

Universitatea Cluj v Arges Pitesti
Universitatea Cluj
Arges PitestiLiga I · MON 19 OCT · Cluj Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Universitatea Cluj win at 54%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Universitatea Cluj was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–27–19
- 1′KICK-OFF Universitatea Cluj v Arges Pitesti
- 3′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–26–47
- 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Universitatea Cluj 0–1 Arges Pitesti
- 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 27% now
- 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Arges Pitesti win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Universitatea Cluj win 53%)
- 4′GOAL DISALLOWED · 4' Arges Pitesti
- 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 53% now
- 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Universitatea Cluj win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Arges Pitesti win 47%)
- 13′SUBSTITUTION · 13' Universitatea Cluj · On: Iulian Cristea · Off: Elio Capradossi
- 16′We published Universitatea Cluj at 54%. Our model now makes it 81%. 1–0 · 81–14–5
- 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Universitatea Cluj 1–0 Arges Pitesti
- 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 81% now
- 18′GOAL DISALLOWED · 18' Universitatea Cluj
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
- 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Universitatea Cluj 0–1 Arges Pitesti
- 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 20% now
- 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Arges Pitesti win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Universitatea Cluj win 48%)
- 25′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Oucasse Mendy · Universitatea Cluj
- 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Universitatea Cluj 1–1 Arges Pitesti
- 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 47% now
- 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Universitatea Cluj win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Arges Pitesti win 53%)
- 28′27′: Jovo Lukić on the scoresheet for Universitatea Cluj, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 47–35–19
- 33′SUBSTITUTION · 33' Universitatea Cluj · On: Pedro Pinho · Off: Mouhamadou Drammeh
- 34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Jovo Lukić · Universitatea Cluj
- 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Ionut Laurentiu Radescu · Arges Pitesti
- 40′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 1–1 · 42–40–18
- 44′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 83–14–3
- 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Universitatea Cluj 2–1 Arges Pitesti
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 83% now
- 45′Universitatea Cluj ahead on 44′ through an own goal by Florin Gheorghe·Borta. 2–1. 2–1 · 83–14–3
- 45′SECOND HALF Universitatea Cluj 2–1 Arges Pitesti
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Arges Pitesti · On: Taylor Luvambo · Off: Guilherme Garutti
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Arges Pitesti · On: Patrick dulcea · Off: Tiago·Goncalves
- 49′HALF-TIME Universitatea Cluj 2–1 Arges Pitesti
- 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 84% now
- 54′13 shots for Arges Pitesti, 8 the other way, and they still trail 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
- 56′We published Universitatea Cluj at 54%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 61′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 2–2 · 31–55–14
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Universitatea Cluj 2–2 Arges Pitesti
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 31% now
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Universitatea Cluj win 86%)
- 62′Yanis Pirvu scores for Arges Pitesti on 62′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 30–56–14
- 63′4 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 30–57–14
- 64′Arges Pitesti have had 16 attempts to 9 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 29–58–13
- 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Dorinel·Oancea · Arges Pitesti
- 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 24% now
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Universitatea Cluj · On: Alibek Aliev · Off: Oucasse Mendy
- 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Universitatea Cluj · On: Jug Stanojev · Off: Issouf Macalou
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Arges Pitesti · On: Silviu Balaure · Off: Claudiu Micovschi
- 75′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–71–9
- 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Pedro Pinho · Universitatea Cluj
- 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 14% now
- 81′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–81–6
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Arges Pitesti · On: Oluwatobiloba Alagbe · Off: Ionut Laurentiu Radescu
- 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Arges Pitesti · On: Mendy Mamadou · Off: Ricardo Matos
- 84′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–87–4
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Silviu Balaure · Arges Pitesti
- 91′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
- 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
- 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Patrick dulcea · Arges Pitesti
- 93′Full time, 2–2. We called Universitatea Cluj at 54% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
- FTFULL TIME Universitatea Cluj 2–2 Arges Pitesti
- FTUniversitatea Cluj 2–2 Arges Pitesti · Universitatea Cluj win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Universitatea Cluj are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Universitatea Cluj 54%, draw 27%, Arges Pitesti 19%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 41%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Universitatea Cluj win54%
Arges Pitesti win19%Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 16:00
RoundMatchday 12
VenueCluj Arena
RefereeGeorge Catalin Roman
Match timeline
All events
Universitatea ClujMIN
Arges PitestiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Universitatea Cluj
4-1-4-1
Arges Pitesti
3-4-1-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Universitatea Cluj
Arges Pitesti
Last match: 12 Oct · Liga I
Last match: 12 Oct · Liga I
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Universitatea Cluj
4-1-4-1
1 Ştefan Daniel Lefter
24 D. Mikanović
22 F. Poulolo
23 E. Capradossi
27 A. Chipciu
94 O. Bic
19 I. Macalou
7 M. Drammeh
29 O. Mendy
11 M. Ștefănescu
17 J. Lukić
Coach · C. Bergodi
Substitutes
6 · I. Cristea
25 · A. Aliev
18 · Pedro Pinho
2 · A. Chinteș
12 · A. Friday
77 · A. Gheorghiță
93 · N. Michael
21 · D. Moldovan
96 · L. Pall
59 · Ionel Alin Techereș
33 · J. Stanojev
Arges Pitesti
3-4-1-2
77 I. Nikić
15 Guilherme Garutti
3 L. Sadriu
23 F. Borţa
2 A. Tofan
26 D. Oancea
16 I. Rădescu
25 Tiago Gonçalves
11 Y. Pîrvu
19 C. Micovschi
17 Ricardo Matos
Coach · Bogdan Andone
Substitutes
69 · O. Adefunyibomi
96 · S. Balaure
34 · C. Căbuz
20 · P. Dulcea
80 · X. Emmers
92 · T. Luvambo
8 · M. Mamadou
18 · Daniel Sandu
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Universitatea Cluj
4-1-4-1
1 Ştefan Daniel Lefter
24 D. Mikanović
22 F. Poulolo
23 E. Capradossi
27 A. Chipciu
94 O. Bic
19 I. Macalou
7 M. Drammeh
29 O. Mendy
11 M. Ștefănescu
17 J. Lukić
Coach · C. Bergodi
Substitutes
6 · I. Cristea
25 · A. Aliev
18 · Pedro Pinho
2 · A. Chinteș
12 · A. Friday
77 · A. Gheorghiță
93 · N. Michael
21 · D. Moldovan
96 · L. Pall
59 · Ionel Alin Techereș
33 · J. Stanojev
Arges Pitesti
3-4-1-2
77 I. Nikić
15 Guilherme Garutti
3 L. Sadriu
23 F. Borţa
2 A. Tofan
26 D. Oancea
16 I. Rădescu
25 Tiago Gonçalves
11 Y. Pîrvu
19 C. Micovschi
17 Ricardo Matos
Coach · Bogdan Andone
Substitutes
69 · O. Adefunyibomi
96 · S. Balaure
34 · C. Căbuz
20 · P. Dulcea
80 · X. Emmers
92 · T. Luvambo
8 · M. Mamadou
18 · Daniel Sandu
We make Universitatea Cluj a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.8.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 53%, 54% now. The market has gone from 53% to 58% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universitatea Cluj win | 54% | 58% | −4 |
| Draw | 27% | 25% | +2 |
| Arges Pitesti win | 19% | 18% | +1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% | 49% | −10 |
| Both teams to score | 41% | 49% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% | 72% | −7 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% | 28% | −9 |
| Universitatea Cluj or draw | 81% | 82% | −1 |
| Universitatea Cluj clean sheet | 47% | – | – |
| Arges Pitesti clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
8 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 24 Aug
UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ
ARGES PITESTI
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 12 | +20 | 29 |
| 2 | Rapid | 12 | +11 | 27 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 12 | +18 | 26 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 12 | −1 | 20 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 12 | +1 | 16 |
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 12 | −1 | 16 |
| 9 | Uta Arad | 12 | −2 | 15 |
| 10 | FCSB | 11 | −3 | 15 |
| 11 | FC Botosani | 12 | +2 | 14 |
| 12 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 12 | −5 | 14 |
| 13 | Oţelul | 12 | −5 | 11 |
| 14 | Arges Pitesti | 11 | −5 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 11 | −14 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 12 | −18 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Universitatea Craiova
Petrolul Ploiesti
Farul Constanta
Corvinul Hunedoara
CFR 1907 Cluj
Uta Arad
FCSB
FC Botosani
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Oţelul
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda