Concordia v Viitorul Şelimbăr prediction · Liga II

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 11:32

Concordia 5–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr CONCORDIA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Concordia win~~54%

~~The market said~~65%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.317

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.189

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay14 notes · 19 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Concordia win at 54%.
1′Much as we predicted: Concordia was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–23–23
1′KICK-OFF Concordia v Viitorul Şelimbăr
15′🟨 YELLOW · 14' Viitorul Şelimbăr
20′Concordia find the net on 19′. 1–0. 1–0 · 77–15–7
20′We published Concordia at 54%. Our model now makes it 77%. 1–0 · 77–15–7
20′⚽ GOAL · 19' Concordia 1–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr
20′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 20' Concordia win: 54% at kick-off, 77% now
30′Goals are coming at about the 2.8 we expected. 1–0 · 78–16–6
34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Viitorul Şelimbăr
45′HALF-TIME Concordia 1–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr
46′SECOND HALF Concordia 1–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr
48′A goal for Concordia on 48′ — 2–0. 2–0 · 96–4–1
48′We published Concordia at 54%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–0 · 96–4–1
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Concordia 2–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr
48′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 48' Concordia win: 54% at kick-off, 96% now
52′Concordia score on 52′ to make it 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Concordia 3–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr
53′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 3–0 · 99–0–0
53′Concordia find the net on 53′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
53′⚽ GOAL · 53' Concordia 4–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr
55′We published Concordia at 54%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
55′GOAL DISALLOWED · 55' Concordia
68′🟨 YELLOW · 67' Concordia
71′Concordia find the net on 70′. 4–0. 4–0 · 100–0–0
71′4 goals already, more than the 2.8 we expected for the whole match. 4–0 · 100–0–0
71′⚽ GOAL · 70' Concordia 4–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr
73′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Concordia
77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Concordia
82′A goal for Concordia on 82′ — 5–0. 5–0 · 100–0–0
82′That is 5, and we only asked for 2.8 across ninety minutes. 5–0 · 100–0–0
82′⚽ GOAL · 82' Concordia 5–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr
87′🟨 YELLOW · 87' Viitorul Şelimbăr
FTFULL TIME Concordia 5–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr
FTConcordia 5–0 Viitorul Şelimbăr · Concordia win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Concordia are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Concordia 54%, draw 23%, Viitorul Şelimbăr 23%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Concordia v Viitorul ŞelimbărBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Concordia win54%

Draw23%

Viitorul Şelimbăr win23%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 09:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueStadionul Concordia

Line-ups

Concordia

Viitorul Şelimbăr

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Concordia

Viitorul Şelimbăr

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga II

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Concordia	9	+3	15
18	Viitorul Şelimbăr	9	−8	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Concordia

Formation not confirmed

26 Y. Stanciu

5 L. Pareja

8 S. Carrasco

14 I. Padureanu

17 S. Panoiu

22 N. Carnat

23 I. Soler

24 D. Falcusan

25 D. Sula

3 D. Dumitrascu

77 S. Samanes

Coach · –

Substitutes

1 · A. Briciu

7 · A. Jipa

9 · A. Chiritoiu

11 · A. Chamorro

13 · E. Balasa

16 · A. Gualda

18 · S. Banu

21 · M. Dobrescu

28 · G. Ganea

29 · C. Licsandru

30 · R. Rotund

33 · D. Ghindovean

Viitorul Şelimbăr

Formation not confirmed

12 R. Malutan

7 P. Petrescu

6 C. Natea

13 C. Bucuroiu

17 A. Serban

20 G. Monea

21 A. Catalina

24 D. Giafer

28 A. Oroian

33 A. Luca

34 D. Iancu

Coach · Eugen Beza

Substitutes

1 · L. Branescu

4 · K. Wiktorski

9 · C. Cocos

10 · D. Benzar

11 · R. Cristea

14 · T. Lantos

15 · A. Vulcan

19 · A. Cismas

27 · M. Toader

30 · T. Ivan

42 · B. Kielhorn

Our number · concordia winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

54% The market65%

Us54%

~~Market~~65%

We make Concordia a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 11 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.0.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Concordia v Viitorul Şelimbăr~~1.78 – 1.05

~~Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 22 Aug~~W2 D0 L4 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 15 v 6~~10 v 18

~~The market · Concordia win~~65% · ours 54%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Concordia win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 63% to 65% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Concordia win	54%	65%	−11
Draw	23%	21%	+2
Viitorul Şelimbăr win	23%	14%	+9
Over 2.5 goals	53%	57%	−4
Both teams to score	53%	51%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	76%	79%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	31%	36%	−5
Concordia or draw	77%	86%	−9
Concordia clean sheet	36%	–	–
Viitorul Şelimbăr clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 6.3 6.6 3.4 1 10.8 10.8 5.7 2.0 2 9.2 9.3 4.9 3 5.4 5.5 2.9 4 2.5 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Concordia down, Viitorul Şelimbăr across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,495 Liga II matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga II matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.6% of games this season, across 99 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 1.71 goals a meeting; 1 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Concordia at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Viitorul Şelimbăr away: 0.83 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.78 goals for Concordia, 1.05 for Viitorul Şelimbăr. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~1.71

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 7

~~Both scored~~1 of 7

~~Last meetings~~VII 0–2 CON · VII 1–0 CON · VII 2–0 CON · CON 2–2 VII

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 22 Aug

CONCORDIA

LWLWLL1–5 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 5–2 · 0–1 · 2–3

VIITORUL ŞELIMBĂR

DWDLLL1–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 1–2 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slatina	9	+10	22
2	FC Politehnica Timisoara	9	+11	21
3	CSM Reşiţa	9	+7	21
4	Chindia Targoviste	9	+10	18
5	Popești-Leordeni	9	+8	18
6	CS Afumati	9	+4	17
7	Metalul Buzău	9	+3	17
8	FC Bacau	9	+10	15
9	Cetatea Suceava	9	+6	15
10	Concordia	9	+3	15
11	Gloria Bistriţa	9	+3	15
12	Bihor Oradea	9	+4	12
13	ASA Targu Mures	9	−4	11
14	Metaloglobus	9	−4	11
15	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	9	−4	11
16	Unirea Slobozia	9	0	7
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	9	−8	6
18	Viitorul Şelimbăr	9	−8	6
19	Ştefăneşti	9	−13	6
20	CSM Satu Mare	9	−7	5
21	CS Dinamo București	9	−18	4
22	Dumbrăviţa	9	−13	3