

Petrolul Ploiesti v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Petrolul Ploiesti
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheLiga I · SAT 17 OCT · Stadionul Ilie Oana
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Petrolul Ploiesti win at 40%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Petrolul Ploiesti 40% before kick-off, 40% now. 0–0 · 40–30–30
- 1′KICK-OFF Petrolul Ploiesti v Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 26′A goal for Petrolul Ploiesti on 25′. 0–0 · 36–36–28
- 26′Teixeira leo scores for Petrolul Ploiesti on 26′. 0–0 · 36–36–28
- 27′We said Petrolul Ploiesti at 40% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 1–0 · 72–20–8
- 27′⚽ GOAL · 26' Petrolul Ploiesti 1–0 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · Teixeira leo
- 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Petrolul Ploiesti win: 40% at kick-off, 72% now
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.1 we expected. 1–0 · 73–20–8
- 30′🟨 YELLOW · 28' Ovidiu Nicuşor Burcă · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 34′⚽ GOAL · 34' Petrolul Ploiesti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 34′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 34' Petrolul Ploiesti win: 40% at kick-off, 34% now
- 34′THE CALL SWINGS · 34' Draw is now our likeliest result at 39% (was Petrolul Ploiesti win 34%)
- 36′Doru Andrei scores for Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe on 34′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 33–40–26
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 43' Boris Cmiljanić · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 45′HALF-TIME Petrolul Ploiesti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 46′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45+1' Petrolul Ploiesti win: 40% at kick-off, 30% now
- 46′SECOND HALF Petrolul Ploiesti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 51′We said Petrolul Ploiesti at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 28%. 1–1 · 28–49–23
- 60′SUBSTITUTION · 59' Petrolul Ploiesti · On: israel ola · Off: Alejandro Bran Corrected
- 61′We said Petrolul Ploiesti at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–56–20
- 61′🟨 YELLOW · 60' Nicolae Ionuț Paun · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · On: Moses Dramwi Mawa · Off: Boris Cmiljanić
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' mark tutu · Petrolul Ploiesti
- 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Petrolul Ploiesti win: 40% at kick-off, 20% now
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · On: Aboubakar Keita · Off: Nicolae Ionuț Paun
- 70′We said Petrolul Ploiesti at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–66–16
- 75′🟨 YELLOW · 73' Robert Silaghi · Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- 75′SUBSTITUTION · 74' Petrolul Ploiesti · On: David Paraschiv · Off: Luciano Gaston Vega Albornoz
- 76′We said Petrolul Ploiesti at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–12
- 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 81' Petrolul Ploiesti win: 40% at kick-off, 10% now
- 82′We said Petrolul Ploiesti at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · On: Hunor. Batzula · Off: Doru Andrei
- 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · On: Carl·Davordzie · Off: Dimitri Oberlin
- 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · On: Victor Daguin · Off: Robert Silaghi
- 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Petrolul Ploiesti · On: Tiberiu Căpuşă · Off: Sergiu Hanca
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Petrolul Ploiesti · On: Calal Hüseynov · Off: Teixeira leo
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Petrolul Ploiesti · On: Rareș Leescu · Off: mark tutu
- 89′We said Petrolul Ploiesti at 40%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
- FTFULL TIME Petrolul Ploiesti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
- FTPetrolul Ploiesti 1–1 Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe · Petrolul Ploiesti win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassPetrolul Ploiesti are narrow favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Petrolul Ploiesti 40%, draw 30%, Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe 31%. Over 2.5 goals 36%, both teams to score 43%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
Petrolul Ploiesti win40%
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win31%Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:15
RoundMatchday 12
VenueStadionul Ilie Oana
RefereeAndrei Chivulete
Match timeline
All events
Petrolul PloiestiMIN
Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Petrolul Ploiesti
4-4-2
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Petrolul Ploiesti
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Last match: 11 Oct · Liga I
Last match: 9 Oct · Liga I
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Petrolul Ploiesti
4-4-2
38 L. Zima
22 M. Țuțu
4 P. Papp
71 B. Malula
2 A. Dumitrescu
19 Léo Teixeira
20 S. Hanca
10 A. Bran
7 Rodrigo Martins
9 D. Nlundulu
8 L. Vega
Coach · Ricardo Sousa
Substitutes
66 · T. Căpușă
28 · M. Costache
18 · C. Hüseynov
80 · M. Ioniță
99 · O. Dele
30 · R. Leescu
29 · K. Ludewig
40 · R. Manolache
21 · David Ionut
1 · Ștefan Alexandru Rădulescu
24 · Adam Zaian
26 · Liviu Argeșanu
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4-3-3
33 S. Gyenge
25 B. Oteliță
31 L. Rose
4 S. Karamoko
3 Fábio Vianna
6 N. Păun
7 R. Silaghi
27 Raul Cîmpean
17 D. Andrei
9 B. Cmiljanić
11 D. Oberlin
Coach · O. Burcă
Substitutes
91 · D. Lazar
82 · D. Vîrtej
8 · A. Keita
20 · Nacho Heras
19 · G. Ghimfuș
14 · M. Mawa
21 · A. Dobrosavlevici
88 · C. Davordzie
28 · V. Daguin
23 · Hunor Batzula
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Petrolul Ploiesti
4-4-2
38 L. Zima
22 M. Țuțu
4 P. Papp
71 B. Malula
2 A. Dumitrescu
19 Léo Teixeira
20 S. Hanca
10 A. Bran
7 Rodrigo Martins
9 D. Nlundulu
8 L. Vega
Coach · Ricardo Sousa
Substitutes
66 · T. Căpușă
28 · M. Costache
18 · C. Hüseynov
80 · M. Ioniță
99 · O. Dele
30 · R. Leescu
29 · K. Ludewig
40 · R. Manolache
21 · David Ionut
1 · Ștefan Alexandru Rădulescu
24 · Adam Zaian
26 · Liviu Argeșanu
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
4-3-3
33 S. Gyenge
25 B. Oteliță
31 L. Rose
4 S. Karamoko
3 Fábio Vianna
6 N. Păun
7 R. Silaghi
27 Raul Cîmpean
17 D. Andrei
9 B. Cmiljanić
11 D. Oberlin
Coach · O. Burcă
Substitutes
91 · D. Lazar
82 · D. Vîrtej
8 · A. Keita
20 · Nacho Heras
19 · G. Ghimfuș
14 · M. Mawa
21 · A. Dobrosavlevici
88 · C. Davordzie
28 · V. Daguin
23 · Hunor Batzula
We make Petrolul Ploiesti a 40% chance to win. The market has them at 45%. We are 5 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.2–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 47% to 45% in the same time.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Petrolul Ploiesti win | 40% | 45% | −5 |
| Draw | 30% | 28% | +2 |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe win | 31% | 27% | +4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% | 47% | −11 |
| Both teams to score | 43% | 51% | −8 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% | 71% | −8 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 26% | −9 |
| Petrolul Ploiesti or draw | 69% | 73% | −4 |
| Petrolul Ploiesti clean sheet | 38% | – | – |
| Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe clean sheet | 32% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 6 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
9 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 21 Aug
PETROLUL PLOIESTI
SEPSI OSK SFANTU GHEORGHE
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 12 | +20 | 29 |
| 2 | Rapid | 11 | +9 | 24 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 11 | +16 | 23 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 11 | −1 | 19 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 11 | +2 | 18 |
| 6 | Farul Constanta | 11 | +2 | 17 |
| 7 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 11 | +3 | 16 |
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 11 | 0 | 16 |
| 9 | FCSB | 11 | −3 | 15 |
| 10 | FC Botosani | 12 | +2 | 14 |
| 11 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 11 | −5 | 13 |
| 12 | Uta Arad | 11 | −3 | 12 |
| 13 | Oţelul | 12 | −5 | 11 |
| 14 | Arges Pitesti | 11 | −5 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 11 | −14 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 12 | −18 | 2 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dinamo Bucuresti
Rapid
Universitatea Craiova
Universitatea Cluj
Farul Constanta
Corvinul Hunedoara
CFR 1907 Cluj
FCSB
FC Botosani
Uta Arad
Oţelul
Arges Pitesti
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda