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Universitatea Cluj v Arges Pitesti

Universitatea Cluj
2–2Full time
Arges Pitesti

Liga I · MON 19 OCT · Cluj Arena

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 18:30
Universitatea Cluj 2–2 Arges Pitesti UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · WRONGNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Universitatea Cluj win54%
The market said58%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.861
The market’s Brier score0.935

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay18 notes · 45 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Universitatea Cluj win at 54%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Universitatea Cluj was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 54% now. 0–0 · 54–27–19
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Universitatea Cluj v Arges Pitesti
  4. 3′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–1 · 27–26–47
  5. 3′⚽ GOAL · 3' Universitatea Cluj 0–1 Arges Pitesti
  6. 3′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 3' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 27% now
  7. 3′THE CALL SWINGS · 3' Arges Pitesti win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Universitatea Cluj win 53%)
  8. 4′GOAL DISALLOWED · 4' Arges Pitesti
  9. 4′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 4' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 53% now
  10. 4′THE CALL SWINGS · 4' Universitatea Cluj win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Arges Pitesti win 47%)
  11. 13′SUBSTITUTION · 13' Universitatea Cluj · On: Iulian Cristea · Off: Elio Capradossi
  12. 16′We published Universitatea Cluj at 54%. Our model now makes it 81%. 1–0 · 81–14–5
  13. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Universitatea Cluj 1–0 Arges Pitesti
  14. 16′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 16' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 81% now
  15. 18′GOAL DISALLOWED · 18' Universitatea Cluj
  16. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 18' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 50% now
  17. 24′⚽ GOAL · 24' Universitatea Cluj 0–1 Arges Pitesti
  18. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 20% now
  19. 24′THE CALL SWINGS · 24' Arges Pitesti win is now our likeliest result at 52% (was Universitatea Cluj win 48%)
  20. 25′🟨 YELLOW · 24' Oucasse Mendy · Universitatea Cluj
  21. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Universitatea Cluj 1–1 Arges Pitesti
  22. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 47% now
  23. 27′THE CALL SWINGS · 27' Universitatea Cluj win is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Arges Pitesti win 53%)
  24. 28′27′: Jovo Lukić on the scoresheet for Universitatea Cluj, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 47–35–19
  25. 33′SUBSTITUTION · 33' Universitatea Cluj · On: Pedro Pinho · Off: Mouhamadou Drammeh
  26. 34′🟨 YELLOW · 34' Jovo Lukić · Universitatea Cluj
  27. 38′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Ionut Laurentiu Radescu · Arges Pitesti
  28. 40′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 1–1 · 42–40–18
  29. 44′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.2 across ninety minutes. 2–1 · 83–14–3
  30. 44′⚽ GOAL · 44' Universitatea Cluj 2–1 Arges Pitesti
  31. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 83% now
  32. 45′Universitatea Cluj ahead on 44′ through an own goal by Florin Gheorghe·Borta. 2–1. 2–1 · 83–14–3
  33. 45′SECOND HALF Universitatea Cluj 2–1 Arges Pitesti
  34. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Arges Pitesti · On: Taylor Luvambo · Off: Guilherme Garutti
  35. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Arges Pitesti · On: Patrick dulcea · Off: Tiago·Goncalves
  36. 49′HALF-TIME Universitatea Cluj 2–1 Arges Pitesti
  37. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 84% now
  38. 54′13 shots for Arges Pitesti, 8 the other way, and they still trail 2–1. 2–1 · 84–14–2
  39. 56′We published Universitatea Cluj at 54%. Our model now makes it 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  40. 61′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 2–2 · 31–55–14
  41. 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Universitatea Cluj 2–2 Arges Pitesti
  42. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 61' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 31% now
  43. 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Draw is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Universitatea Cluj win 86%)
  44. 62′Yanis Pirvu scores for Arges Pitesti on 62′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 30–56–14
  45. 63′4 goals already, more than the 2.2 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 30–57–14
  46. 64′Arges Pitesti have had 16 attempts to 9 and it is still 2–2. 2–2 · 29–58–13
  47. 64′🟨 YELLOW · 64' Dorinel·Oancea · Arges Pitesti
  48. 70′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 70' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 24% now
  49. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Universitatea Cluj · On: Alibek Aliev · Off: Oucasse Mendy
  50. 71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Universitatea Cluj · On: Jug Stanojev · Off: Issouf Macalou
  51. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Arges Pitesti · On: Silviu Balaure · Off: Claudiu Micovschi
  52. 75′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 2–2 · 19–71–9
  53. 75′🟨 YELLOW · 75' Pedro Pinho · Universitatea Cluj
  54. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 14% now
  55. 81′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 2–2 · 13–81–6
  56. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 75' Arges Pitesti · On: Oluwatobiloba Alagbe · Off: Ionut Laurentiu Radescu
  57. 81′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Arges Pitesti · On: Mendy Mamadou · Off: Ricardo Matos
  58. 84′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 9–87–4
  59. 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Silviu Balaure · Arges Pitesti
  60. 91′We said Universitatea Cluj at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 2–2 · 4–94–2
  61. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+1' Universitatea Cluj win: 54% at kick-off, 4% now
  62. 92′🟨 YELLOW · 90+1' Patrick dulcea · Arges Pitesti
  63. 93′Full time, 2–2. We called Universitatea Cluj at 54% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–2 · 0–100–0
  64. FTFULL TIME Universitatea Cluj 2–2 Arges Pitesti
  65. FTUniversitatea Cluj 2–2 Arges Pitesti · Universitatea Cluj win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Universitatea Cluj are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Universitatea Cluj 54%, draw 27%, Arges Pitesti 19%. Over 2.5 goals 39%, both teams to score 41%.

The AI’s read on Universitatea Cluj v Arges PitestiBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Universitatea Cluj win54%
Draw27%
Arges Pitesti win19%

Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 16:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueCluj Arena

RefereeGeorge Catalin Roman

Line-ups

Universitatea Cluj

4-1-4-1

Arges Pitesti

3-4-1-2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Universitatea Cluj

Arges Pitesti

7Days since last match7

Last match: 12 Oct · Liga I

Last match: 12 Oct · Liga I

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
5Universitatea Cluj11+218
14Arges Pitesti11−511

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Universitatea Cluj

4-1-4-1

1 Ştefan Daniel Lefter

24 D. Mikanović

22 F. Poulolo

23 E. Capradossi

27 A. Chipciu

94 O. Bic

19 I. Macalou

7 M. Drammeh

29 O. Mendy

11 M. Ștefănescu

17 J. Lukić

Coach · C. Bergodi

Substitutes

6 · I. Cristea

25 · A. Aliev

18 · Pedro Pinho

2 · A. Chinteș

12 · A. Friday

77 · A. Gheorghiță

93 · N. Michael

21 · D. Moldovan

96 · L. Pall

59 · Ionel Alin Techereș

33 · J. Stanojev

Arges Pitesti

3-4-1-2

77 I. Nikić

15 Guilherme Garutti

3 L. Sadriu

23 F. Borţa

2 A. Tofan

26 D. Oancea

16 I. Rădescu

25 Tiago Gonçalves

11 Y. Pîrvu

19 C. Micovschi

17 Ricardo Matos

Coach · Bogdan Andone

Substitutes

69 · O. Adefunyibomi

96 · S. Balaure

34 · C. Căbuz

20 · P. Dulcea

80 · X. Emmers

92 · T. Luvambo

8 · M. Mamadou

18 · Daniel Sandu

Our number · universitatea cluj winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 13 Oct 05:44 · locked at kick-off
54% The market58%
Us54%
Market58%

We make Universitatea Cluj a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 58%. We are 4 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Universitatea Cluj v Arges Pitesti1.48 – 0.76
Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 24 AugW3 D0 L3 · W0 D1 L5
Table places · points 18 v 115 v 14
The market · Universitatea Cluj win58% · ours 54%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55%60% 11 OCT 04:0519 OCT 15:41
Our probability · Universitatea Cluj win The market, margin stripped

Published at 53%, 54% now. The market has gone from 53% to 58% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Universitatea Cluj win54%58%−4
Draw27%25%+2
Arges Pitesti win19%18%+1
Over 2.5 goals39%49%−10
Both teams to score41%49%−8
Over 1.5 goals65%72%−7
Over 3.5 goals19%28%−9
Universitatea Cluj or draw81%82%−1
Universitatea Cluj clean sheet47%––
Arges Pitesti clean sheet23%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.6%
0123450 11.2 8.0 3.1 1 15.6 12.0 4.5 2 11.5 8.6 3.3 3 5.7 4.3 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Universitatea Cluj down, Arges Pitesti across0–5 goals a side shown (99.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.12
Over 2.52 of 8
Both scored4 of 8
Last meetingsUNI 1–0 ARG · ARG 1–1 UNI · ARG 0–1 UNI · UNI 3–1 ARG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 24 Aug

UNIVERSITATEA CLUJ

LLWWWL2–3 · 0–4 · 3–0 · 2–0 · 3–1 · 3–4

ARGES PITESTI

LLLDLL0–1 · 0–1 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 1–3 · 0–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dinamo Bucuresti12+2029
2Rapid12+1127
3Universitatea Craiova12+1826
4Petrolul Ploiesti12−120
5Universitatea Cluj11+218
6Farul Constanta12017
7Corvinul Hunedoara12+116
8CFR 1907 Cluj12−116
9Uta Arad12−215
10FCSB11−315
11FC Botosani12+214
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe12−514
13Oţelul12−511
14Arges Pitesti11−511
15FC Voluntari11−148
16Csikszereda12−182

The competition's standings before kick-off.