriţa	8	+2	12
12	Metaloglobus	8	−1	11
13	ASA Targu Mures	8	−3	11
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	8	−3	11
15	Bihor Oradea	8	+3	9
16	Viitorul Şelimbăr	8	−7	6
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	9	−8	6
18	Ştefăneşti	8	−9	6
19	Unirea Slobozia	8	−1	4
20	CSM Satu Mare	8	−7	4
21	Dumbrăviţa	8	−11	3
22	CS Dinamo București	8	−18	3