Rapid v Csikszereda prediction · Liga I

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

RapidDrawCsikszereda

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Rapid 69%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rapid are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rapid 69%, draw 19%, Csikszereda 12%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Rapid v CsikszeredaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Rapid win69%

Draw19%

Csikszereda win12%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 14

VenueSuperbet Arena - Giulesti

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rapid

Csikszereda

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga I

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Rapid	13	+8	27
16	Csikszereda	13	−17	5

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rapid winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

69% The market76%

Us69%

~~Market~~76%

We make Rapid a 69% chance to win. The market has them at 76%. We are 7 points less confident than the market. The model expects 2.2–0.8.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rapid v Csikszereda~~2.20 – 0.78

~~Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 5 Sept~~W5 D0 L1 · W1 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 27 v 5~~2 v 16

~~The market · Rapid win~~76% · ours 69%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Rapid win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 76% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rapid win	69%	76%	−7
Draw	19%	16%	+3
Csikszereda win	12%	8%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	57%	61%	−4
Both teams to score	48%	46%	+2
Over 1.5 goals	79%	81%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	35%	40%	−5
Rapid or draw	88%	92%	−4
Rapid clean sheet	46%	–	–
Csikszereda clean sheet	12%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 12.2%

0123450 5.5 4.0 1 11.2 8.8 3.4 2 12.2 9.3 3.6 3 8.9 6.8 2.6 4 5.0 3.8 5 2.3

under 2% 5% 12%+Rapid down, Csikszereda across0–5 goals a side shown (97.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,699 Liga I matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga I matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games this season, across 101 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Rapid at home: 1.83 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Csikszereda away: 0.67 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

2.20 goals for Rapid, 0.78 for Csikszereda. Most likely score 2–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~1 of 2

~~Last meetings~~RAP 4–1 CSI · CSI 0–2 RAP

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 5 Sept

RAPID

WWWWWL1–0 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 4–3 · 2–0 · 1–4

CSIKSZEREDA

LLLLDW1–5 · 1–3 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–1 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	12	+20	29
2	Rapid	13	+8	27
3	Universitatea Craiova	12	+18	26
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	+1	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	+5	22
6	FCSB	13	+1	21
7	Uta Arad	13	−1	18
8	Farul Constanta	12	0	17
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	12	−1	16
10	Corvinul Hunedoara	13	−2	16
11	FC Botosani	13	0	14
12	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	12	−5	14
13	Arges Pitesti	13	−6	12
14	Oţelul	12	−5	11
15	FC Voluntari	13	−16	8
16	Csikszereda	13	−17	5