

FCSB v Rapid
FCSB
RapidLiga I · SAT 24 OCT · Arena Națională
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said FCSB win at 45%.
- 1′KICK-OFF FCSB v Rapid
- 2′Little has changed for our model: FCSB 45% before kick-off, 45% now. 0–0 · 45–26–29
- 11′We said FCSB at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 21%. 0–1 · 21–23–56
- 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' FCSB 0–1 Rapid
- 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 11' FCSB win: 45% at kick-off, 21% now
- 11′THE CALL SWINGS · 11' Rapid win is now our likeliest result at 56% (was FCSB win 44%)
- 12′Filip Stojiljković scores for Rapid on 11′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 20–23–57
- 16′We said FCSB at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–23–57
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 2.7 we expected. 0–1 · 16–24–60
- 31′FCSB have had 7 attempts to 1 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 16–24–60
- 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' FCSB win: 45% at kick-off, 15% now
- 35′We said FCSB at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–24–61
- 42′FCSB have had 9 attempts to 2 and it is still 0–1. 0–1 · 12–24–63
- 43′SUBSTITUTION · 42' FCSB · On: Alexandru Stoian · Off: Paul Arnold Garita
- 45′HALF-TIME FCSB 0–1 Rapid
- 45′SECOND HALF FCSB 0–1 Rapid
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FCSB · On: Aymen Boutoutaou · Off: David Miculescu
- 52′We said FCSB at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 0–1 · 9–24–67
- 56′12 shots for FCSB, 3 the other way, and they still trail 0–1. 0–1 · 8–23–69
- 59′58′: Karlo Muhar on the scoresheet for FCSB. 0–1 · 7–23–70
- 59′We said FCSB at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 30%. 1–1 · 30–48–22
- 59′⚽ GOAL · 58' FCSB 1–1 Rapid · Karlo Muhar
- 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' FCSB win: 45% at kick-off, 30% now
- 59′THE CALL SWINGS · 59' Draw is now our likeliest result at 48% (was Rapid win 70%)
- 60′We said FCSB at 45%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–49–22
- 62′16 shots for FCSB, 3 the other way, and nothing between the sides on the scoreboard. 1–1 · 28–51–21
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Rapid · On: Vladan Bubanja · Off: Alexandru Dobre
- 65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' FCSB · On: Joao Paulo Fernandes · Off: Meriton Korenica
- 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' Rapid · On: Claudiu Petrila · Off: Olimpiu Moruțan
- 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' FCSB win: 45% at kick-off, 25% now
- 69′We said FCSB at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 82%. 2–1 · 82–15–2
- 69′⚽ GOAL · 69' FCSB 2–1 Rapid
- 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 69' FCSB win: 45% at kick-off, 82% now
- 69′THE CALL SWINGS · 69' FCSB win is now our likeliest result at 82% (was Draw 58%)
- 70′FCSB ahead on 69′ through Aymen Boutoutaou. 2–1. 2–1 · 83–15–2
- 71′3 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–1 · 83–15–2
- 74′We said FCSB at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
- 74′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 74' FCSB win: 45% at kick-off, 85% now
- 79′Joao Paulo Fernandes scores for FCSB on 79′ — 3–1. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Rapid · On: J. Kodor · Off: Chec Bebel Doumbia
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Rapid · On: Ebenezer Annan · Off: Latif Ouedraogo
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Rapid · On: Sheriff Sinyan · Off: Alexandru Paşcanu
- 79′⚽ GOAL · 79' FCSB 3–1 Rapid · Joao Paulo Fernandes
- 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 79' FCSB win: 45% at kick-off, 99% now
- 80′We said FCSB at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 99%. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 81′That is 4, and we only asked for 2.7 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 99–1–0
- 81′We said FCSB at 45% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' FCSB 4–1 Rapid
- 82′81′: Aymen Boutoutaou on the scoresheet for FCSB, making it 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 83′5 goals already, more than the 2.7 we expected for the whole match. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FCSB · On: Dylan Batubinsika · Off: Risto Radunović
- 86′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FCSB · On: Dennis Politic · Off: Juri Cisotti
- 90′4–1 at the end. Our 45% on FCSB comes in. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 90′🟨 YELLOW · 90+2' Constantin Grameni · Rapid
- FTFULL TIME FCSB 4–1 Rapid
- FTFCSB 4–1 Rapid · FCSB win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
FCSB are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: FCSB 45%, draw 25%, Rapid 29%. Over 2.5 goals 51%, both teams to score 54%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
FCSB win45%
Rapid win29%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 19:00
RoundMatchday 13
VenueArena Națională
RefereeHoratiu Fesnic
Match timeline
All events
FCSBMIN
RapidEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
FCSB
4-2-3-1
Rapid
4-2-3-1
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
FCSB
Rapid
Last match: 19 Oct · Liga I
Last match: 17 Oct · Liga I
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
FCSB
4-2-3-1
32 Ș. Târnovanu
2 V. Crețu
5 J. Dawa
3 André Duarte
33 R. Radunović
73 K. Muhar
4 Ricardo Padurariu
11 D. Miculescu
31 J. Cisotti
7 M. Korenica
14 A. Garita
Coach · L. Reghecampf
Substitutes
28 · A. Boutoutaou
21 · D. Batubinsika
8 · E. Gnahoré
97 · R. Labonne
18 · João Paulo
20 · D. Politic
98 · D. Popa
13 · M. Popa
17 · M. Popescu
77 · L. Stancu
90 · A. Stoian
Rapid
4-2-3-1
99 B. Ungureanu
19 R. Onea
5 A. Pașcanu
6 L. Kramer
66 W. L. Ouedraogo
44 C. B. Doumbia
8 C. Grameni
29 A. Dobre
80 O. Moruțan
7 M. Kamara
9 F. Stojilković
Coach · D. Pancu
Substitutes
77 · J. Kodor
18 · S. Sinyan
17 · S. Senciuc
10 · C. Petrila
23 · C. Manea
42 · A. Kumer
90 · T. Jambor
13 · D. Ciobotariu
22 · V. Bubanja
27 · E. Annan
16 · M. Aioani
20 · Andrei Sucu
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
FCSB
4-2-3-1
32 Ș. Târnovanu
2 V. Crețu
5 J. Dawa
3 André Duarte
33 R. Radunović
73 K. Muhar
4 Ricardo Padurariu
11 D. Miculescu
31 J. Cisotti
7 M. Korenica
14 A. Garita
Coach · L. Reghecampf
Substitutes
28 · A. Boutoutaou
21 · D. Batubinsika
8 · E. Gnahoré
97 · R. Labonne
18 · João Paulo
20 · D. Politic
98 · D. Popa
13 · M. Popa
17 · M. Popescu
77 · L. Stancu
90 · A. Stoian
Rapid
4-2-3-1
99 B. Ungureanu
19 R. Onea
5 A. Pașcanu
6 L. Kramer
66 W. L. Ouedraogo
44 C. B. Doumbia
8 C. Grameni
29 A. Dobre
80 O. Moruțan
7 M. Kamara
9 F. Stojilković
Coach · D. Pancu
Substitutes
77 · J. Kodor
18 · S. Sinyan
17 · S. Senciuc
10 · C. Petrila
23 · C. Manea
42 · A. Kumer
90 · T. Jambor
13 · D. Ciobotariu
22 · V. Bubanja
27 · E. Annan
16 · M. Aioani
20 · Andrei Sucu
We make FCSB a 45% chance to win. The market has them at 40%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.5–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 40% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| FCSB win | 45% | 40% | +5 |
| Draw | 25% | 28% | −3 |
| Rapid win | 29% | 33% | −4 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% | 51% | 0 |
| Both teams to score | 54% | 57% | −3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% | 75% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% | 31% | −2 |
| FCSB or draw | 71% | 67% | +4 |
| FCSB clean sheet | 31% | – | – |
| Rapid clean sheet | 22% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 30 Aug
FCSB
RAPID
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dinamo Bucuresti | 12 | +20 | 29 |
| 2 | Rapid | 12 | +11 | 27 |
| 3 | Universitatea Craiova | 12 | +18 | 26 |
| 4 | Petrolul Ploiesti | 13 | +1 | 23 |
| 5 | Universitatea Cluj | 13 | +5 | 22 |
| 6 | FCSB | 12 | −2 | 18 |
| 7 | Farul Constanta | 12 | 0 | 17 |
| 8 | CFR 1907 Cluj | 12 | −1 | 16 |
| 9 | Corvinul Hunedoara | 13 | −2 | 16 |
| 10 | Uta Arad | 12 | −2 | 15 |
| 11 | FC Botosani | 13 | 0 | 14 |
| 12 | Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe | 12 | −5 | 14 |
| 13 | Arges Pitesti | 12 | −5 | 12 |
| 14 | Oţelul | 12 | −5 | 11 |
| 15 | FC Voluntari | 13 | −16 | 8 |
| 16 | Csikszereda | 13 | −17 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Dinamo Bucuresti
Universitatea Craiova
Petrolul Ploiesti
Universitatea Cluj
Farul Constanta
CFR 1907 Cluj
Corvinul Hunedoara
Uta Arad
FC Botosani
Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe
Arges Pitesti
Oţelul
FC Voluntari
Csikszereda