Universitatea Cluj v FCSB prediction · Liga I

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Universitatea ClujDrawFCSB

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Universitatea Cluj 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Universitatea Cluj are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Universitatea Cluj 48%, draw 24%, FCSB 28%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Universitatea Cluj v FCSBBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Universitatea Cluj win48%

Draw24%

FCSB win28%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 14

VenueCluj Arena

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Universitatea Cluj

FCSB

8Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Liga I

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga I

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	+5	22
6	FCSB	13	+1	21

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · universitatea cluj winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

48% The market36%

Us48%

~~Market~~36%

We make Universitatea Cluj a 48% chance to win. The market has them at 36%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.2.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Universitatea Cluj v FCSB~~1.69 – 1.24

~~Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 5 Sept~~W4 D1 L1 · W3 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 22 v 21~~5 v 6

~~The market · Universitatea Cluj win~~36% · ours 48%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Universitatea Cluj win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 36% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Universitatea Cluj win	48%	36%	+12
Draw	24%	30%	−6
FCSB win	28%	34%	−6
Over 2.5 goals	56%	49%	+7
Both teams to score	57%	57%	0
Over 1.5 goals	79%	73%	+6
Over 3.5 goals	34%	28%	+6
Universitatea Cluj or draw	72%	66%	+6
Universitatea Cluj clean sheet	29%	–	–
FCSB clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 3 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.2%

0123450 5.7 6.6 4.2 1 9.0 11.2 6.8 2.8 2 7.6 9.2 5.7 2.4 3 4.3 5.2 3.2 4 2.3 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Universitatea Cluj down, FCSB across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,699 Liga I matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga I matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games this season, across 101 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.30 goals a meeting; 4 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Universitatea Cluj at home: 2.33 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). FCSB away: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.69 goals for Universitatea Cluj, 1.24 for FCSB. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.30

~~Over 2.5~~4 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~FCS 1–3 UNI · UNI 0–2 FCS · UNI 0–2 FCS · FCS 1–0 UNI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 5 Sept

UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ

WWWLDW3–0 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 3–4 · 2–2 · 3–0

FCSB

LDLWWW1–2 · 2–2 · 0–5 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 4–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	12	+20	29
2	Rapid	13	+8	27
3	Universitatea Craiova	12	+18	26
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	+1	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	+5	22
6	FCSB	13	+1	21
7	Uta Arad	13	−1	18
8	Farul Constanta	12	0	17
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	12	−1	16
10	Corvinul Hunedoara	13	−2	16
11	FC Botosani	13	0	14
12	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	12	−5	14
13	Arges Pitesti	13	−6	12
14	Oţelul	12	−5	11
15	FC Voluntari	13	−16	8
16	Csikszereda	13	−17	5