Universitatea Craiova v FC Botosani prediction · Liga I

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Universitatea CraiovaDrawFC Botosani

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Universitatea Craiova 66%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Universitatea Craiova are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Universitatea Craiova 66%, draw 20%, FC Botosani 13%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Universitatea Craiova v FC BotosaniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Universitatea Craiova win66%

Draw20%

FC Botosani win13%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 14

VenueStadionul Ion Oblemenco

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Universitatea Craiova

FC Botosani

9Days since last match8

Last match: 22 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference League

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga I

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
3	Universitatea Craiova	12	+18	26
11	FC Botosani	13	0	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · universitatea craiova winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

66% The market66%

Us66%

~~Market~~66%

We make Universitatea Craiova a 66% chance to win. The market has them at 66%. We are level with the market. The model expects 2.0–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Universitatea Craiova v FC Botosani~~2.03 – 0.77

~~Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 31 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 26 v 14~~3 v 11

~~The market · Universitatea Craiova win~~66% · ours 66%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Universitatea Craiova win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 66% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Universitatea Craiova win	66%	66%	0
Draw	20%	21%	−1
FC Botosani win	13%	13%	0
Over 2.5 goals	53%	51%	+2
Both teams to score	46%	46%	0
Over 1.5 goals	77%	74%	+3
Over 3.5 goals	31%	30%	+1
Universitatea Craiova or draw	87%	87%	0
Universitatea Craiova clean sheet	47%	–	–
FC Botosani clean sheet	14%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 4 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.4%

0123450 6.5 4.7 1 12.3 9.6 3.7 2 12.4 9.4 3.6 3 8.4 6.3 2.4 4 4.3 3.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Universitatea Craiova down, FC Botosani across0–5 goals a side shown (98.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,699 Liga I matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga I matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games this season, across 101 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Universitatea Craiova at home: 3.00 scored, 0.33 conceded a game (last 6). FC Botosani away: 0.83 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.03 goals for Universitatea Craiova, 0.77 for FC Botosani. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~UNI 2–0 FCB · FCB 1–1 UNI · FCB 2–2 UNI · UNI 0–0 FCB

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 31 Aug

UNIVERSITATEA CRAIOVA

DWWWWW1–1 · 4–0 · 1–0 · 5–0 · 1–0 · 2–0

FC BOTOSANI

WDLWLL5–0 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 2–0 · 0–2 · 1–3

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	12	+20	29
2	Rapid	13	+8	27
3	Universitatea Craiova	12	+18	26
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	+1	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	+5	22
6	FCSB	13	+1	21
7	Uta Arad	13	−1	18
8	Farul Constanta	12	0	17
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	12	−1	16
10	Corvinul Hunedoara	13	−2	16
11	FC Botosani	13	0	14
12	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	12	−5	14
13	Arges Pitesti	13	−6	12
14	Oţelul	12	−5	11
15	FC Voluntari	13	−16	8
16	Csikszereda	13	−17	5