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Model 1.1

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Universitatea Cluj v Rapid

Universitatea Cluj
3–4Full time
Rapid

Liga I · MON 12 OCT · Cluj Arena

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 21:35
Universitatea Cluj 3–4 Rapid UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Universitatea Cluj win47%
The market said35%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.822
The market’s Brier score0.615

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 48 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Universitatea Cluj win at 47%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Universitatea Cluj was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 47% now. 0–0 · 47–26–27
  3. 2′Mouhamadou Drammeh scores for Universitatea Cluj on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–17–10
  4. 3′We published Universitatea Cluj at 47%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–17–10
  5. 7′Issouf Macalou scores for Universitatea Cluj on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–17–9
  6. 9′Issouf Macalou scores for Universitatea Cluj on 2′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 73–17–9
  7. 9′We published Universitatea Cluj at 47%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–17–9
  8. 10′We published Universitatea Cluj at 47%. Our model now makes it 73%. 1–0 · 73–17–9
  9. 13′13′ and it is 1–1: Mohammed·Kamara on the scoresheet for Rapid. 1–1 · 45–29–26
  10. 14′Much as we predicted: Universitatea Cluj was 47% before kick-off and our model makes it 44% now. 1–1 · 44–29–26
  11. 23′Rapid ahead on 24′ through Filip Stojiljković. 1–1. 1–1 · 43–32–26
  12. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  13. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 43% now
  14. 24′We said Universitatea Cluj at 47%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 17%. 1–2 · 17–25–58
  15. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Universitatea Cluj 1–2 Rapid · Filip Stojiljković
  16. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
  17. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Rapid win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Universitatea Cluj win 17%)
  18. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 24' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  19. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Universitatea Cluj win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Rapid win 9%)
  20. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 25' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 17% now
  21. 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Rapid win is now our likeliest result at 58% (was Universitatea Cluj win 17%)
  22. 25′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 25' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  23. 25′THE CALL SWINGS · 25' Universitatea Cluj win is now our likeliest result at 73% (was Rapid win 9%)
  24. 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 26' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  25. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  26. 28′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 28' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  27. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  28. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 30' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  29. 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 31' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  30. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  31. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  32. 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 34' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  33. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  34. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 36' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  35. 37′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 37' Universitatea Cluj win: 47% at kick-off, 73% now
  36. 42′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Alexandru Dobre · Rapid
  37. 45′SECOND HALF Universitatea Cluj 1–2 Rapid
  38. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Universitatea Cluj · On: Elio Capradossi · Off: Iulian Cristea
  39. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Universitatea Cluj 1–2 Rapid · Filip Stojiljković
  40. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Universitatea Cluj 1–3 Rapid · Filip Stojiljković
  41. 53′⚽ GOAL · 54' Universitatea Cluj 1–3 Rapid · Mouhamadou Drammeh
  42. 54′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Rapid · On: Vladan Bubanja · Off: Alexandru Dobre
  43. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Universitatea Cluj 2–3 Rapid · Mouhamadou Drammeh
  44. 55′🟨 YELLOW · 56' Jovo Lukić · Universitatea Cluj
  45. 59′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Rapid · On: Claudiu Petrila · Off: Mohammed·Kamara
  46. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Universitatea Cluj · On: Jug Stanojev · Off: Dino Mikanović
  47. 71′🟨 YELLOW · 72' Ovidiu Bic · Universitatea Cluj
  48. 73′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Sheriff Sinyan · Rapid
  49. 77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Universitatea Cluj · On: Andrei Gheorghiță · Off: Marius Stefanescu
  50. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Universitatea Cluj 3–3 Rapid · Mouhamadou Drammeh
  51. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' Universitatea Cluj 3–3 Rapid · Dorin Codrea
  52. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Rapid · On: Alexandru Paşcanu · Off: Olimpiu Moruțan
  53. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 87' Rapid · On: Rares Pop · Off: Constantin Grameni
  54. 87′⚽ GOAL · 88' Universitatea Cluj 3–3 Rapid · Razvan Onea
  55. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Universitatea Cluj 3–4 Rapid · Razvan Onea
  56. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Razvan Onea · Rapid
  57. 91′SUBSTITUTION · 91' Universitatea Cluj · On: Alibek Aliev · Off: Jovo Lukić Corrected
  58. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Claudiu Petrila · Rapid
  59. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 92' Issouf Macalou · Universitatea Cluj
  60. FTFULL TIME Universitatea Cluj 3–4 Rapid
  61. FTUniversitatea Cluj 3–4 Rapid · Universitatea Cluj win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with a pass — 7 days or 30 days.

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Pre-match prediction

Published 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off

Universitatea Cluj win47%
Draw27%
Rapid win27%

Kick-offMON 12 OCT · 19:00

VenueCluj Arena

RefereeRares George Vidican

Line-ups

Universitatea Cluj

4-2-3-1

Rapid

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Universitatea Cluj

Rapid

4Days since last match24
1Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Rapid10+821
5Universitatea Cluj10+318

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Universitatea Cluj

4-2-3-1

1 Ştefan Daniel Lefter

24 D. Mikanović

6 I. Cristea

8 D. Codrea

27 A. Chipciu

94 O. Bic

7 M. Drammeh

19 I. Macalou

29 O. Mendy

11 M. Ștefănescu

17 J. Lukić

Coach · C. Bergodi

Substitutes

2 · A. Chinteș

25 · A. Aliev

12 · A. Friday

77 · A. Gheorghiță

93 · N. Michael

21 · D. Moldovan

10 · D. Nistor

22 · F. Poulolo

33 · J. Stanojev

59 · Ionel Alin Techereș

23 · E. Capradossi

18 · Pedro Pinho

Rapid

4-2-3-1

99 B. Ungureanu

19 R. Onea

18 S. Sinyan

6 L. Kramer

66 W. L. Ouedraogo

8 C. Grameni

44 C. B. Doumbia

29 A. Dobre

80 O. Moruțan

7 M. Kamara

9 F. Stojilković

Coach · D. Pancu

Substitutes

27 · E. Annan

22 · V. Bubanja

13 · D. Ciobotariu

90 · T. Jambor

23 · C. Manea

5 · A. Pașcanu

10 · C. Petrila

55 · R. Pop

21 · R. Sălceanu

79 · Eric Ange Tape

20 · Andrei Sucu

16 · M. Aioani

Our number · universitatea cluj winFirst published 9 Oct 06:15 · updated 12 Oct 18:50 · locked at kick-off
47% The market34%
Us47%
Market34%

We make Universitatea Cluj a 47% chance to win. The market has them at 34%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.0.

How the number movedSince we published
30%35%40%45%50% 9 OCT 06:2012 OCT 18:58
Our probability · universitatea cluj win The market, margin stripped

Published at 46%, 47% now. The market has gone from 35% to 34% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Universitatea Cluj win47%34%+12
Draw27%29%−2
Rapid win27%37%−10
Over 2.5 goals46%48%−2
Both teams to score50%54%−4
Over 1.5 goals71%72%−1
Over 3.5 goals25%28%−4
Universitatea Cluj or draw73%63%+10
Universitatea Cluj clean sheet35%––
Rapid clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.5%
0123450 8.6 8.3 4.5 1 11.7 12.5 6.4 2.3 2 8.7 8.9 4.7 3 4.3 4.4 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Universitatea Cluj down, Rapid across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

12 meetings since 2022
Goals a meeting2.17
Over 2.55 of 12
Both scored4 of 12
Last meetingsUNI 1–0 RAP · RAP 1–2 UNI · RAP 0–2 UNI · UNI 0–0 RAP

Form · last six in Liga I

UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ

LLLWWW1–2 · 2–3 · 0–4 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 3–1

RAPID

LWDWWW0–1 · 2–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 3–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dinamo Bucuresti11+1826
2Universitatea Craiova11+1623
3Rapid10+821
4Petrolul Ploiesti11−119
5Universitatea Cluj10+318
6Farul Constanta11+217
7Corvinul Hunedoara11+316
8FCSB11−315
9FC Botosani11+414
10CFR 1907 Cluj10−113
11Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe11−513
12Uta Arad11−312
13Arges Pitesti10−411
14Oţelul11−510
15FC Voluntari11−148
16Csikszereda11−181

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.