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FC Voluntari v FCSB

FC Voluntari
1–2Full time
FCSB

Liga I · MON 19 OCT · Stadionul Anghel Iordănescu

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 21:30
FC Voluntari 1–2 FCSB FCSB WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said FCSB win46%
The market said59%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.439
The market’s Brier score0.247

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 32 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FCSB win at 46%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: FCSB 46% before kick-off, 46% now. 0–0 · 30–24–46
  3. 1′KICK-OFF FC Voluntari v FCSB
  4. 13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Metod Jurhar · FC Voluntari
  5. 15′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Ion Gheorghe · FC Voluntari
  6. 28′Paul Arnold Garita scores for FCSB on 27′. 0–0 · 29–30–42
  7. 29′We said FCSB at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 72%. 0–1 · 10–19–72
  8. 29′⚽ GOAL · 27' FC Voluntari 0–1 FCSB · Paul Arnold Garita (assist Risto Radunović)
  9. 29′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 29' FCSB win: 46% at kick-off, 72% now
  10. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.0 we expected. 0–1 · 10–19–72
  11. 30′🟨 YELLOW · 29' Karlo Muhar · FCSB
  12. 34′33′: Paul Arnold Garita on the scoresheet for FCSB. 0–1 · 9–19–72
  13. 45′HALF-TIME FC Voluntari 0–1 FCSB
  14. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FCSB · On: Ofri Arad · Off: Karlo Muhar
  15. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FC Voluntari · On: Godfried Roemeratoe · Off: Marvin Schieb
  16. 45′SECOND HALF FC Voluntari 0–1 FCSB
  17. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' FCSB · On: Joao Paulo Fernandes · Off: Meriton Korenica
  18. 50′We said FCSB at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 75%. 0–1 · 6–19–75
  19. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' FCSB win: 46% at kick-off, 76% now
  20. 56′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Florin Cristian Pârvu · FC Voluntari
  21. 60′59′: Remus Gutea on the scoresheet for FC Voluntari, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 23–46–31
  22. 60′We said FCSB at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 23–46–31
  23. 60′⚽ GOAL · 59' FC Voluntari 1–1 FCSB · Remus Gutea
  24. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' FCSB win: 46% at kick-off, 31% now
  25. 60′THE CALL SWINGS · 60' Draw is now our likeliest result at 46% (was FCSB win 77%)
  26. 62′🟨 YELLOW · 61' Risto Radunović · FCSB
  27. 63′We said FCSB at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 22–49–29
  28. 67′SUBSTITUTION · 66' FC Voluntari · On: Mihael Onișa · Off: Merloi George Cristian
  29. 68′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 68' FCSB win: 46% at kick-off, 26% now
  30. 69′🟨 YELLOW · 68' Mihael Onișa · FC Voluntari
  31. 71′We said FCSB at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 18–58–24
  32. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' FCSB · On: Dennis Politic · Off: Juri Cisotti
  33. 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' FCSB · On: Aymen Boutoutaou · Off: Risto Radunović
  34. 76′We said FCSB at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 1–1 · 15–66–19
  35. 79′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 79' FCSB win: 46% at kick-off, 16% now
  36. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 79' FCSB · On: Alexandru Stoian · Off: Paul Arnold Garita
  37. 81′We said FCSB at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 11–76–14
  38. 83′SUBSTITUTION · 82' FC Voluntari · On: Nuno Miguel Santos Rodrigues · Off: Remus Gutea
  39. 84′SUBSTITUTION · 83' FC Voluntari · On: Mihai Roman II · Off: Matko Babić
  40. 85′We said FCSB at 46%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 7–84–9
  41. 86′An own goal by FC Voluntari's Alexandru Suteu on 85′. 1–1 · 6–85–8
  42. 87′We said FCSB at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 94%. 1–2 · 0–6–94
  43. 87′⚽ GOAL · 85' FC Voluntari 1–2 FCSB · Alexandru Suteu (own goal)
  44. 87′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 87' FCSB win: 46% at kick-off, 94% now
  45. 87′THE CALL SWINGS · 87' FCSB win is now our likeliest result at 94% (was Draw 86%)
  46. 88′We said FCSB at 46% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 1–2 · 0–5–95
  47. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' FC Voluntari · On: Adi Marian Chică-Roșă · Off: Denis Haruț
  48. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' FCSB win: 46% at kick-off, 96% now
  49. FTFULL TIME FC Voluntari 1–2 FCSB
  50. FTFC Voluntari 1–2 FCSB · FCSB win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FCSB are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC Voluntari 30%, draw 24%, FCSB 46%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on FC Voluntari v FCSBBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

FC Voluntari win30%
Draw24%
FCSB win46%

Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 19:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueStadionul Anghel Iordănescu

RefereeGabriel Mihuleac

Line-ups

FC Voluntari

4-2-3-1

FCSB

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC Voluntari

FCSB

10Days since last match9

Last match: 9 Oct · Liga I

Last match: 10 Oct · Liga I

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
10FCSB11−315
15FC Voluntari11−148

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

FC Voluntari

4-2-3-1

31 M. Jurhar

5 D. Haruţ

6 S. Čestić

4 D. Dumbrăvanu

30 A. Șuteu

40 L. Cvek

8 I. Gheorghe

19 M. Schieb

10 G. Merloi

11 R. Guțea

9 M. Babić

Coach · Florin Pîrvu

Substitutes

28 · B. Ștefan

12 · B. Ștefan

22 · Nuno Rodrigues

7 · M. Roman

80 · G. Roemeratoe

44 · M. Onișa

25 · D. Kiki

14 · A. Chioveanu

29 · A. Chică-Roșă

FCSB

4-2-3-1

32 Ș. Târnovanu

2 V. Crețu

5 J. Dawa

3 André Duarte

4 Ricardo Padurariu

73 K. Muhar

33 R. Radunović

11 D. Miculescu

31 J. Cisotti

7 M. Korenica

14 A. Garita

Coach · L. Reghecampf

Substitutes

21 · D. Batubinsika

28 · A. Boutoutaou

8 · E. Gnahoré

97 · R. Labonne

18 · João Paulo

20 · D. Politic

13 · M. Popa

17 · M. Popescu

77 · L. Stancu

90 · A. Stoian

15 · O. Arad

Our number · fcsb winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
46% The market59%
Us46%
Market59%

We make FCSB a 46% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are 13 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.7.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · FC Voluntari v FCSB1.33 – 1.70
Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 23 AugW1 D1 L4 · W1 D1 L4
Table places · points 8 v 1515 v 10
The market · FCSB win59% · ours 46%

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60%65% 11 OCT 04:0519 OCT 18:42
Our probability · FCSB win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 57% to 59% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
FC Voluntari win30%18%+12
Draw24%22%+2
FCSB win46%59%−13
Over 2.5 goals58%59%−1
Both teams to score59%57%+2
Over 1.5 goals80%81%−1
Over 3.5 goals36%39%−3
FC Voluntari or draw54%41%+13
FC Voluntari clean sheet19%––
FCSB clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%
0123450 5.3 8.2 7.0 4.0 1 6.4 11.0 9.0 5.1 2.2 2 4.3 7.1 5.9 3.4 3 3.2 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+FC Voluntari down, FCSB across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

8 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.12
Over 2.54 of 8
Both scored4 of 8
Last meetingsFCV 1–2 FCS · FCS 0–0 FCV · FCV 1–2 FCS · FCS 1–1 FCV

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 23 Aug

FC VOLUNTARI

LDWLLL1–3 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 0–2 · 2–3

FCSB

LLLDLW0–1 · 1–3 · 1–2 · 2–2 · 0–5 · 1–0

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Dinamo Bucuresti12+2029
2Rapid12+1127
3Universitatea Craiova12+1826
4Petrolul Ploiesti12−120
5Universitatea Cluj11+218
6Farul Constanta12017
7Corvinul Hunedoara12+116
8CFR 1907 Cluj12−116
9Uta Arad12−215
10FCSB11−315
11FC Botosani12+214
12Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe12−514
13Oţelul12−511
14Arges Pitesti11−511
15FC Voluntari11−148
16Csikszereda12−182

The competition's standings before kick-off.