Rapid v Corvinul Hunedoara prediction · Liga I

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 22:01

Rapid 2–0 Corvinul Hunedoara RAPID WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Rapid win~~54%

~~The market said~~60%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.323

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.245

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Rapid win at 54%.
0′KICK-OFF Rapid v Corvinul Hunedoara
2′Much as we predicted: Rapid was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–25–21
10′Corvinul Hunedoara find the net on 9′. 0–0 · 52–27–21
13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Corvinul Hunedoara
36′35′: Mohammed·Kamara on the scoresheet for Rapid. 0–0 · 45–35–20
37′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 37' Rapid win: 54% at kick-off, 44% now
42′We said Rapid at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 0–0 · 42–38–20
45′HALF-TIME Rapid 0–0 Corvinul Hunedoara
46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Corvinul Hunedoara · On: Mihajlo Ivančević · Off: Florin Ilie
48′SECOND HALF Rapid 0–0 Corvinul Hunedoara
50′We said Rapid at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–43–19
50′🟨 YELLOW · 49' antonio manolache · Corvinul Hunedoara
51′THE CALL SWINGS · 51' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Rapid win 38%)
56′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 36–47–17
58′We said Rapid at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–49–17
58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' Rapid win: 54% at kick-off, 34% now
61′We published Rapid at 54%. Our model now makes it 84%. 1–0 · 84–14–2
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Rapid 1–0 Corvinul Hunedoara
61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Rapid win: 54% at kick-off, 84% now
61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Rapid win is now our likeliest result at 84% (was Draw 14%)
62′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 62' Rapid win: 54% at kick-off, 84% now
63′Rapid ahead on 61′ through Alexandru Dobre. 1–0. 1–0 · 84–14–2
64′We published Rapid at 54%. Our model now makes it 85%. 1–0 · 85–13–2
67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Corvinul Hunedoara · On: Mario·Bratu · Off: Emmanuel Yeboah
74′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Corvinul Hunedoara · On: Mohammad Abualnadi · Off: antonio manolache
74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Rapid · On: Claudiu Petrila · Off: Mohammed·Kamara
74′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Rapid · On: Timotej·Jambor · Off: Filip Stojiljković
FTFULL TIME Rapid 2–0 Corvinul Hunedoara
FTRapid 2–0 Corvinul Hunedoara · Rapid win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rapid are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rapid 54%, draw 25%, Corvinul Hunedoara 21%. Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Rapid v Corvinul HunedoaraBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Rapid win54%

Draw25%

Corvinul Hunedoara win21%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 19:30

RoundMatchday 12

VenueGiulești

RefereeSzabolcs Kovacs

Line-ups

Rapid

4-2-3-1

Corvinul Hunedoara

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rapid

Corvinul Hunedoara

5Days since last match8

Last match: 12 Oct · Liga I

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga I

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	Rapid	11	+9	24
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	11	+3	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Rapid

4-2-3-1

99 B. Ungureanu

19 R. Onea

5 A. Pașcanu

6 L. Kramer

66 W. L. Ouedraogo

44 C. B. Doumbia

8 C. Grameni

29 A. Dobre

80 O. Moruțan

7 M. Kamara

9 F. Stojilković

Coach · D. Pancu

Substitutes

16 · M. Aioani

27 · E. Annan

22 · V. Bubanja

13 · D. Ciobotariu

23 · C. Manea

10 · C. Petrila

55 · R. Pop

17 · S. Senciuc

18 · S. Sinyan

77 · J. Kodor

20 · Andrei Sucu

90 · T. Jambor

Corvinul Hunedoara

4-2-3-1

21 C. Sandu

13 F. Iacob

18 F. Ilie

30 A. Manolache

10 A. Neacșa

20 Sérgio Ribeiro

23 I. Cărăruș

99 E. Yeboah

22 A. Fábry

19 N. Pîrvulescu

32 A. Gillard

Coach · F. Maxim

Substitutes

29 · E. Okoro

9 · R. Espinosa

70 · R. Deaconu

41 · M. Bratu

8 · Constantin Dragoș Albu

15 · M. Ivančević

11 · Roger Junio

47 · G. Uche Goodlad

5 · M. Abualnadi

12 · A. Frânculescu

14 · M. Hayatu

Our number · rapid winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 13 Oct 05:44 · locked at kick-off

54% The market60%

Us54%

~~Market~~60%

We make Rapid a 54% chance to win. The market has them at 60%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.6–0.9.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rapid v Corvinul Hunedoara~~1.63 – 0.91

~~Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 21 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W2 D2 L2

~~Table places · points 24 v 16~~2 v 7

~~The market · Rapid win~~60% · ours 54%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Rapid win The market, margin stripped

Published at 53%, 54% now. The market has gone from 63% to 60% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rapid win	54%	60%	−6
Draw	25%	24%	+1
Corvinul Hunedoara win	21%	17%	+4
Over 2.5 goals	46%	52%	−6
Both teams to score	48%	51%	−3
Over 1.5 goals	72%	75%	−3
Over 3.5 goals	25%	31%	−6
Rapid or draw	79%	83%	−4
Rapid clean sheet	41%	–	–
Corvinul Hunedoara clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.7%

0123450 8.4 7.1 3.4 1 12.7 11.7 5.3 2 10.3 9.2 4.2 3 5.6 5.0 2.3 4 2.4 2.1 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rapid down, Corvinul Hunedoara across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,688 Liga I matches up to 16 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga I matches have gone over 2.5 in 47.8% of games this season, across 90 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2022/23.

Home and away form

Rapid at home: 1.67 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Corvinul Hunedoara away: 0.60 scored, 1.20 conceded (last 5).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Rapid, 0.91 for Corvinul Hunedoara. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 21 Aug

RAPID

WDWWWW2–0 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 4–3

CORVINUL HUNEDOARA

DDLLWW0–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	12	+20	29
2	Rapid	11	+9	24
3	Universitatea Craiova	11	+16	23
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	11	−1	19
5	Universitatea Cluj	11	+2	18
6	Farul Constanta	11	+2	17
7	Corvinul Hunedoara	11	+3	16
8	CFR 1907 Cluj	11	0	16
9	FCSB	11	−3	15
10	FC Botosani	12	+2	14
11	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	11	−5	13
12	Uta Arad	11	−3	12
13	Oţelul	12	−5	11
14	Arges Pitesti	11	−5	11
15	FC Voluntari	11	−14	8
16	Csikszereda	12	−18	2