Bihor Oradea v FC Bacau prediction · Liga II

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 16:19

Bihor Oradea 1–0 FC Bacau BIHOR ORADEA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Bihor Oradea win~~47%

~~The market said~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.428

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.353

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay2 notes · 23 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Bihor Oradea win at 47%.
1′Much as we predicted: Bihor Oradea was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–23–30
1′KICK-OFF Bihor Oradea v FC Bacau
2′Much as we predicted: Bihor Oradea was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–23–30
2′🟨 YELLOW · 3' Bihor Oradea
26′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Bihor Oradea
32′⚽ GOAL · 33' Bihor Oradea 1–0 FC Bacau
33′⚽ GOAL · 33' Bihor Oradea 1–0 FC Bacau
38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' FC Bacau
39′🟨 YELLOW · 39' Bihor Oradea
48′🟨 YELLOW · 38' A. Pavel · FC Bacau
48′🟨 YELLOW · 50' FC Bacau
52′🟨 YELLOW · 53' FC Bacau
57′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Bihor Oradea
66′🟨 YELLOW · 3' A. Bota · Bihor Oradea
66′🟨 YELLOW · 27' P. Albino · Bihor Oradea
66′🟨 YELLOW · 27' M. Antoche · Bihor Oradea
66′⚽ GOAL · 33' Bihor Oradea 1–0 FC Bacau · I. Filip
66′🟨 YELLOW · 38' A. Pavel · FC Bacau
66′🟨 YELLOW · 50' FC Bacau
66′🟨 YELLOW · 53' FC Bacau
66′🟨 YELLOW · 59' Bihor Oradea
76′🟨 YELLOW · 77' FC Bacau
84′🟨 YELLOW · 86' FC Bacau
91′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Bihor Oradea
FTFULL TIME Bihor Oradea 1–0 FC Bacau
FTBihor Oradea 1–0 FC Bacau · Bihor Oradea win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Bihor Oradea win47%

Draw23%

FC Bacau win31%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:45

VenueStadionul Iuliu Bodola

Line-ups

Bihor Oradea

FC Bacau

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Bihor Oradea

FC Bacau

21Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
7	FC Bacau	8	+11	15
15	Bihor Oradea	8	+3	9

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Bihor Oradea

Formation not confirmed

1 I. Chirila

4 A. Popa

21 M. Antoche

20 P. Albino

77 P. Gal-Andrezly

16 I. Filip

28 D. Tescan

5 N. Jermol

10 A. Bota

25 A. Cocian

99 J. Dolny

Coach · Erik Lincar

Substitutes

2 · S. Kilyen

7 · I. Hora

8 · A. Orban

9 · N. Modan

17 · R. Igna

23 · A. Cruceru

79 · M. Onet

80 · F. Haita

88 · E. Dutu

FC Bacau

Formation not confirmed

4 C. Inglada

7 P. Mitrica

9 D. Luncasu

10 G. Cirstean

13 M. Bordea

14 A. Coaja

22 A. Pavel

23 M. Juric

27 R. Moise

29 T. Lacerda

30 E. Alloj

Coach · Constantin Enache

Substitutes

1 · L. Anton

6 · V. Forizs

8 · G. Albu

15 · T. Axinte

19 · D. Burlacu

21 · R. Ciobanu

24 · P. Petre

Our number · bihor oradea winPublished 11 Oct 13:43

47% The market52%

Us47%

~~Market~~52%

We make Bihor Oradea a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.8–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · bihor oradea win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 49% to 52% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bihor Oradea win	47%	52%	−5
Draw	23%	26%	−3
FC Bacau win	31%	23%	+8
Over 2.5 goals	62%	53%	+9
Both teams to score	62%	55%	+7
Over 1.5 goals	82%	76%	+7
Over 3.5 goals	40%	32%	+8
Bihor Oradea or draw	69%	77%	−8
Bihor Oradea clean sheet	25%	–	–
FC Bacau clean sheet	17%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.0%

0123450 4.3 5.9 4.1 1 7.4 10.0 7.0 3.3 2 6.5 8.8 6.1 2.9 3 3.9 5.3 3.7 4 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bihor Oradea down, FC Bacau across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,493 Liga II matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Liga II matches have gone over 2.5 in 57.7% of games this season, across 97 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bihor Oradea at home: 2.50 scored, 1.00 conceded a game (last 6). FC Bacau away: 1.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.82 goals for Bihor Oradea, 1.42 for FC Bacau. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~BIH 2–0 FCB

Form · last six in Liga II

BIHOR ORADEA

DDWLWL1–1 · 0–0 · 4–0 · 2–3 · 3–0 · 2–3

FC BACAU

WDDWWD3–0 · 2–2 · 0–0 · 6–1 · 1–0 · 2–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Slatina	9	+10	22
2	FC Politehnica Timisoara	9	+11	21
3	CSM Reşiţa	9	+7	21
4	Chindia Targoviste	9	+10	18
5	Popești-Leordeni	9	+8	18
6	Metalul Buzău	9	+3	17
7	FC Bacau	8	+11	15
8	Cetatea Suceava	9	+6	15
9	Concordia	9	+3	15
10	Gloria Bistriţa	9	+3	15
11	CS Afumati	8	0	14
12	ASA Targu Mures	9	−4	11
13	Metaloglobus	9	−4	11
14	CSM Ramnicu Valcea	9	−4	11
15	Bihor Oradea	8	+3	9
16	Unirea Slobozia	9	0	7
17	CSA Steaua Bucureşti	9	−8	6
18	Viitorul Şelimbăr	9	−8	6
19	Ştefăneşti	8	−9	6
20	CSM Satu Mare	9	−7	5
21	CS Dinamo București	9	−18	4
22	Dumbrăviţa	9	−13	3