

ASA Targu Mures v Chindia Targoviste
ASA Targu Mures
Chindia TargovisteLiga II · TUE 20 OCT · Stadionul Trans-Sil
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said ASA Targu Mures win at 42%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: ASA Targu Mures was 42% before kick-off and our model makes it 42% now. 0–0 · 42–24–34
- 1′KICK-OFF ASA Targu Mures v Chindia Targoviste
- 2′A goal for Chindia Targoviste on 1′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 21–21–58
- 2′We said ASA Targu Mures at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–21–58
- 2′⚽ GOAL · 1' ASA Targu Mures 0–1 Chindia Targoviste
- 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 2' ASA Targu Mures win: 42% at kick-off, 21% now
- 2′THE CALL SWINGS · 2' Chindia Targoviste win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was ASA Targu Mures win 42%)
- 13′We said ASA Targu Mures at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–22–59
- 20′We said ASA Targu Mures at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 6%. 0–2 · 6–12–82
- 20′⚽ GOAL · 20' ASA Targu Mures 0–2 Chindia Targoviste
- 20′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 20' ASA Targu Mures win: 42% at kick-off, 6% now
- 22′Chindia Targoviste score on 21′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 6–11–83
- 23′SUBSTITUTION · 4' ASA Targu Mures · On: G. Dumitru · Off: A. F. Iancu
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' ASA Targu Mures 1–2 Chindia Targoviste
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' ASA Targu Mures win: 42% at kick-off, 17% now
- 26′ASA Targu Mures find the net on 25′. 1–2. 1–2 · 16–22–61
- 27′🟨 YELLOW · 27' Chindia Targoviste
- 28′⚽ GOAL · 28' ASA Targu Mures 1–3 Chindia Targoviste
- 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 28' ASA Targu Mures win: 42% at kick-off, 5% now
- 29′A goal for Chindia Targoviste on 29′ — 1–3. 1–3 · 5–11–84
- 31′4 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 5–11–85
- 33′We said ASA Targu Mures at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–3 · 4–10–85
- 44′We said ASA Targu Mures at 42%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 12%. 2–3 · 12–23–65
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' ASA Targu Mures 2–3 Chindia Targoviste
- 45′ASA Targu Mures score on 45′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 12–23–65
- 45′SECOND HALF ASA Targu Mures 2–3 Chindia Targoviste
- 46′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.0 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 11–23–66
- 47′HALF-TIME ASA Targu Mures 2–3 Chindia Targoviste
- 50′🟨 YELLOW · 50' ASA Targu Mures
- 52′🟨 YELLOW · 51' ASA Targu Mures
- 74′6 goals already, more than the 3.0 we expected for the whole match. 2–4 · 0–2–97
- 74′⚽ GOAL · 74' ASA Targu Mures 2–4 Chindia Targoviste
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 74' ASA Targu Mures win: 42% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 75′Chindia Targoviste find the net on 75′. 2–4. 2–4 · 0–2–98
- 91′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' ASA Targu Mures
- 94′Full time, 2–4. We called ASA Targu Mures at 42% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–4 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME ASA Targu Mures 2–4 Chindia Targoviste
- FTASA Targu Mures 2–4 Chindia Targoviste · ASA Targu Mures win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
ASA Targu Mures are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: ASA Targu Mures 42%, draw 24%, Chindia Targoviste 34%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
ASA Targu Mures win42%
Chindia Targoviste win34%Kick-offTUE 20 OCT · 15:30
RoundMatchday 10
VenueStadionul Trans-Sil
Match timeline
All events
ASA Targu MuresMIN
Chindia TargovisteEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
ASA Targu Mures
Chindia Targoviste
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
ASA Targu Mures
Chindia Targoviste
Last match: 10 Oct · Liga II
Last match: 10 Oct · Liga II
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
ASA Targu Mures
Formation not confirmed
5 A. Horsia
6 A. F. Iancu
7 O. Siafa
9 M. Samake
13 M. Dohatca
24 M. Cioiu
30 Z. Demeter
55 E. Vinau
77 R. Trif
80 A. Moga
93 F. Iacob
Coach · Eusebiu Tudor
Substitutes
1 · R. Geanta
10 · Jair
11 · D. Faragau
12 · D. Barabas
16 · R. Calugar
20 · S. Ekollo
21 · B. Kocsis
23 · G. Dumitru
28 · L. Galdea
90 · A. Capac
Chindia Targoviste
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Mocan
2 F. Gaspar
6 D. Celea
16 S. Issah
5 M. Briceag
77 V. Bogdan
11 G. Honciu
8 Totti
7 A. Baluta
21 S. Camara
9 R. Mihai
Coach · Leontin Grozavu
Substitutes
33 · G. Isvoranu
27 · C. Costin
44 · A. Bilali
20 · B. Petre
17 · K. Doukoure
23 · I. Rosu
59 · D. Popadiuc
98 · M. Vladu
10 · C. Negut
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
ASA Targu Mures
Formation not confirmed
5 A. Horsia
6 A. F. Iancu
7 O. Siafa
9 M. Samake
13 M. Dohatca
24 M. Cioiu
30 Z. Demeter
55 E. Vinau
77 R. Trif
80 A. Moga
93 F. Iacob
Coach · Eusebiu Tudor
Substitutes
1 · R. Geanta
10 · Jair
11 · D. Faragau
12 · D. Barabas
16 · R. Calugar
20 · S. Ekollo
21 · B. Kocsis
23 · G. Dumitru
28 · L. Galdea
90 · A. Capac
Chindia Targoviste
Formation not confirmed
1 A. Mocan
2 F. Gaspar
6 D. Celea
16 S. Issah
5 M. Briceag
77 V. Bogdan
11 G. Honciu
8 Totti
7 A. Baluta
21 S. Camara
9 R. Mihai
Coach · Leontin Grozavu
Substitutes
33 · G. Isvoranu
27 · C. Costin
44 · A. Bilali
20 · B. Petre
17 · K. Doukoure
23 · I. Rosu
59 · D. Popadiuc
98 · M. Vladu
10 · C. Negut
We make ASA Targu Mures a 42% chance to win. The market has them at 29%. We are 13 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–1.4.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 43%, 42% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 29% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASA Targu Mures win | 42% | 29% | +13 |
| Draw | 24% | 27% | −3 |
| Chindia Targoviste win | 34% | 44% | −10 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% | 55% | +3 |
| Both teams to score | 59% | 59% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% | 77% | +3 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 36% | 35% | +1 |
| ASA Targu Mures or draw | 66% | 56% | +10 |
| ASA Targu Mures clean sheet | 25% | – | – |
| Chindia Targoviste clean sheet | 21% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
1 meeting since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga II this season · since 21 Aug
ASA TARGU MURES
CHINDIA TARGOVISTE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Slatina | 10 | +11 | 25 |
| 2 | FC Politehnica Timisoara | 10 | +12 | 24 |
| 3 | Popești-Leordeni | 10 | +10 | 21 |
| 4 | CSM Reşiţa | 10 | +5 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Bacau | 10 | +13 | 18 |
| 6 | Chindia Targoviste | 9 | +10 | 18 |
| 7 | Concordia | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 8 | Cetatea Suceava | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 9 | Metalul Buzău | 10 | +3 | 18 |
| 10 | CS Afumati | 10 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 | Bihor Oradea | 10 | +6 | 15 |
| 12 | Gloria Bistriţa | 10 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Metaloglobus | 10 | −4 | 12 |
| 14 | ASA Targu Mures | 9 | −4 | 11 |
| 15 | CSM Ramnicu Valcea | 10 | −5 | 11 |
| 16 | Unirea Slobozia | 10 | −1 | 7 |
| 17 | CSA Steaua Bucureşti | 10 | −8 | 7 |
| 18 | CS Dinamo București | 10 | −15 | 7 |
| 19 | CSM Satu Mare | 10 | −7 | 6 |
| 20 | Viitorul Şelimbăr | 10 | −13 | 6 |
| 21 | Ştefăneşti | 10 | −16 | 6 |
| 22 | Dumbrăviţa | 10 | −15 | 3 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Slatina
FC Politehnica Timisoara
Popești-Leordeni
CSM Reşiţa
FC Bacau
Concordia
Cetatea Suceava
Metalul Buzău
CS Afumati
Bihor Oradea
Gloria Bistriţa
Metaloglobus
CSM Ramnicu Valcea
Unirea Slobozia
CSA Steaua Bucureşti
CS Dinamo București
CSM Satu Mare
Viitorul Şelimbăr
Ştefăneşti
Dumbrăviţa