Dinamo Bucuresti v Uta Arad prediction · Liga I

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dinamo BucurestiDrawUta Arad

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dinamo Bucuresti 58%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dinamo Bucuresti are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dinamo Bucuresti 58%, draw 24%, Uta Arad 18%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 48%.

The AI’s read on Dinamo Bucuresti v Uta AradBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Dinamo Bucuresti win58%

Draw24%

Uta Arad win18%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 14

VenueStadionul Arcul de Triumf

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dinamo Bucuresti

Uta Arad

15Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Oct · Liga I

Last match: 24 Oct · Liga I

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dinamo bucuresti winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

58% The market–

Us58%

We make Dinamo Bucuresti a 58% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dinamo Bucuresti v Uta Arad~~1.76 – 0.86

~~Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 29 Aug~~W5 D1 L0 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 29 v 18~~1 v 7

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dinamo Bucuresti win	58%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Uta Arad win	18%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	48%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	73%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Dinamo Bucuresti or draw	82%	–	–
Dinamo Bucuresti clean sheet	42%	–	–
Uta Arad clean sheet	18%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 12.7%

0123450 7.6 6.2 2.8 1 12.7 11.1 4.7 2 11.1 9.5 4.1 3 6.5 5.6 2.4 4 2.9 2.5 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dinamo Bucuresti down, Uta Arad across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,699 Liga I matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Liga I matches have gone over 2.5 in 48.5% of games this season, across 101 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.90 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dinamo Bucuresti at home: 3.17 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Uta Arad away: 1.17 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.76 goals for Dinamo Bucuresti, 0.86 for Uta Arad. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.90

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~UTA 2–0 DIN · DIN 1–1 UTA · UTA 0–2 DIN · DIN 1–0 UTA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Liga I this season · since 29 Aug

DINAMO BUCURESTI

DWWWWW1–1 · 2–1 · 3–1 · 4–0 · 2–0 · 2–0

UTA ARAD

WLWLWW5–1 · 2–4 · 1–0 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Dinamo Bucuresti	12	+20	29
2	Rapid	13	+8	27
3	Universitatea Craiova	12	+18	26
4	Petrolul Ploiesti	13	+1	23
5	Universitatea Cluj	13	+5	22
6	FCSB	13	+1	21
7	Uta Arad	13	−1	18
8	Farul Constanta	12	0	17
9	CFR 1907 Cluj	12	−1	16
10	Corvinul Hunedoara	13	−2	16
11	FC Botosani	13	0	14
12	Sepsi OSK Sfantu Gheorghe	12	−5	14
13	Arges Pitesti	13	−6	12
14	Oţelul	12	−5	11
15	FC Voluntari	13	−16	8
16	Csikszereda	13	−17	5