Oţelul v Csikszereda

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Oţelul win at 61%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF Oţelul v Csikszereda
3. 2′Much as we predicted: Oţelul was 61% before kick-off and our model makes it 61% now. 0–0 · 61–22–17
4. 23′We published Oţelul at 61%. Our model now makes it 83%. 1–0 · 83–13–4
5. 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Oţelul 1–0 Csikszereda
6. 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' Oţelul win: 61% at kick-off, 83% now
7. 24′23′: Rafael Brito on the scoresheet for Oţelul, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 83–13–4
8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.7 we expected. 1–0 · 83–13–4
9. 45′SECOND HALF Oţelul 1–0 Csikszereda
10. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Csikszereda · On: Nino Kukovec · Off: Márton Eppel
11. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Csikszereda · On: artur horvath · Off: Veres Szilard
12. 46′HALF-TIME Oţelul 1–0 Csikszereda
13. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 45+1' Raul Palmes Ioan · Csikszereda
14. 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Oţelul · On: Andrei Ciobanu · Off: Andrezinho
15. 52′We said Oţelul at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 1–1 · 43–41–16
16. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Oţelul 1–1 Csikszereda
17. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Oţelul win: 61% at kick-off, 43% now
18. 55′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 55' Oţelul win: 61% at kick-off, 41% now
19. 57′THE CALL SWINGS · 57' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Oţelul win 40%)
20. 58′Csikszereda level it on 57′ through Nino Kukovec. 1–1. 1–1 · 39–46–15
21. 58′Csikszereda level it on 52′ through Nino Kukovec. 1–1. 1–1 · 39–46–15
22. 59′We said Oţelul at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 1–1 · 38–47–15
23. 59′🟨 YELLOW · 58' Nino Kukovec · Csikszereda
24. 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Oţelul · On: Denis Bordun · Off: Alexandru Viorel Bălănică
25. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Oţelul · On: João Paulino · Off: Teodor lungu
26. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Csikszereda · On: Dusan Vukovic · Off: Albert Stahl
27. 66′We said Oţelul at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 33%. 1–1 · 33–54–13
28. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' Oţelul win: 61% at kick-off, 31% now
29. 70′We said Oţelul at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–59–12
30. 70′🟨 YELLOW · 69' Dusan Vukovic · Csikszereda
31. 73′🟥 RED CARD · 73' Csikszereda
32. 76′We said Oţelul at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 22%. 1–1 · 22–68–10
33. 77′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 77' Oţelul win: 61% at kick-off, 21% now
34. 77′🟥 RED CARD · 77' Csikszereda
35. 78′Csikszereda are down to nine from 77′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 1–1 · 20–71–9
36. 79′We said Oţelul at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 19–73–8
37. 82′We said Oţelul at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–79–6
38. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Csikszereda · On: adam czekus · Off: Gabriel Araújo Lima
39. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Oţelul · On: Dan Cristian Neicu · Off: Dominick Zator
40. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Oţelul win: 61% at kick-off, 11% now
41. 85′19 shots for Oţelul, 14 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 10–85–5
42. 86′We said Oţelul at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–4
43. 87′SUBSTITUTION · 86' Csikszereda · On: Luca Novelli · Off: Szabolcs Nyitra
44. 88′Oţelul have had 20 attempts to 14 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 8–89–3
45. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Eduard Pap · Csikszereda
46. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Giannis Christopoulos · Oţelul
47. 92′We said Oţelul at 61%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–94–2
48. 93′We published Oţelul at 61%. Our model now makes it 99%. 2–1 · 99–1–0
49. 93′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Oţelul 2–1 Csikszereda
50. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+3' Oţelul win: 61% at kick-off, 99% now
51. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Oţelul win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
52. 93′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90+3' Oţelul
53. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Oţelul win: 61% at kick-off, 3% now
54. 93′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Oţelul win 3%)
55. 96′25 shots for Oţelul, 14 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 2–97–1
56. FTFULL TIME Oţelul 1–1 Csikszereda
57. FTOţelul 1–1 Csikszereda · Oţelul win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.